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Residential Space Conditioning Conservation Resource Assessment. Overview of Analytical Process and Major Assumptions January 21, 2003. What’s Covered. Three Building Types Single Family (up to & including 4-plex) Multifamily (5-plex & above) Manufactured/Mobile Homes Three Vintages
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Residential Space Conditioning Conservation Resource Assessment Overview of Analytical Process and Major Assumptions January 21, 2003
What’s Covered • Three Building Types • Single Family (up to & including 4-plex) • Multifamily (5-plex & above) • Manufactured/Mobile Homes • Three Vintages • Pre-1980 • 1980 – 1992 • Post-1992 (= 1983 MCS level construction)
What’s Covered (cont) • Measures/Technologies/Practices • Thermal Shell Improvements • Duct Sealing • Heating System Conversions to Air-Source Heat Pumps • Heat Pump and Central Air Conditioning System Efficiency Upgrades
Analytical Process – Measure Cost-Effectiveness Baseline Characteristics Prototype Simulations • Eleven Buildings • Five locations • Adjusted for “system” efficiency • Nine Climate Zone Combinations • 3 Heating • 3 Cooling • C&R D Reports • Current Codes • Market Surveys • Federal Standards PROCOST Unit Level Results • Market Price Forecast • Load Shapes • T&D Losses & Value • Non-Energy Benefits • “Optimized” Measure Order • Cost-Effectiveness Determination
Analytical Process – Interactive Measures Internal Gains Adjusted to Reflect Cost-Effective Appliance and Lighting Efficiency Improvements Building Thermal Shells Insulated to Cost-Effectiveness Limit Ducts Sealed and Insulated to Cost-Effectiveness Limit Heat Pump Conversions/Upgrades
Analytical Process – “Applicable Units” • Housing Stock • Built Pre-1980, surviving in 2025 • Built Post-1980/Pre1993, surviving in 2025 • Built between 2005 – 2025 • Duct Systems & Space Conditioning Equipment • Single Family and Manufactured Homes • Heating & Cooling Equipment Installed in New Construction and Replaced “on burn out”
Preliminary Results – Measures with Resource Potential Over 10 aMW
Why “Preliminary” • Applicable Units Need Further “Scrubbing” • SGC-Single Family – Adjust for penetration of Energy Star windows • PTCS Duct Sealing – Adjust for non-crawlspace construction and existing “tight” duct systems • Maybe some other smaller adjustments