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Explore the impact of new technologies on broadcasting, predicting the future, convergence of industries, economics of telecoms, contracting out services, and the evolving broadcasting value chain.
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THE IMPACT OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES Philip Laven Director, Technical Department European Broadcasting Union EBU HR Plenary, Geneva 16 June 2005
INTRODUCTION • Technology is changing very rapidly • Broadcasters must cope with major changes which will affect: • delivery to consumers • production of content • How will the new technologies change: • strategic direction of broadcasters? • requirements for staff? • organisational structures?
PREDICTING THE FUTURE • This advertisement for a flat-panel TV and“electronic-shopping” appeared in the British magazine “Lilliput” in October 1945 • It is OK to predict “what” • But never try to predict “when”
EVOLUTION OF TV HDTV WidescreenTV Hand-held device
or DIVERGENCE? CONVERGENCE “Internet” services Broadcasters Internet Broadcast delivery
BYTE February 1996
WIRED December 1998
CONVERGENCE OF HARDWARE ? • Viewing conditions are very different • TVs are viewed from a considerable distance • typically 6 - 10 times picture height • computer users are much closer to the screen • typically less than 2 times picture height • TVs are often viewed by several people, whereas computer usage is a solitary activity • TVs are unsuited to interactivity, but computers will be used to display TV programmes
CONVERGENCE OF INDUSTRIES • Will there be convergence between broadcasting and telecommunications? • It is important to understand the differences between the delivery systems • Basic difference: • broadcasting = one-to-many • telecoms = one-to-one • But broadcast delivery systems can also be used for one-to-one services • Telecoms operators have recently discovered the benefits of one-to-many services (broadcasting)
ECONOMICS OF TELECOMS • Telecoms operators are in the business of delivery systems • But delivery systems are becoming commodity services – with many competing solutions • Consumers are not interested in delivery systems, but they want “attractive” content • Telecoms systems need attractive content • Today’s hope is that consumers will pay €1.50 for 30 seconds of video replays of football or cricket • Is TV the killer application for third-generation mobile phones?
CONTRACTING OUT • “Contracting out” some support services (e.g. catering, cleaning, building maintenance) has been very successful in many EBU Members • costs have been reduced • service levels have been maintained • Can this concept be extended to “core” services? • instead of producing all of their own content, many EBU Members commission independent producers to make some programmes • they also use commercial facilities, such as production houses and outside broadcasts
BROADCASTING VALUE CHAIN Contentcreation Programmescheduling • In the past, many broadcasters controlled every aspect of the production chain: • from microphone and camera • to transmitting antenna • The role of TV broadcasters has now changed: • very few have terrestrial transmitter networks • they typically depend on others for distribution (e.g. cable or satellite infrastructure) Distribution
FOUR BASIC MODELS Contentcreation Programmescheduling Distribution Contentcreation Programmescheduling Distribution Contentcreation Programmescheduling Distribution Contentcreation Programmescheduling Distribution
MULTI-PLATFORM POLICY • Broadcasters increasingly see themselves as “content providers” and are becoming agnostic about delivery systems • Public service broadcasters have obligations to provide “near-universal” coverage • in the past, universality was achieved by analogue terrestrial transmissions • in the future, universality will be achieved by a combination of delivery platforms • this “multi-platform policy” implies that broadcasters will make their services available on all platforms with significant audiences
HOW MUCH TO PAY ? • Some EBU Members have their own transmitter networks, but most pay network operators • Some network operators seem to provide good services at reasonable prices, whilst others are very expensive • Broadcaster-owned networks should be cheaper, but they might be inefficient • Have your costs reduced in recent years? • modern transmitters are more reliable → lower maintenance costs → less staff • modern transmitters use less electricity • if costs are constant, you are paying too much!
EXTERNAL SUPPLIERS • If you can specify the required services in a contract, you can probably use external suppliers • but you must be an “educated purchaser” • In many cases, your external suppliers will become monopoly providers because they understand your needs (better than you do) • In-house expertise is essential • do not throw the baby out with the bath water • Eventually, your in-house experts will no longer have up-to-date knowledge of costs and options
MORE DELIVERY SYSTEMS • Increasing the number of delivery systems generally implies extra costs • content must be re-purposed to suit the requirements of individual platforms (e.g. mobile phones, Internet, interactivity) • the cost of many delivery systems increases with the number of listeners or viewers • with traditional broadcasting, the marginal cost of extra listeners or viewers is ZERO
GATEKEEPERS • In the future, broadcasters will not control their own delivery mechanisms • The network operators or service providers can control many aspects of broadcasting: • positioning in electronic programme guides • technical standards (e.g. interactivity) • charges for services (e.g. conditional access) • initial costs might be low, but increase when the platform becomes successful • They can act as “gatekeepers” • some become very powerful gatekeepers
PRICE TRENDS Random-access memory Factor of 2 in 18 months Hard disks Factor of 2 in 12 months February 2005
PRODUCTION EQUIPMENT • All radio & TV production will become “tape-less” • tape-based production systems will be replaced by server-based systems • Networked systems using servers offer enhanced facilities, such as: • remote access to archives • several users can access and edit the same video clip simultaneously • improved productivity
PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGIES • Computer-based systems are widely used for production of radio programmes • Such systems are not yet ready for video production – because video is much more demanding than “office” applications • Computer-based systems offer many benefits for broadcasters, but effective implementation requires close cooperation between broadcast engineers and computer experts (not easy . . .) • It is crucial that EBU Members should become “educated purchasers” of such technologies
MAKING “IT” WORK . . . . • IT-based systems usually depend on hardware and software from different suppliers: • each of which tends to blame the other when systems do not work • During the installation phase, many broadcasters employ a “system integrator” who acts as the mediator between different suppliers • When such systems are put into operational service, new problems are often encountered • Consequently, the “system integrator” may have to remain on site to solve operational problems. • This additional effort is very costly . . . . .
PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE • With traditional broadcast equipment, much of the installation can be done by broadcaster’s staff – who thus gain valuable inside knowledge • With IT-based systems, there are very few broadcast engineers who can handle complex IT systems – and very few IT engineers who can understand broadcasting . . . . • Many pilot schemes for IT-based production have been late, over-budget and fail to deliver what the vendor promised
RISK-TAKING • IT-based systems are likely to have a shorter life than traditional equipment – with higher costs for depreciation and maintenance • “It is hard work to get computer-based solutions working – and even harder to keep them running. The good old days are over . . . . .” • Computer-based systems will eventually mature and deliver what the suppliers promise! • until then, such systems are high risk investments • Some EBU Members have had costly failures • many EBU Members cannot afford to fail . . .
CAN THE EBU HELP ? • EBU Members can use their collective influence to promote the use of OPEN STANDARDS, which will permit inter-operability of systems from different vendors • EBU Members must help each other by openly describing their difficulties and their solutions • The EBU can facilitate such exchanges of information – with the crucial aim of preventing costly mistakes by smaller broadcasters
NOW THE GOOD NEWS . . . . ?? “People problems are far worse than technical problems” • Even if you avoid failures of technology, you will need to persuade “some people” that the new systems are not designed to: • put them (or their colleagues) out of work • make them work harder – for no more money • force them to learn new skills (multi-skilling) • Training is an essential mechanism • to overcome staff resistance • to get the best from capital investments
PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE • Efficiency gains are typically less than expected • Most production staff • want to be proud of their work • want to make “better” programmes, rather than “cheaper” programmes • Problem of “creative inflation” • new technologies often result in programmes that are “better”, not necessarily cheaper • New technologies demand new workflows – and force people to change their ways of working
HUMAN RESOURCES ??? “Now I know why business refers to people as human resources (not human assets) – instead of being nurtured, I feel as if I have been used up and spat out by my employer” • In the airline industry, economy class passengers are called “self-loading cargo”
ATTITUDES . . . . • Production of TV and radio programmes is a creative process • Production staff want to be treated as creative people – not as workers in a factory • some people feel that IT-based systems force them away from their core expertise • some feel empowered by IT-based systems because they are less dependent on others • People are different! • if we want their full cooperation, we must treat them as INDIVIDUALS
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS • Some EBU Members do not have well-defined procedures for approval of capital investment • new projects • replacement of old equipment • When purchasing new equipment, it is important to make financial provisions for its replacement • cameras for newsgathering need to replaced frequently (e.g. 3 years) • studio cameras have a lifetime of 7-10 years
FAILURE TO INVEST • In the event of a financial crisis, it is easy to defer replacement of equipment by 1 year • But it is not sensible to defer replacements for several years in succession • Some EBU Members have invested so little in replacement equipment that their whole infrastructure is now 15 years old – as well as being unreliable and out-dated • solving the problem is often too expensive! As the life expectancy of DGs is about 2 years, few of them are interested in long term projects!
MANAGEMENT OF TECHNOLOGY • Many EBU Members face huge uncertainties about their long-term role in the digital era • Decisions about technology made by EBU Members can “make” or “break” their futures • Despite this fact, some EBU Members have abolished the role of “Technical Director” or downgraded it so that the post-holder: • is not part of the senior management team • no longer reports to the Director-General • Take care that organisational changes do not contribute to expensive failures
CONCLUSIONS • EBU Members are generally “not good” at managing technology • Using external suppliers can work well, but EBU Members must become educated purchasers • New delivery platforms open up new opportunities for broadcasters – and for gatekeepers • IT-based production systems: • offer huge benefits in productivity • can transform programme production • BUT ambitious projects can go wrong
AND FINALLY … Georges Pompidou: There are 3 roads to ruin: • women • gambling • technicians The most pleasant is with women The quickest is with gambling But the surest is with technicians