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Issues Concerning Insolvency Reforms in Asia. Terence Halliday American Bar Foundation and Northwestern University. Three “conversations” over insolvency reforms. Global conversations between international institutions and nation-states Global organizations developed models, templates
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Issues Concerning Insolvency Reforms in Asia Terence Halliday American Bar Foundation and Northwestern University OECD Forum on Asian Insolvency Reforms Seoul, Korea November 11-12, 2003
Three “conversations” over insolvency reforms • Global conversations between international institutions and nation-states • Global organizations developed models, templates • Nation-states offer proving-grounds, experimentation • Regional conversations among neighbors • Innovations in one nation inform those in another • Local conversations among stakeholders • Negotiations over policy preferences
Research Program: Globalization of Insolvency Regimes • Sponsored by the American Bar Foundation & National Science Foundation (USA) • Design: • Statistical analysis, world bankruptcy reforms, 1978-1998 • Reform initiatives by global and regional organizations • IMF, World Bank, ADB, EBRD, INSOL, IBA, UNCITRAL • National reforms in Asia, Central and Eastern Europe • China, Indonesia, Korea • Perspective: • Independent – of any organizations engaged in insolvency reforms • Empirical – based on multiple sources of data • Institutional or systemic – specialists in theories of institutional design and functioning
1. Asian Reforms Reflect Regional and Global Initiatives Benefits of multilateral initiatives: • Concentrate expertise • Distill experience • Cross-fertilize national experiments • Commit tangible resources • Disseminate information
1. Global Initiatives, contd Significance for Asian reforms: • Substantive convergence towards rescue regimes, with real threat of liquidation • Consultative process has broadened progressively • World Bank regional consultations • Culminating in UNCITRAL’s global legislative forum—representation of all regions, legal families, key INGOs (Legislative Guide on Insolvency) • Global models are constructive • Codify knowledge and experience • Global models should be viewed as experimental • Which elements are fundamental, which variable? • Are ‘best practices’ ever universal, always contextual?
2. Insolvency Law-Making in Asia is Recursive (Cyclical) Cycling between law on the books and law in practice, bankruptcy reforms are: • Always incomplete, produce unintended consequences • Driven by internal dynamics (engines) • Professionals widening, narrowing the gap • Professionals contesting approaches to law • Stakeholders following iterative strategies • Often stimulated by external forces Cycles occur differently in China, Indonesia, Korea Repeated cycles may reflect: • Successive moves to a higher equilibrium, legal capacity • Unrealistic expectations, lack of political will or capacity
3. Insolvency Law-Making in Asia Produces Conflicts Among Policy Norms Three norms: • Efficiency (purely economic criterion) • Equity (distributive policy criterion) • Stability (social and political criteria) National Experiences: • Korea: between efficiency and equity • China: between efficiency and stability
4. Insolvency Law-Making in Asia is embedded in Economic, Political and Social Systems Political systems (distribution of power in a society) Example: Korea: challenges for state to redistribute its power internally, to retract from economic guidance Economic system (distribution of wealth) Example: Indonesia: significance of corporate restructuring for ethnic Indonesian/Chinese Indonesian relationship in organizing the economy Social system (organization of civil society, culture) Example: China: changes in status, social security system, and its impact on adoption of a comprehensive bankruptcy law
5. Insolvency Systems in Asia may vary by Types of Capitalism and Commercial Culture Varieties of capitalism exist in Europe and North America—why not Asia? • Liberal market economies (U.S., Britain, Australia, New Zealand) • Coordinated market economies (e.g., Germany, France, Scandinavia) Varieties of commercial culture may also vary among nations—why not Asia? • Transactional business cultures • Relational business cultures Insolvency systems may need to reflect varieties of capitalism and commercial culture
Implications for Reforms in Asia • Find a balance between global and local imperatives • Global designers recognize national variations • National reformers value global/regional models • Expect systematic variations on global themes • What are universals? What are particulars? • UNCITRAL’s solution: acceptable alternatives • Learn from comparable situations • What are the circumstances that determine whether a success in one country will also succeed in another? • Identify institutional contexts and affinities • Insufficient attention to embeddedness in multiple systems • Insufficient specification of institutional conditions of success or failure • Moderate expectations • Much ‘negotiation’ between global and national models will take time