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Impact Chicago. Terry Mazany President & CEO. Impact Chicago. Jim Lewis, Ph.D. Senior Program Officer. Impact Chicago. Prof. Robert Sampson Harvard University. Prof. Wesley Skogan Northwestern University. Historic homicide rate in Chicago. Declining crime rates.
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Impact Chicago Terry Mazany President & CEO
Impact Chicago Jim Lewis, Ph.D. Senior Program Officer
Impact Chicago Prof. Robert Sampson Harvard University Prof. Wesley Skogan Northwestern University
Declining crime rates Violent Crime - per 100,000 residents
Declining violence rates source: City and Suburban Crime Trends in Metropolitan America, The Brookings Institution
Homicide totals source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
Homicide motives Murder Clearances Indoor & Outdoor Murders Shootings & Stabbings source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
Homicides – Race/ethnicity of victims Murder Clearances Indoor & Outdoor Murders Shootings & Stabbings Murder Victims by Race/Ethnicity source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
Homicide – Indoor or outdoor Indoor v. Outdoor Murders source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
Homicides – Shootings, stabbings Murder Clearances Indoor & Outdoor Murders Shootings & Stabbings source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
Homicide prior arrest - offender Indoor & Outdoor Murders Murder Victims with Prior Arrest History source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
Homicides cleared Murder Clearances Indoor & Outdoor Murders source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
Criminal justice system in Illinois In 2009, more than 125,000 adults were under a form of correctional supervision —including probation, prison or mandatory supervised release—for a felony conviction in Illinois: almost double the number in 1989. Source: Illinois Sentencing Police Advisory Council
Prison system overcrowding Sources: Illinois Dept. of Corrections, John Howard Association
Impact Chicago Prof. Robert Sampson Harvard University Prof. Wesley Skogan Northwestern University
Concentration of Violence and Child Well-Being = Murder Rate Source: Sampson, 2012
The Enduring Grip of Disadvantage: Durability of Concentrated Poverty During an Era of Social Transformation, Chicago Community Areas, 1960-2000 Source: Sampson 2012
Inequality’s Durable Imprint: Before and after the 2008 Economic Crisis Source: Sampson, 2012 Source: Sampson, 2012
Not Just About Poverty: Remarkably Persistent Violence Profiles During a Sharp Secular Decline in Violence Source: Sampson, 2012
Collective Efficacy Theory Community Mediating Rates of structure mechanism well-being Spatial and macro level processes Individual characteristics and selection processes Source: Sampson, 2012
Collective Efficacy Predicts Later Homicide Rates (Controlling for time period, concentrated disadvantage, residential stability, population density, friend/kinship ties, legal/moral cynicism, and prior homicide) Source: Sampson, 2012
Cure violence (CeaseFire-Chicago) model • If you are listening through your computer • Type your question into the Q&A pane • The moderator will read all questions and pose them to our panelists • If you are listening by phone & wish to ask live • Use the “Raise Your Hand” feature on your computer • The moderator will unmute your phone, enabling you to ask in person Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University
Policing strategies • Smart Gun Policing • interrupt supply • deter possession • reduce public gun carrying • tough responses to gun use • reduce demand for guns • address conditions that foster gun carrying and use • Smart Gang Policing • targeting violent groups and high-risk individuals • Smart Community Oriented Policing • responsive to community concerns and priorities • assist in norm building by gaining respect and confidence • assist in community mobilization Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University
Building public confidence & respect Quality of Service Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University
Assist in community mobilization Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University
Declining crime rates Violent Crime - per 100,000 residents
How important is trust of the police for reducing crime? photo credit: right, John J. Kim / AP
Would stronger gun control reduce homicides? Murder Clearances Indoor & Outdoor Murders Shootings & Stabbings source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
How does poverty contribute to crime rates? photo credit: Flickr member Zol87
Why did the murder rate rise in 2012? source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department
What works? • Patrol strategies • Hardened targets - security • Hot spot arrests • Broken windows • Gang interventions • Gun control • Social/Emotional training photo credit: top, Chronicle/Lance Iversen
Has policing affected homicide levels? source: Chicago Justice Project
Does incarceration reduce crime? Sources: Illinois Dept. of Corrections, John Howard Association
In conversation Moderator: Jim Lewis, Ph.D. Senior Program Officer Prof. Wesley Skogan Northwestern University Prof. Robert Sampson Harvard University
Go deeper Today’s presentation can be viewed online:www.cct.org/impactchicago For more information about today’s topic: contact Jim Lewis at 312.616.8000 ext. 158 To make a difference through your philanthropy: please contact your relationship manager
Impact Chicago Thank you for participating