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China’s sustainable development. The concept and theory of Sustainable Development. Guo Ru Ph.D . CESE, Tongji University ruguo@tongji.edu.cn. Outline . Ice-breaking game Why sustainable development? What is sustainable development? Sustainable development in China
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China’s sustainable development The concept and theory of Sustainable Development GuoRu Ph.D. CESE, Tongji University ruguo@tongji.edu.cn
Outline • Ice-breaking game • Why sustainable development? • What is sustainable development? • Sustainable development in China • Critiques on sustainable development
An Interview (5 minutes) • Work in pair and ask your partner the following questions(3 minutes): • Do you always use sustainable mode of transportation ( such as public transport ,bicycle and walking)? • Have you participated in community(or campus) activities? • Do you always eat local food? • Discuss with your partner the reason of your choices(2 minutes)
We are now faced with the fact that tomorrow is today. --- Martin Luther King
Something New Under the Sun:Criticism on Growth Worship • Historian J.R. McNell • The meaning: the place of humankind within the natural world is not what it was • Growth worship as the mainstream ideology in Socialism and Capitalism • After the Great Depression of the 1930s: nature figured as a storehouse of resource waiting to be used
The Earliest Ecological Economics:Thomas Robert Malthus (1766-1834) • An England Priest, Principle of Population (1798) • Population growth is exponential while food supply growth is linear. There exists the trend that the growth of population will exceed that of food supply • Different comments on Malthus • Failure anathema prophet (失败的诅咒先知) • The first economist who combine the economy with ecology • His idea implied: economy as subsystem of ecosystem; population carrying capacity
Efficiency Only Buys Time • Infinite growth in a finite system is an impossible goal and will eventually lead to failure • Two approaches of growth worship • Market Economy (the West): decentralized markets; greater efficiency • Planned Economy (USSR, China ): centralization; low efficiency • Because of its greater efficiency, the West can kept going for a bit longer in its impossible quest • But efficiency only buys time, the infinite growth is impossible.
The Development Gap Christie, I and D. Warburton, 2001, p.7, Table 1.1
The development gap • The geography of the development gap is more complex than a simple ‘North-South divide’ • Latin America has HDI levels similar to eastern Europe; China’s HDI and some others in SE Asia are relatively high • South Asia has a concentration of levels below 0.6 • Level in the Middle East are relatively high, although not in Yemen, Syria and Iraq • The picture for Africa is very complex, with the extreme north and south having decent HDI levels
Unsustainable Exploitation of Resources • Since 1971, global energy use has increased by 70% and is expected to rise 2% per year in the next 15 years. This will increase greenhouse gases by 50% over current levels. • Increased atmospheric nitrogen from fossil fuel combustion and farming of root crops, which release nitrogen, has intensified the occurrence in of acid rain • Natural resources (e.g. soils, forests, fish aquatic habitats) continue to decrease in quantity due to fires, pollution and human influence
Unsustainable Exploitation of Resources • Loss of biological diversity has resulted from human activities such as deforestation and pollution. • 40% of our global economy is dependent on biologically derived products. • 17 million hectares of tropical forest destroyed each year • 70-100 species disappear every day • Water, soil and air have been strained due to high pollution levels.
The State of the Planet Climate Change Diagram from IPCC
The State of Our Planet Consequences: Four Earths needed in 2100 2003 2100 1900 2050
Viewing The Earth As A Ship • The earth as a ship, gross material production of the economy as the cargo • We are navigating unknown seas and no one can predict the weather for the voyage Resources are limited, What should be the priority?
Our goal is: • To load the ship to the limit • To maintain areas of the ship for our comfort and enjoyment • To maintain it in excellent condition for future generations
Growth and Development • Growth(增长) is a quantitative increase in size, or an increase in throughput • Throughput(吞吐量)is the flow of raw materials and energy from the global ecosystem, through the economy, and back to the global ecosystem as waste • Development(发展)is the increase in quality of goods and services, as defined by their ability to increase human well-being, provided by a given throughput • Carrying capacity (承载力) is the population of humans that can be sustained by a given ecosystem at a given level of consumption, with a given technology • Sustainable development(可持续发展)is development without growth----that is, qualitative improvement in the ability to satisfy wants (needs and desires) without a quantitative increase in throughput beyond environmental carrying capacity • Limits to growth ≠ limits to development
Sustainable development Social Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs Environmental Economic
History • Stockholm 1972: UN Conference on the Human Environment • Report of the World Commission on the Environment and Development: “Our Common Future”,1987. • Rio 1992: UN Conference on Environment and Development: Agenda 21(a non-binding, voluntarily implemented action plan of the United Nations with regards to sustainable development.) • Johannesburg 2002: 2nd World Summit on Sustainable Development • Rio +20 ,2012:UN Conference on Sustainable Development, with sustainable development governance and green economy as the main themes
Far-Reaching Ethical, Political and Economic Implications • Raised the environmental issue to a high level; • Recognizing the issue of intra-generation and inter-generation equity; • While, still allowing for growth and development; • And bound all countries to a global effort.
Who does sustainable development? • The UN and its agencies • Dozens of environmental conventions and programs(UNDP) • National, state, local governments, communities • 110 national, over 6000 local Agenda 21s • Non-governmental organizations • Thousands involved • Industry Sectors • All firms involved in service provision from cradle to cradle • Companies and other Organizations • Environmental Management Systems; Corporate social responsibility/sustainability programs; ethical investing • Consumers • Green consumer movements, fair trade
Ecological Definition • IUCN, WWF and UNEP. 1980. • Sustainable development - maintenance of essential ecological processes and life support systems, the preservation of genetic diversity, and the sustainable utilization of species and ecosystems.
Core Economic Definitions Robert Haveman. 1989. • Sustainable development is the maintenance or growth of the aggregate level of economic well-being, defined as the level of per capita economic well-being. John Pezzey. 1989. • Our standard definition of sustainable development will be non-declining per capita utility - because of its self-evident appeal as a criterion for inter-generational equity.
Social Definitions David Munro,1995. • Sustainable development is a complex of activities that can be expected to improve the human condition in such a manner that the improvement can be maintained. Nazli Choucri, 1997. • The process of managing social demands without eroding life support properties or mechanisms of social cohesion and resilience.
Integrating economic definition with environment Johan Holmberg, 1992. • Sustainable development means either that per capita utility or well-being is increasing over time with free exchange or substitution between natural and man-made capital; or that per capita utility or well-being is increasing over time subject to non-declining natural wealth. There are several reasons why the second and more narrow focus is justified, including: • Nonsubstitutability between environmental assets (the ozone layer cannot be recreated); • Uncertainty (our limited understanding of the life-supporting functions of many environmental assets dictates that they be preserved for the future); • Irreversibility (once lost, no species can be recreated); • Equity (the poor are usually more affected by bad environments than the rich).
Integration and Fundamental Change? Maurice Strong, 1992. • Sustainable development involves a process of deep and profound change in the political, social, economic, institutional, and technological order, including redefinition of relations between developing and more developed countries. World Bank, 1992.. • Sustainable development means basing developmental and environmental policies on a comparison of costs and benefits and on careful economic analysis that will strengthen environmental protection and lead to rising and sustainable levels of welfare.
Sustainable Development as a Balance Environment Society Economy
China’s Agenda 21 • 1978 Open Door Policy, rapid industrialization & urbanization serious environmental problems • June 1992: UN Conference on Environment and Development in Rio de Janeiro • July 1992: the State Development Planning Commission (SDPC) & the State Science & Technology Commission (SSTC) were appointed as the leading institutions for co-ordinating all ministries, departments and non-government organizations to work together to formulate China’s Agenda 21—’White Paper on China’s Population, Environment and Development in the 21st Century’
China’s Agenda 21 • SDPC: socio-economic planning • SSTC: research and development • ACCA21: The Administrative Centre for China’s Agenda 21—secretariat set up in May 1994, http://www.acca21.org.cn/ • March 25, 1994: China’s Agenda 21,the first national agenda 21 formulated after the 1st Earth Summit
China’s Agenda 21 • Four parts: • Comprehensive strategy and policy of sustainable development • Sustainable social development • Sustainable economic development • Rational utilisation of resources and environmental protection • Agenda 21: a guide document for drawing up medium & long-term plans on socio-economic development: Five Year Plans & sectoral plans at different levels
Strategic SD Concepts: • To promote the shift in economic structure & the mode of economic development: improving quality of development in growth • Relying on science and technology: integrating science, education & the economy • To promote moral & ethical development & to strengthen democracy & legal systems • Control population growth • Policies and laws on utilization & protection of natural resources • Controlling pollution & preventing soil erosion • ‘Help the poor’ programmes • National policy, legal system, decision making and management coordination mechanisms for SD
Understanding Sustainable Development • There exists the limits to growth since natural resource is finite. In other words, growth has its ecological constraints. • Since natural resource is finite, thus how to distribute these scarce resources is a very important issue. A more equal distribution system can relief the contradiction between intra-generation, intergeneration, and inter-species, which can secure a more sustainable future. In other words, growth has its moral constraints. • How to use scarce resources to meet our needs? Under the ecological and moral constraints, an efficient allocation mechanism (eg., market mechanism) is necessary for a sustainable development
Critiques on sustainable development • Discussions of sustainable development and sustainable living are also criticized by some as overly anthropocentric. • Arguing against consumption and overpopulation on the grounds that they are depleting resources and threatening the well-being of present and future generations can ignore harms done to the natural world itself.
Homework • Give your own view to the following question(less than 1500 words). • How does your country(or region) reflect a history of sustainable development? • Deadline:3.26