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ISM ® Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing Semiannual Economic Forecast

ISM ® Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing Semiannual Economic Forecast. ISM Semiannual Economic Forecast, Spring 2014. Spring Update of December 2013 Forecast for 2014 Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Sectors Compare 2014 Forecasts with 2013 Reported Results

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ISM ® Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing Semiannual Economic Forecast

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  1. ISM®Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing Semiannual Economic Forecast

  2. ISM Semiannual Economic Forecast, Spring 2014 Spring Update of December 2013 Forecast for 2014 Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Sectors Compare 2014 Forecasts with 2013 Reported Results Broad Sector Overviews with Industry-Specific Insights Revenue, CapEx, Commodity Prices, Employment Special Question Related to Harsh Weather Impact

  3. 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 Manufacturing

  4. 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 Revenue +3.4% CapEx +12.3% Prices +0.9% Employment +1.7%* * Reported for May–Dec 2013 Manufacturing

  5. † Predicted Jan–Dec 2014 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 Revenue +4.4% CapEx +8.0% Prices +1.6% Employment +2.4%† Revenue +3.4% CapEx +12.3% Prices +0.9% Employment +1.7%* * Reported for May–Dec 2013 Manufacturing

  6. † Predicted Jan–Dec 2014 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 April–December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 Revenue +4.4% CapEx +8.0% Prices +1.6% Employment +2.4%† Revenue +5.3% CapEx +10.3% Prices +1.5% Employment +1.5%‡ ‡ Predicted May–Dec 2014 Revenue +3.4% CapEx +12.3% Prices +0.9% Employment +1.7%* * Reported for May–Dec 2013 April–December2013 Manufacturing

  7. April 2014 Semiannual Special Questions ‡ diffusion index for April 2014 April–December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 The 3 Special Questions Related to Harsh Weather: Reported for 2014: Revenue +5.3% Prices +1.3% Employment 54.7%‡ April–December2013 Manufacturing

  8. ‡ diffusion index for April 2014 Present Here’s where we are now 2014 Industries Reporting Revenue Growth • Textile Mills • Printing & Related Support Activities • Furniture & Related Products • Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products • Fabricated Metal Products • Transportation Equipment • Plastics & Rubber Products • Paper Products • Miscellaneous Manufacturing • Nonmetallic Mineral Products • Chemical Products • Computer & Electronic Products • Primary Metals • Petroleum & Coal Products • Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components • Wood Products • Machinery • Apparel, Leather & Allied Products Reported for 2014: Revenue +5.3% Prices +1.3% Employment 54.7%‡ April–December2013 Manufacturing

  9. 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 Non-Manufacturing

  10. 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 Revenue +4.0% CapEx +4.2% Prices +1.3% Employment +0.4%* * Reported for May–Dec 2013 Non-Manufacturing

  11. † Predicted Jan–Dec 2014 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 Revenue +3.6% CapEx +4.6% Prices +1.9% Employment +2.1%† Revenue +4.0% CapEx +4.2% Prices +1.3% Employment +0.4%* * Reported for May–Dec 2013 Non-Manufacturing

  12. † Predicted Jan–Dec 2014 2014 Initial Forecast December 2014 April–December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 2014 Updated Forecast April 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 Revenue +3.6% CapEx +4.6% Prices +1.9% Employment +2.1%† Revenue +4.0% CapEx +4.2% Prices +1.3% Employment +0.4%* * Reported for May–Dec 2013 Revenue +2.7% CapEx +10.8% Prices +2.2% Employment +1.4%‡ ‡ Predicted May–Dec 2014 April–December2013 Non-Manufacturing

  13. April 2014 Semiannual Special Questions ‡ diffusion index for April 2014 April–December 2014 2013Reported Results December 2013 The 3 Special Questions Related to Harsh Weather: Reported for 2014: Revenue +5.3% Prices +1.3% Employment 54.7%‡ April–December2013 Non-Manufacturing

  14. 2014 Industries Reporting Revenue Growth ‡ diffusion index for April 2014 Present Here’s where we are now • Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting • Transportation & Warehousing • Construction • Mining • Wholesale Trade • Retail Trade • Arts, Entertainment & Recreation • Utilities • Public Administration • Finance & Insurance • Accommodation & Food Services • Professional, Scientific & Technical Services • Management of Companies & Support Services • Information • Real Estate, Rental & Leasing • Educational Services • Other Services Reported for 2014: Revenue +5.3% Prices +1.3% Employment 54.7%‡ April–December2013 Non-Manufacturing

  15. See Report for Additional Forecast Details… Operating Rates as Percent of Normal Capacity Expected Production Capacity Increases Industries Listed in Order of Growth, Increases, etc.

  16. Thanks! The Focus is YOU!

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