1 / 14

Beyond recession?: sustainable urban development Tim Dixon: OISD, Oxford Brookes University

Beyond recession?: sustainable urban development Tim Dixon: OISD, Oxford Brookes University. Integrated sustainable urban development.

regina
Download Presentation

Beyond recession?: sustainable urban development Tim Dixon: OISD, Oxford Brookes University

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Beyond recession?: sustainable urban developmentTim Dixon: OISD, Oxford Brookes University

  2. Integrated sustainable urban development “An integrated plan for sustainable urban development comprises a system of interlinked actions which seeks to bring about a lasting improvement in the economic, physical, social and environmental conditions of a city or an area within the city” (URBACT, 2010)

  3. Interacting Forces “The two defining challenges of the 21st century are overcoming poverty and avoiding dangerous climate change. If we fail on one of them we fail on the other.” (Nicholas Stern) Economy Energy Environment

  4. Recovery Matrix (Sato, 2010) Short Term Low Carbon Economy and Green Jobs Long Term

  5. BRIC-led economic recovery? Economic growth in BRIC countries Brazil Structural reforms (fiscal & institutional) Prospect of 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympics Booming residential sector Increasing middle class Infrastructure is poor Cumulative GDP Growth 2008-2025 (megacities) Source: PwC, 2009

  6. City-level carbon emissions and energy consumption • Cities account for about 80% of carbon emissions globally. • Consumption and not population growth is important (Satthethwaite) • Middle and upper-income households are key

  7. Futures studies – the role of the city (key drivers) Demographics Economic Governance Environmental Societal (lifestyle) Technological

  8. City Scale Focus – why? Existing powers of municipal and city governments give greater potential traction Concentration means better technological potential More rapid diffusion Spin-off benefits (source, Lankao, 2008)

  9. Towards ‘Regenerative Development’ ‘Paradigm Shift’ Regenerative Development: 40+ yrs Eco-Efficiency 5+ yrs The City as a ‘Metabolism’ Business as Usual Today Integrated Sustainability Time (Source: adapted from Ministry of Environment, NZ Government)

  10. World Bank Eco2 Programme City-based approach Expanded platform for collaborative design and decision-making One-system approach Investment framework that values sustainability and resilience ‘Ecological modernization’ issues??

  11. Low Carbon Economy A future vision for low carbon infrastructure Need for private investment and balance between public/private debt Stronger market signals for carbon emissions UK Core Cities

  12. Public Debt (% of GDP) UK=68.5% Brazil=46.8% Source: CIA

  13. Financing Issues: an Investment Gap? Cities the problem and the solution? –shift expenditure Need to develop innovative financing models to retrofit cities: e.g. value capture; PPPs; ‘green’ bonds/funds More local power and leadership capacity at city-level Appropriate governance structures Improved skills and technology deployment ‘BAU’=$350 trillion Additional $22 trillion needed in green investment (Booz / WWF, 2010)

  14. Key Issues-to 2050? How will property markets in Brazilian cities evolve? Real estate investment Nature of housing markets and demand: future growth and development? Issue of brownfields Ecological modernisation/sustainable urban development – does this model really fit Brazilian cities? How can climate change adaptation and mitigation be financed? What are the outcomes for cities – governance, institutions and impact on people? Learning from Brazilian cities? Clean Development Mechanism Climate Action Plan (Sao Paulo) Others: grants/taxes?

More Related