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EU development cooperation in middle-income countries ? The state of play of the negotiations. Mikaela Gavas 9 May 2013 m.gavas@odi.org.uk. Introduction. Differentiation and its rationale Five overlapping objectives Levels of differentiation
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EU development cooperation in middle-income countries?The state of play of the negotiations Mikaela Gavas 9 May 2013 m.gavas@odi.org.uk
Introduction • Differentiation and its rationale • Five overlapping objectives • Levels of differentiation • EU institutional approaches to differentiation in the DCI • What aid allocation criteria? • How to apply the criteria? • Cutting or phasing out? • Differentiation and the EDF • Member State approaches to differentiation • Milestones in the negotiations
Levels of differentiation • Differentiated eligibility to development assistance (i.e. ‘graduation’) • Differentiated volumes of development assistance • Differentiated mix of policies and instruments
Eligibility and volume of development assistance • Based on: need, performance, capacity, commitment & potential EU impact Level 1: • Criteria for eligibility for grant-based bilateral aid: • UMICs according to the OECD-DAC • More than a 1% share of global GDP • Other factors also considered (Human Development Index, Economic Vulnerability Index, aid dependency, economic growth levels and foreign direct investment) Level 2: • Criteria for levels/volumes of development assistance (TBD)
Differentiated mix of policies and instruments Grant and subsidy-based aid Less concessionary: blended finance, still ODA, but less through aid agencies OECD-type cooperation: peer learning, institutional twinning, fully co-financed Myanmar India China Korea Adapted from Altenburg and Koch, DIE, 2011 • Differentiated development partnerships funded through thematic envelopes and the Partnership Instrument: • Loans (esp. blending of loans and grants) • Technical cooperation • Support for trilateral cooperation
A different approach for the EDF ‘…what we intend to propose is strong differentiation according to the level of income. But for the Caribbean I have a bit of a soft spot because the countries are vulnerable to two major challenges: climate change and natural disasters. It is the same with the Pacific…They are vulnerable economies that in a way deserve some attention even if the income per capita is there’ (Commissioner Piebalgs) • Differentiated eligibility will not be applied (level 1) • But, there will be increased differentiation of aid volumes and instruments (levels 2 and 3) • Should the same criteria be used?
Differentiation and the EDF: potential implications • Less than 1% of the EDF’s poor live in the EDF-21 countries • But, 17 out of the 21 score high on the Environmental Vulnerability Index 21 UMICs in the EDF:
Differentiation and the EDF: potential implications • Transition from 9th to 10th EDF
4 groups of Member States • Clear criteria with no exceptions • Clear criteria with flexibility to include or exclude countries • Sceptical of criteria and country list • Clear criteria with specified exceptions
Milestones in the negotiations MFF: • February 2013 – European Council agreement on the figures for the MFF (2014-2020) • March 2013 – European Parliament rejects European Council agreement • April 2013 – European Commission proposal for allocating funds across the instruments for external action • May 2013 – Council, Parliament and Commission agree to restart negotiations on the future EU budget DCI: • June 2012 – Council’s Partial General Agreement on the DCI • September 2012 - European Parliament’s negotiating position on the DCI EDF: • December 2011 - European Commission proposal for the 11th EDF • March 2013 – European Parliament own initiative report on the 11th EDF