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Motion : THW extend retirement age. Preparing…………. France. Germany. Greece. Spain. Reasons for reform. Life expectancy Population aging. Retirement age & life expectancy. How to set?---life expectancy medical technology & living standard Average life span:1997—62.2
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France Germany Greece Spain
Reasons for reform Life expectancy Population aging
Retirement age & life expectancy How to set?---life expectancy medical technology & living standard Average life span:1997—62.2 2010—67.2
Retirement age worldwide 1. whole world—man 60.5 woman 58.6 2. industrialized nations---65, 60 Denmark / Iceland / Norway M/F 67 UK M 65 F 60 M/F 68(2044) USA M/F 65 M/F 67(2017) 3. developing nations---60, 55 China M 60 F55
Population aging Population ageing is a shift in the distribution of a country's population towards older ages. –wikipedia indicator: 60 7% of the population
Population aging in worldwide? Currently: year 2050 World 11% 33% Japan 30% 44% Italy / Germany 26% 40% China 12% 31%
Status quo in the world • 1. population ageing turn to be serious • 2.developed regions>developing regions • 3.Northern America & Europe—most severe regions
Causes: 1. longer life span • (education/medical/life conditions) • 2. lower birth rate one child policy
Bad consequence? 1.shortage of labor resources 2.finical burden: government --- spending more on social security, health care, pension system individual---family support 1964 100 6 2000 100 10 2050 100 33
Pension In general, a pension is an arrangement to provide people with an income when they are no longer earning a regular income from employment –wikipedia Pension system worldwide
Japan: 1.History: late 1990s, military &government workers WW2, extend to private--sector workers 1950s, modern pension system 2.system: Flat-rate benefit—National pension program 60, full benefits, 40s Earnings related benefit– Employees’ pension insurance program Financed—payroll tax, 14.64% of taxable wages subsidize, one-half, NP annual costs
America: History:1930s, nonagricultural wage and salary workers currently: 90%,workforce Three branches: 1.Social Security---8% salary 67, same amount, New York 1200 2.Employer-based Pensions 60% of the average salary, last 5 3.Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs or endowment insurance)
China • History: 1.1951, 50%-70% ,funding source: only firms “iron rice bowl” system—employees (SOEs) 2.Social pooling---eliminated in cultural revolution(1966-76) 3.Reform 1990s, multi-pillar pension system
Share something in common Found: 1.financed: employer & employee 2.subsidized: by government revenue Composer: national pension system & individual accounts In different forms, with different sum of money
Most effective way France:12.5% of GDP extend 60 to 62 reduce by €18.6 billion of the €42 billion state pension gap expected by 2018. other channels: cut government spending, increase tax
Background information • Setting ground for our team ---Frame work
Where Why What Who How (not focused any more)
Where--house • Definition—not limit but interpret 1.THW legalize the sale of organs 2.China should make “Human Flesh Searches” illegal THW cut aids in Afghanistan
Definition • Arguments
Why Prop: Pass the proposal or motion? Basis: 1. status quo---unreasonable? unfair? Immoral? Change?
1.The current retirement age is inapplicable Proposition Date: 1950 men:60 women:55 Average life expectancy: 1949,35 reform& opening-up,65 currently,73
why opposition—maintain status quo? standard? Opp1: Extending retirement age should based on personal willingness.
What Criteria? Solve problems? Benefits or bad consequences?
proposition 2.It helps handle the shortage of labor resources. 3.It can relief the finical burden for both the government & tax payer.
opposition 2. It will affect the young generation to be employed 3. It can not be justified for solving the problem of pension gap
Who Who will get affected by this proposal? Government? General public? Firms? ……… stand on their point of view, and speak for their rights, interests, obligations
Prop 4: It can promote old people realize self-value in the later years.
Opposition: 4. As part of social warfare system, it should represent people’s interests.
Arguments Opp: 1.Extending retirement age should based on personal willingness. 4. As part of social warfare system, it should represent people’s interests. 2. It will affect the young generation to be employed 3. It can not be justified for solving the problem of pension gap Pro: 1. The current retirementage is inapplicable 2. It helps handle the shortage of labor resources. 3.It can relief the finical burden for both the government & tax payer. 4. It can promote old people realize self-value in the late life
Summary of clashes • 1. Consensus vs. Scientifiticalness • 2. Solvency • 3. Efficiency vs. Justice • 4. Rights vs. Obligation
Debate: knowledge + team work Knowledge: 1.daily collection 2.experience: think, write, practice Team work: 1.Preparation—discuss, question---critical thinking, comprehensive understanding 2.Debating---fulfill roles, connect, support