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American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference. Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads. September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli. The Bottom Line. Load growth pricing strategies must be in alignment with marginal cost and average cost. MC. AC.
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American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli
The Bottom Line Load growth pricing strategies must be in alignment with marginal cost and average cost MC AC Cost per Unit APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Significant Upward Pricing Pressure in Today’s Marketplace APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Cost of Service Comparison •QTotal Price Quantity CostTotal QuantityTotal Price Quantity • Adj. Factor • Adj. Factor APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Cost of Service Comparison (cont.) APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Who Benefits from Infrastructure Installed to Meet Growth? High VoltageTransmission Residential Customer Commercial Customer Distribution Substation Industrial Customer Transmission Substation Generating Station APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Cost Implications Distribution Substation Industrial Customer Residential Customer Commercial Customer • Distribution: Customer-specific usefulness • Non-coincident demand • High correlation between benefit of new infrastructure and new load APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Cost Implications High VoltageTransmission Transmission Substation • Generation and Transmission:Used and useful by all • Coincident demand • Lower correlation between benefit of new infrastructure and new load Generating Station APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Key Considerations Effective rate & fee structures balance multiple considerations Rates and Fees APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Class-specific Marginal cost pricing Customer pay majority of connection costs through CIAC Gen/Trans stranded investment less of a concern Customer-specific Marginal cost pricing Customer pays for majority of connection costs through CIAC Customer may pay for Gen/Trans costs Gen/Trans stranded investment less of a concern Economics Politics Fairness Competition kW • Marginal cost or subsidies (varies depending upon persuasiveness and constituency) • Growth pays for growth • Low CIAC • Average cost pricing • Residential subsidies • Growth pays for growth MC > AC • Differentiate on benefits rather than price • Subsidies • Differentiate on benefits rather than price • Subsidies
Class-specific pricing Embedded cost pricing Utility pays majority of connection costs; minimal CIAC Gen/Trans stranded investment more of a concern Customer-specific pricing Embedded cost pricing Customer pays for majority of connection costs Gen/Trans stranded investment more of a concern Economics Politics Fairness Competition kW • Residential subsidies • Everyone pays the same • Marginal cost pricing (favor lowest pricing alternative) • Everyone pays the same MC < AC • Waive connection fees • Economic development rates
Rate Design & Fee Strategies (MC > AC) Distribution Function • Contributions in Aid of Construction • Trend toward full cost recovery • Vintage-based rates • Rate phase-out strategies • Increased complexity • Accounting • Administration • Long term rate volatility • Equitable cost recovery • Location-based rates • Density • Construction costs APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Rate Design & Fee Strategies Generation & Transmission Function • Time of Use Load reduction Baseline APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Rate Design & Fee Strategies Very Large Commercial and Industrial Loads • Pay full cost of facilities required to connect • T&D infrastructure • Insulate system from negative economic impacts • Customer-specific rates • Minimum charges • Deposits • Disconnect or exit fees (stranded cost) APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Final Thoughts APPA – Business & Financial Conference
Questions? Joe Mancinelli Vice President (303) 299-5233 jmancinelli@rwbeck.com APPA – Business & Financial Conference