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Taking it forward: Summary of implications for donors raised to date

Joint evaluation of GBS: Policymakers Forum, May 10 2006, OECD, Paris. Taking it forward: Summary of implications for donors raised to date. Kate Tench, MG Chair. Structure. Need to take forward… Grouping the issues… What does PGBS achieve? Entry conditions / thresholds PAF / Indicators

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Taking it forward: Summary of implications for donors raised to date

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  1. Joint evaluation of GBS: Policymakers Forum, May 10 2006, OECD, Paris Taking it forward: Summary of implications for donors raised to date Kate Tench, MG Chair

  2. Structure • Need to take forward… • Grouping the issues… • What does PGBS achieve? • Entry conditions / thresholds • PAF / Indicators • Civil society • Complementarities • Other issues • Outstanding questions • Wedding and family

  3. Need to take forward… • All agree: valuable report and joint nature valuable • Value of PGBS – as an important instrument – need to increase share (<100%) • Lessons and good practices for both partners and donors at national and international levels • Recommendations to be acted • on because of depth/breadth

  4. What does PGBS achieve? • PFM improvements central – capitalise? • Basic services direct poverty effect (+proxy) • PRS to reach growth and poverty – PRS2 expansion • PRS quality and prioritisation central • Engage all donors in prioritisation • Need to show results domestically for sustainability (Rwanda)

  5. Entry conditions/thresholds • No standard minimum thresholds • Macro and fiscal stability important • Political commitment to poverty important • Direction of change in PFM • So, broad relevance including to fragile states (?fiscal/macro?) • Incremental, learning approach • Joint diagnostics (pol, econ, capacity) • Transparency of rationale • Care and analysis in decision to enter, need to remain L-T: Exit costs

  6. PAF / Indicators • PAF as operational plan for PRS (all donors, diverse indicators) • Transparent governance/political conditionality indicators • Currently no agreed definitions / levels • Ranking or prioritising indicators • Indicators at all levels – tracking spend • Outcome indicators/virtual earmarking useful to focus on results • but all indicators as management tools not triggers

  7. Good practice in design • Context of local needs / flexibility • Good practice in management of M/L-T predictability (?) • Decentralisation a gap • Long term approach: EC proposal for predictability in MDG financing / managing risks • Graduated responses – diversity of: indicators / instruments / variable tranches (earmarking?) • Avoid polarisation of partners - inclusive • Permit use of forex reserves for management of predictability • Risk appraisal and management : shared+diverse

  8. Civil Society • Targeting basic services and empowerment require CS voice • Opening space for CS – including donors with aid dependent partners • But neutrality? Closing off other voices? • Accountability not just S: CS (+Parlia) promotion of D to be part of PGBS package • Engagement through PRS?

  9. Aid instrument mix is key – what is the optimal mix/how decide? No proportions Country determined mix complement not compete ‘[PGBS is an] indispensable but not exclusive instrument’ (Switzerland) TA to be linked more strategically (levels) Growth – not necessarily programmatic aid But, don’t focus on complementarities to ignore PGBS recommendations Complementarities

  10. Other… • Staffing: deconcentration and longer postings / skills in political analysis of commitment to poverty reduction / policy analysis / PGBS skills • ‘P’ = mutual/joint accountability • Evaluation framework – evidence (NOAM)

  11. By whom… • Evaluation role concludes • dissemination incl summaries/in country/NOAM • SPA – corruption • DAC (beyond guidelines?) • Mgt for Dev Results • Govnet – shared pol econ analysis • WP EFF

  12. Outstanding questions • Confusion on indicators? Not no. but disbursement link and ownership • Poverty impact: services proxy enough? • Scaling up and critical values for rev effect GP on within year + M/L-T predictability (incl. mgt of trust breakdown) • Relevance to other country categories • Regional BS for infrastructure (to whom?) • How achieve accountability/reporting to domestic constituents - honesty • What role safeguards?

  13. PGBS Marriage…and family Courtship Wedding Family Trust of PGBS instruments Clear Prenup

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