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The Global Large Aircraft Market. Outline. Objective Industry History Boeing Corporation Airbus Industrie Industry Competition Large Aircraft Competitive Analysis Strategic Recommendation. Objective.
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Outline • Objective • Industry History • Boeing Corporation • Airbus Industrie • Industry Competition • Large Aircraft Competitive Analysis • Strategic Recommendation
Objective • Analyze and recommend a competitive strategy for Boeing within the large aircraft market (500+ passenger seats) • Boeing’s Options: • Maintain current product • Develop and produce an improved 747 • Design a completely new aircraft
Industry History • Wright Brothers’ first flight in 1903 • First half of the century, rapid development of industry • Aeroplane Co., Bae/Aerospatiale, Bell, Boeing, Curtiss, Grumman, Lockheed, Martin, Messerschmitt, and Pratt & Whitney • Second half of the century, consolidation of manufacturers • Boeing and Airbus remain
Boeing Corporation • History • Commercial production began with 707 in 1954 • Pan Am inaugural transcontinental flight in 1958 • First 747 rolled off the production line in 1968 • Current Business Units • Commercial Aviation • Military Aircraft & Missile Segment • Space and Communication
Boeing Corporation • Largest aerospace manufacturer in the world • Over 13,000 commercial aircraft delivered • Represent 65% of world’s air transportation market • 1999 Financial Performance • Revenues $58 Billion • Net Operating Income $4.7 Billion • EPS of $2.49
Airbus Industrie • Owned by consortium • European Aeronautic Defense and Space Company • BAE System • Created an Airbus Integrated Company to manage the commercial sector • Utilizes production facilities across Europe • Allows efficient use of specific skills by division
Intensity of Competition Highly Competitive (Unfavorable) Industry Competition • Availability of Substitutes Limited Substitutes (Favorable) • Bargaining Power of Buyers Limited Quantity/Interdependency (Neutral) • Bargaining Power of Suppliers Limited Quantity/Interdependency (Neutral) • Threat of New Entrants High Barriers (Favorable)
Large Aircraft Competitive Analysis • Projected Demand • Strengths and Weaknesses • Economic Risk
Market Forecast2000 through 2019 Deliveries$1.5 trillion (22,315) A340 A330 777 Intermediate Twin-Aisle 757 400-500 seats 767 747 Large A3XX 500+ seats Single-Aisle A320 Smaller Jets 717 737
Projected Demand • 20 year market forecasts vary greatly
Strengths No capital expenditure Weaknesses Limited range Limited capacity Reduced efficiency Inferior technology Strengths & WeaknessesMaintain Product (Option 1)
Strengths Enhanced performance Commonality of ground crews No additional training of service crews or pilots Existing airport facilities Competitive operating efficiencies Meet noise level guidelines Seat-mile cost savings (3-5%) Weaknesses Limited range Limited capacity Inferior technology Operating Efficiencies Strengths & WeaknessesImproved 747 (Option 2)
Strengths Equivalent to Airbus (technology) Weaknesses High investment Strengths & WeaknessesNew Aircraft (Option 3)
Economic Risk • Maintain Current Product • Requires no investment • Develop and Produce an Improved 747 • Requires limited investment of $4 Billion • Breakeven of 170 aircraft • Design a Completely New Aircraft • Requires significant investment, approximately $14 Billion • Breakeven at 528 aircraft
Strategy Recommendation • Medium Term (Through 2005) • Commit to competing in the Large Aircraft Market • Focus on producing and selling next generation 747 • Highest projected return on investment • Long Term (Beyond 2005) • Further evaluate market based on orders • Proactively monitor demand • May need to produce a new Large Aircraft to stay competitive