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THIS LECTURE COVERS. Background Level of Response (LR) ALSPAC Data at Age 12 Outcomes. THIS LECTURE COVERS. Background Level of Response (LR) ALSPAC Data at Age 12 Outcomes. ALCOHOLISM RISK. Multiple Characteristics and Genes. GENETIC RISK FACTORS. Level of Response (LR)
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THIS LECTURE COVERS • Background • Level of Response (LR) • ALSPAC Data at Age 12 • Outcomes
THIS LECTURE COVERS • Background • Level of Response (LR) • ALSPACData at Age 12 • Outcomes
ALCOHOLISM RISK Multiple Characteristics and Genes
GENETIC RISK FACTORS • Level of Response (LR) • Impulsivity • Psychiatric Disorders • Alcohol Metabolizing Enzymes
LR RATIONALE • Youth Drink for Effects • If Need more, Will Drink More • Then Heavy Drinking Affects Peers Expectations Stress
SRE TIME FRAME:DRINKS 1st 5 Recent Heaviest NEEDED TO: Times 3 Mo. Feel Effect Feel Dizzy or Slur Speech Stumble Fall Asleep
San Diego Study Australian Twins Danish Adoptees Colorado Twins COGA Kids ALSPAC Kids Pittsburgh Study LR PREDICTS OUTCOME
THIS LECTURE COVERS • Background • Level of Response (LR) • ALSPAC Data at Age 12 • Outcomes
BEFORE ALSPAC • Subjects Age 18+ • Not General Population • Most From U.S.
ALSPAC DRINKERS AT 12 Age 12Age 14 Age 12.4 13.9 Drinks/Week 2.6 3.4a Max Drinks 4.2 5.1c % Problems 29 42a
THIS LECTURE COVERS • Background • Level of Response (LR) • ALSPACData at Age 12 • Outcomes
ALSPAC DRINKERS 12/14 Age 12Age 14 Age 12.4 13.9 Drinks/Week 2.6 3.4a Max Drinks 4.2 5.1c % Problems 29 42a
PEER EXPECT LR ALCOUT FHalc COPE PROJECTED
PROSPECTIVE CORRELATION a p<.05, b p<.001
SEX .09 .08 AGE ALCOUT .19 PEER LR .28 .25 .37
1,905 CROSS SECTIONAL Boys = 44% Age = 17.8 Alcohol Freq = 5 D/mo Q Usual = 4.6 Drinks Q Max = 13.4 Drinks Problems = 49.5%
AGE .07 .12 COPE ALCOUT EXPECT PEER LR .24 .59 .05 GENDER
FUTURE DIRECTIONS Prospective With Full Sample Follow-up Later Onset Kids Prevention Trial