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Initial Assessment. Predicting job performanceR
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1. Initial Assessment: Emphasizing Past Behavior Prof. John Kammeyer-Mueller
MGT 6366
3. Logic of Prediction: Past Performance Predicts Future Performance Not specific enough to make selection decisions
Job titles
Number of years of experience
What counts is the specific types of experiences required and the level of success at each
4. A Proposed Organizing System Predictor Measures
Resumes (education and experience)
Job simulations
Tests and standardized scales
Interviews
Background investigations
Predictor Constructs
Knowledge and skill in job requirements
General mental ability
Conscientious work habits
Appropriate work style (i.e. personality) for the specific job
5. Schmidt & Hunter:Results for Job Performance
6. Schmidt & Hunter:Results for Training Performance
7. Schmidt & Hunter:Toward a Theory of Determinants Three major types of predictors
Ability
Experience
Personality (conscientiousness, emotional stability, agreeableness)
Mediating characteristics
Job knowledge mediates ability and personality links to job performance
Little information on mediators of personality is presented
8. Hausknecht, Day, & Thomas:Applicant Reactions to Selection Procedures
9. Hausknecht, Day, & Thomas:Applicant Reactions to Selection Procedures
10. Hausknecht, Day, & Thomas:Applicant Reactions to Selection Procedures
11. From Statistics to Substance—Whom Do You Want to Hire? Job specific characteristics
Knows what the job involves
Has skill or experience at doing the things that are required
General characteristics
Intelligent
Hard working
Gets along with other people
The emphasis on each varies from job to job
How specific are the typical tasks?
Is the job in a promotion chain?
Will the job change over time?
12. Résumés and cover letters Costs and benefits of résumés and letters
Methods for creating résumés
Methods for scanning and comparing résumés and letters
13. Résumés are among the most popular screening methods This makes sense
Applicants perceive them as fair
Give detailed background on what a person has done
Provide an insight into what an applicant would tend to do on their own
No cost to collect them This also seems strange
Résumés are easy to fake
Provide biased information (only good things)
Their open-ended nature makes them hard to compare
Can be expensive in terms of employee time
14. Methods for scoring application forms and résumés Simple résumé sort
Take the résumés and sort from best to worst
Write down reasons for sorting
Score based on mentioned information
One point for mention of each relevant item
Develop an anchored rating scale
Score ranges from 5=excellent answer on each dimension to 1=very poor answer on each dimension
16. New Trends in Résumé Screening—Scanning Software Very few companies read résumés any more—most send them to résumé scanning software
Software won’t look for vague things like “good communicator”
Scanning software is likely to look for nouns (project management experience) rather than action verbs with adjectives (managed high-level projects)
Applicants should create a specific list of keywords and phrases for themselves and make certain they are used
While formatting may be impressive in some fields, many companies require all résumés to have identical format
17. Application blanks Traditional application blank methods
Work experience
Education
Weighted application blanks
18. After the Résumé—the Application Applications are the ways a company organizes information that might otherwise be on an resume
Gives the company control over formatting
Guarantees that certain questions are answered
Typically these documents are legally binding (i.e. lying, if discovered later, is considered grounds for termination)
19. Unit 2, Lecture 4: Initial Selection Techniques Overview of Seniority and Experience Definitions
Seniority
Length of service with organization, department, or job
Experience
Not only length of service but also kinds of activities an employee has undertaken
Why so widely used?
Direct experience in a job content area reflects an accumulated stock of KSAOs necessary to perform job
Information is easily and cheaply obtained
Protects employee from capricious treatment and favoritism
Promoting senior or experienced employees is socially acceptable -- viewed as rewarding loyalty
20. Work Experience and Job Performance Experience is nearly universally used to select individuals
There are many different ways to conceptualize experience however
Levels of specificity: do you measure just the specific task the person is doing, or do you measure the entire scope of the job?
Measurement mode: do you measure quantity, quality, or type of experience?
21. Levels of Measuring Experience:A Complete Typology
22. Levels of Measuring Experience:Another Specific Example
23. So What’s the Best Way to Measure Experience?
24. Average Applicant Experience Moderates the Importance of Experience
25. Implications for Measuring Experience Level of specificity
The more task specific you can be, the better your prediction of performance will be
This may be because people are more willing to “fudge” a job title but won’t outright lie about a specific task
Measurement mode
Time is slightly better than type of experience
Again, could this be because it’s more objective (i.e. reliable?)
Type of applicant group
Experience does differentiate when applicants have little to no experience on average
As the average candidate has more and more experience, the differences in their experience levels become less and less important
26. Education and Job Performance Education is often called the “primary sorting mechanism” for jobs in the United States
Many jobs have formally imposed educational standards (e.g., doctors, lawyers, accountants, engineers, etc.)
There is lower variation in education than IQ within wage quintiles
Those who have very similar education levels tend to make nearly the same amount of money
Those who have very similar IQ have much more variability in their income levels
28. Education and Job Performance Arguments for using education
It’s an indicator for job skills
Measures how smart people are (r=.50+)
Measures conscientiousness (r=.35)
It’s cheap and can be verified Arguments against using education
Why not measure intelligence and skills directly?
Years of education completed is too broad a predictor
Potential for adverse impact against minorities
29. Could Educational Requirements Lead to Adverse Impact?
30. Could Educational Requirements Lead to Adverse Impact?
31. Could Educational Requirements Lead to Adverse Impact?
32. A Better Way of Checking: University GPA Evidence that GPA is used
Many organizations ask college placement offices for grades
By some estimates, about 40% of companies doing on-campus interviews have a minimum GPA requirement for interviews
33. Companies Use GPA: Invitations for On-Campus Interviews
34. GPA and Adverse Impact: Often Worse than Degree Status Results using various hypothetical cutoffs
Data collected from 527 business seniors and 77 accounting seniors
Results show clear adverse impact for all cutoffs
35. Correlations between Education and Performance
36. Correlations between Education and Income
37. Weighted Application Blanks Your textbook takes a lot of time talking about using weighted application blanks
The basic method is to examine the correlation between various parts of the application and overall job performance
Put more weight on those that are more correlated
Basically, an application of multiple regression
This is the first step towards what we will call biodata…
38. Biodata The concept behind biodata
Basic biodata item types
Validity of biodata
Applicant reactions
39. Moving beyond the application blank: Biographical data The assumption that underlies the use of biodata is that past behavior is a valid predictor of future behavior.
Information about work experiences, education, or even hobbies can be used.
Items are selected on the basis of research which demonstrates significant relationships between item responses and job performance.
Examples
skills
socioeconomic level-financial status
social
interests
personal characteristics, attitudes expressed.
40. Empirical keying: Developing a biodata item successfully Poor items do not discriminate between good and poor employees
Good items have high discrimination between good and poor employees
41. Remembering how we did this before
42. Some issues with empirical keying Many items are relatively common among both good and bad employees
Even good items may be uncommon among applicants in general
43. Advantages and disadvantages of biodata measures Advantages
Very difficult for applicants to fake
The process is completely standardized
Because its numbers driven you can perform it objectively
Across meta-analyses the correlation between biodata and job performance is about 0.40 Disadvantages
Prediction without understanding
Current employees are a restricted group
Cannot be transported from situation to situation
Applicants may react negatively to intrusive questions
Verifiability is extremely low
44. Questions for an application blank
45. Measurement and Meaning of Job Knowledge Correlations with job performance
This is pretty cut and dried, so despite my strong desire for consistency in the length of these subsections, there’s not much else to say about this
46. Hiring for the job: Tests for job-specific knowledge Work samples
Actual physical mock up of job tasks
In-basket exercises for managerial tasks
Relationship with job performance r=0.54
Job knowledge
Questions regarding factual and procedural elements of the job
Relationship with job performance r=0.48 1 Schmidt, F. L., Hunter, J. E., Outerbridge, A. N. (1986). Impact of job experience and ability on job knowledge, work sample performance, and supervisory ratings of job performance. Journal of Applied Psychology, 71, 432-439.1 Schmidt, F. L., Hunter, J. E., Outerbridge, A. N. (1986). Impact of job experience and ability on job knowledge, work sample performance, and supervisory ratings of job performance. Journal of Applied Psychology, 71, 432-439.
47. Examples of job knowledge tests Job knowledge
HR job
Which of the following laws is relevant for the practice of human resources selection?
Describe the 4/5ths rule as it applies to the process of employee recruiting.
Nursing job
Your assessment reveals diffuse wheezing throughout her lungs, clubbed fingers, and peripheral edema. Her arterial blood gases (ABGs), taken in the ED, show chronic respiratory acidosis with hypoxemia and chronic hypercapnia. What is the likely diagnosis?
Information systems management
What is the difference between a LAN and WAN in terms of connectivity and cost of maintenance?
48. Background checks The premise behind background checks and negligent hiring
Methods of background checks
Credit reports
Criminal records
References
Defamation of character
Legal difficulties in failing to get references
49. Background checks—can they increase employer knowledge? Background information could be very informative
Past behavior predicts future behavior
Jobs are similar from company to company
Protect the public from dangerous individuals
References can be very problematic
What if discrimination or prejudices are communicated through references?
What if a former employer wants to “blackball” anyone who wants to leave?
The result: the background check paradox!
50. You’d Better Do Some Checking Examples of fraud tactics
ADP Screening and Selection Services, in a 2003 study, found that about 50% of the people on whom it conducted employment and education checks had submitted false information
Applicants provide toll-free phone numbers, which are answered by operators of Web sites that "verify" a job seeker's education
Candidates pay hackers to plug their names into a class list of a university they claim to have attended
Web sites such as http://www.fakedegrees.com and http://easydiploma.com provide false degrees
Consequences of fraud in résumés
Potential felony for hacking into a university's database
If a false degree leads to higher pay, the employer can claim fraud
"A good liar understands that you have to have some basis and facts to pull off a scam," said Lester Rosen, president of California-based Employment Screening Resources. "But it's even more dangerous when employers unknowingly hire a fraud, thief or a crook."
51. You’d Better Do Some Checking Negligent hiring
Negligence—failure to exercise the same level of care in making decisions that a reasonable person would
Employers can be liable for failure to screen out dangerous individuals
Where is negligent hiring most likely?
Delivery jobs or work inside people’s home
Work with “vulnerable populations”
Work with dangerous equipment
52. You’d Better Do Some Checking Negligent hiring cases
Poe v. Domino’s pizza (1998)
Domino’s pizza hired a convicted rapist to deliver pizza
The deliverer raped a woman, but outside the purview of his duties
Poe lost, but the principle of negligent hiring was upheld
McKishnie v. Rainbow Carpet Cleaning
Company “should have known” that a carpet cleaner had been fired from his last job for drug violations and carrying a weapon
53. HR in the News: Hiring through Credit Checks Companies are screening backgrounds more thoroughly than ever.
History of timely payments- responsible applicant
Candidates with huge debts- more likely to steal
Why the need for tighter controls on hiring?
After Sept. 11th – greater efforts to confirm applicant’s identity
After accounting scandals of 2002 – added credit reports to improve background checks, and raise hiring standards
What do the reports track?- What is not included?-
2 yrs. on credit cards credit scores
Mortgages birth dates
Student loans info referring to spouse
Bankruptcy filings
Federal law-
Companies are prohibited from hiring/rejecting solely on credit.
Employers must obtain permission to run a credit check.
NY Times, March 28, 2004
54. Criminal Records: What Can You Examine and When? Criminal records checks are recommended if:
Employees have access to money, drugs, explosives, or master keys
Drive a company vehicle
Criminal records checks are required if:
Employees contact the public in their homes, interact with patients, children, or other vulnerable populations
Carry a weapon
55. Checking for a Criminal Record Arrest records
Generally are legally off limits because they don’t show someone did anything wrong
Conviction records
Generally admissible if directly job related
Some states (like Florida) don’t mind if you use any conviction at all
Other states proscribe that the crime must be related to job duties
56. Criminal Background Checks and Disparate Impact Disparate impact
Conviction and arrest records have disparate impact on African-Americans
Conviction rates for African-Americans and Whites are similar in urban areas and in rural areas
Arrest rates are higher in urban areas
African-Americans are more likely to live in urban areas
57. What Are References Saying? Julia Chase, owner of a reference-check company reports:
40% of former supervisors supply good references
21% give average references
20% give bad ones
18% default do just dates of employment and title
Chicago Tribune (Oct 2, 2002)
58. Reference checks—can they increase employer knowledge? Why you might not get good reference checks
No economic benefit for giving the references
Why waste HR’s time compiling this information?
Why tell competitors who to hire?
No laws compel former employers to disclose anything
Potential liability risk for defamation of character
59. What Can You Say in a Reference Check? What can you give in a reference check?
Name, rank, and id number
Objective information is very legally defensible; one example is saying a person is “eligible for rehire”
Many states have laws saying that reference information has qualified privilege if:
It is not knowingly false
It is not in bad faith
It doesn’t show reckless disregard for the truth
60. Reference checks—can they increase employer knowledge? Failures in obligation to disclose
If an employer knew an employee committed a crime and failed to disclose this information to subsequent employers, they may be sued
Charles Cullen, the “death nurse” (2003)
Cullen now admits to killing 30-40 patients
Police investigated possible connections between him and deaths of patients in three hospitals, in 1993, 1999 and 2002
He was fired at least five times
Each time, no one warned other employers not to hire him