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Recent Developments in BlueSky and SmartFire

Recent Developments in BlueSky and SmartFire. Sean Raffuse Sonoma Technology, Inc. Petaluma, CA for BlueSky Smoke Forecasting Team Meeting Edmonton, AB February 19, 2014. STI -5904. BlueSky-SmartFire. SmartFire 2 (SF2)

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Recent Developments in BlueSky and SmartFire

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  1. Recent Developments in BlueSky and SmartFire Sean Raffuse Sonoma Technology, Inc. Petaluma, CA for BlueSky Smoke Forecasting Team Meeting Edmonton, AB February 19, 2014 STI-5904

  2. BlueSky-SmartFire • SmartFire 2 (SF2) • A framework for collecting fire activity data from multiple sources and reconciling the data into information suitable for modeling smoke • BlueSky • A framework for modeling fire emissions and dispersion • Both SF2 and BlueSky are • Open source and built on open source libraries • Developed and maintained by AirFire and STI (and others)

  3. BlueSky-SmartFire SmartFire merges fire location data sources Fire Occurrence Input Meteorological Input Dispersion Fuels Total Consumption TimeRate Emissions PlumeRise BlueSky calculates emissions and models dispersion

  4. SmartFire 1 vs. SmartFire 2 SmartFire 1 is deprecated and end-of-life. Please transition to SmartFire 2

  5. SF2 News – 2011 NEI • 2008 NEI used 3 fire data sets • 2011 NEI used 37 fire data sets • Satellite detection • Burn scar data • State databases • Federal agency databases • Regional databases

  6. Change in Area Burned \\FILESERV2\Storage\ProjectData\910414_Final_2011_Fires_Inventory\Task02_2011\data\database\Final\ChangeFromPreliminary.pptx Change in PM2.5Emitted

  7. Smoke and Remote Sensing SF2 News – 2011 NEI

  8. SF2 News – Multiyear Study • Inter-study discrepancy is large • Global studies underestimate fire emissions in the U.S. Lower 48 Wildland Fire CO2 • Small fires dominate some ecosystems and are undetected by common methods This Study EPA GHG FINN GFEDv3

  9. SF2 News –Improvements for Small Fires • AirFire/STI conducting a JFSP-funded study to improve SF2 algorithms for small fires • Better use of reporting system data with incomplete spatial information • Better accounting for satellite probability of detection • Exploration of more sensitive satellite detection algorithms for specific ecosystems • Pile burn algorithms • Look for results next year

  10. BlueSky Tech News – BlueSky Cloud • Dynamically generated servers provide on-demand processing • Useful for rapidly initiating special model runs to support wildfire smoke management

  11. BlueSky Tech News – BlueSky Cloud

  12. BlueSky Tech News – Mobile Prototype • A prototype developed for iOS • Use GPS or drop pin to specify fire location • Provides instant smoke dispersion forecast

  13. BlueSky Tech News – Playground Improvements • Much faster mapping of output • Much smaller KML download • New wildfire pathway • New WRF domains

  14. 14 BlueSky Tech News – Community Development US Forest Service Canadian BlueSky Community v. 3.6 Source Code Repository v. 3.5.1 v. 3.5 We are discussing how to improve BSF development across individuals and groups, with goals to: Enable community access to BSF source code Support merging and testing of different development efforts Release new versions (with adequate testing for operational systems) Sonoma Technology Mazama Science

  15. BlueSky Science News – NASA • New research modules • Real-time, satellite-derived precipitation data for dead fuel moisture calculations • MODIS-derived live fuel moisture estimates • Plume rise estimates based on satellite-observed fire radiative power and boundary layer height • Global emissions estimation pathway (FLAMBE) • Emissions estimates based on fire radiative power

  16. BlueSky Science News – Coming Soon • New Consume model • New FCCS fuel map • VSMOKE dispersion module • Update emission factors • SmartFire Cloud • Other improvements TBD sraffuse@sonomatech.com

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