Global Risk Identification Programme

1. Global Risk Identification Programme Thematic Platform for Risk Assessment Hyogo Framework for Action - Priority 2 Dr. Carlos Villacis – GRIP Coordinator

2. Steering Committee

3. Overview Why DRR is important Why we are not making progress in DRR The GRIP Programme GRIP Services to Countries

4. Disaster risk and the MDGs: Disaster-related mortality risk Underweight children Epidemic meningitis Epidemic malaria Source: Columbia University

5. Current situation • 414 natural disasters • 16,847 people killed • More than 211 million people affected (~ 11 times the population of Mozambique) • USD 74.9 billion in economic damages (~ 3 times the GDP of Nepal) • Annual Disaster Statistical Review, CRED, 2008 Major events reported in 2007 ≥10 killed, ≥100 affected, state of emergency, call for international assistance

6. Why we are not making progress Understanding of the problem Risk Assessment Proper Planning Evidence-based decision making Disaster Risk Reduction Effective Actions

7. Effective Risk Management • Learn from the past • Causes • Vulnerabilities • Recovery • Long-term impact • Forecast future losses • Accurately estimate potential losses • Make informed decisions • Manage risk • Acceptable risk level • Risk reduction capacity • Risk transfer • Monitoring of changes • Evaluation strategy and corrections

8. 1 Goal: Promote sustainable development by reducing the impact of natural hazards in high risk areas 2Objectives: To improve risk information To ensure application of risk information in disaster risk management and development processes Global Risk Identification Program - GRIP

9. Global Risk Identification Program - GRIP • 3 main activities: • Capacity building to ensure sustainability • Basic risk information and baselines through, mainly, National Risk Assessments, Disaster Observatories, and Urban Risk Assessments • Monitoring and reporting – Global Risk Update

10. Global Risk Identification Program - GRIP • 4implementation levels: • Global, regional, national, and local, • engaging public and private stakeholders • strengthening partnerships

11. Global Risk Identification Program - GRIP • 5products: • Capacity Development Portal: includes a risk assessment toolkit, training modules and a Community of Practice. • National Disaster Observatories: sustainable institutions for systematic collection, analysis and interpretation of loss data. • National Risk Assessments: multi-hazard risk evaluations to understand the characteristics and distribution of risk and identify disaster risk reduction options. • National Urban Risk Reports: compilations of risk assessments for major urban areas of a country to support urban risk reduction policies at national and local levels. • Global Risk Update: a biannual global report that presents an overview of disaster risk at the global level with increasing national level resolution.

12. National Disaster Observatories

13. Most disaster prone districts The Districts of Kalutara, Ratnapura, Puttalam, Kurunegala, Anuradhapura

14. National Disaster Observatories • Existing (run by Governments, GRIP or Partners) Asia Sri Lanka, Tamil Nadu, Orissa, Indonesia, Iran, Maldives, Thailand, Nepal LAC Mexico, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Venezuela, Argentina, Chile, Paraguay, Panama • Proposed or underway (countries implementing, interested or having Disaster Database) Asia Armenia, Afghanistan, Bhutan, Cambodia, Laos, PNG*, Vietnam* Africa Mozambique, Malawi, Madagascar LAC Nicaragua*, Guatemala*, Honduras*, Jamaica*, Cuba, Trinidad and Tobago*, Guyana*, Antigua & Barbuda, Uruguay, Organization of Eastern Caribbean States * Have national disaster databases

15. National Risk Assessments Current Situation: • DRR Strategies without clear understanding of risk • Prepared by consultants not familiar with local realities • Responding to false perceptions, or political and economical interests • No way to measure risk evolution • No way to evaluate effectiveness of DRR activities and investments • No way to evaluate and correct existing strategies

16. National Risk Assessments Local capacity building Common standards Multi-hazard Applied Local actions Quality Control National Risk Assessments Istitutionalized Sustainable Regularly updated Compatible National, regional, global 10 countries in Asia, June 2007 meeting in Bangkok, launch of the initiative 5 years Goal=30 countries, long-term Goal=all countries, regional, GRU

17. NRA: Risk profiles

18. Urban Risk Assessment

19. EXAMPLES OF GRIP ACTIVITIES Critical facilities

20. Local Risk Assessment • Contingency plans • Pre-disaster shelter planning • Disaster risk reduction action plans • Incorporation of risk management in urban planning • National Urban Risk Reports • Integration of RA for major urban areas of a country to support urban risk reduction policies at national and local levels

21. Planning development

22. Effective DRR Actions

23. Assistance provided by GRIP • Methodologies and tools • Training • Technical advice: technical, policy making • Coordination and overview • Interaction with other countries • Access to financial support

24. GRIP Mozambique Package a) National level • National Risk Information System (Risk Assessment) • National Observatory for Disaster Statistics • Revision of the National Disaster Risk Reduction Strategy • Enhanced National Early Warning System b) Local Level (For Maputo, the Capital City) • Risk Assessment for the city • Contingency Plan • Disaster Risk Reduction Action Plan • Incorporation of Risk Management in Urban Planning • Capacity building for replication in other cities • National Urban Risk Report

25. GRIP Mozambique – Capacity building

26. GRIP Mozambique - First Results

27. GRIP countries Under implementation: Chile, India, Indonesia, Maldives, Mexico, Mozambique, Nepal, Peru, Sri Lanka, Thailand Project proposed: Bangladesh, Bhutan, Caribbean, China, Guatemala, Guinea, Mali, Mauritania, Nicaragua, Pakistan, Philippines, Senegal, Turkey

28. Thank you!