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Lesson 9-5. Logistic Equations. Logistic Equation. dP ----- ≈ kP dt. if P is small. We assume P(t) is constrained by limited resources so : Logistic differential equation for population growth:
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Lesson 9-5 Logistic Equations
Logistic Equation dP ----- ≈ kP dt if P is small We assume P(t) is constrained by limited resources so : Logistic differential equation for population growth: where small k is proportional constant of growth and big K is the population carry capacity (via resource restrictions) so if P > K the population decreases and if P < K the population increases Its solution is P(t) = K / (1 + A e–kt) where A = (K – P0) / P0 dP ----- ≈ kP (1 – P/K) dt
Example 1a Find the solution to the initial value problem dP/dt = 0.01P(1 – P/500) and P(1980) = 200, , where t is given in years since 1980. Hint: Identify P0 and K; find A. P(t) = K / (1 + A e–kt) where A = (K – P0) / P0 Equation: P(0)= 200 t is years since 1980 dP ----- ≈ kP (1 – P/K) dt Differential Equation: k=0.01; K = 500; A = (500 – 200)/200 = 3/2 P(t) = 500 / (1 + (1.5)e-0.01t )
Example 1b Use the equation to find the population in 1985. P(t) = 500 / (1 + (1.5)e-0.01t ) t is years since 1980 Equation: P(5) = 500 / (1 + (1.5)e-0.01(5) ) = 500 /
Example 1c When does the population reach 450? P(t) = 500 / (1 + (1.5)e-0.01t ) t is years since 1980 Equation: 450 = 500 / (1 + (1.5)e-0.01t ) (1 + (1.5)e-0.01t ) = 500/450 1.5 e-0.01t = 1/9
Example 2 A biologist stocks a shrimp farm pond with 1000 shrimp. The number of shrimp double in one year and the pond has a carrying capacity of 10,000. How long does it take the population to reach 99% of the pond’s capacity? P = p0e±kt General Equation: decay k < 0; p0 = 10 grams P(5730)= 5 = 10e5730k 0.5 = e5730k ln 0.5 = ln e5730k = 5730k ln 2-1 / 5730 = k -(ln 2)/5730 = k = -0.000121 Use to solve for k Equation: P(2000) = 10e2000(-0.000121) = 7.851 grams
Summary & Homework • Summary: • Logistics Equations are another differential equation • Carrying capacity makes them unique • Homework: • pg 629-631: 5, 6, 8