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DPQ. Capital gains tax?. What’s a second?. 1/25 Test Results. Things to know from last week. Things to know from last week. Supply side economics. Things to know from last week. Supply side economics Laffer Curve. Things to know from last week. Supply side economics Laffer Curve
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Things to know from last week • Supply side economics
Things to know from last week • Supply side economics • Laffer Curve
Things to know from last week • Supply side economics • Laffer Curve • Keynesian economics
Fallacy of Composition • The mistaken assumption that what applies to a part applies automatically to the whole
Fallacy of Composition • The mistaken assumption that what applies to a part applies automatically to the whole • Example?
Fallacy of Composition • The mistaken assumption that what applies to a part applies automatically to the whole • Example? • “Saving” jobs in the U.S. auto industry
Fallacy of Composition • The mistaken assumption that what applies to a part applies automatically to the whole • Example? • “Saving” jobs in the U.S. auto industry • Obama spent at least $85 billion to bail out GM and Chrysler
Fallacy of Composition • The mistaken assumption that what applies to a part applies automatically to the whole • Example? • “Saving” jobs in the U.S. auto industry • Obama spent at least $85 billion to bail out GM and Chrysler • But how many jobs elsewhere did it cost?
Why would auto bailout cost jobs elsewhere? • Everything the government spends is taken from somebody else
Why would auto bailout cost jobs elsewhere? • Everything the government spends is taken from somebody else • The taxes to support above market-rate UAW wages and benefits could have been used to support the next Google or Apple
Why would auto bailout cost jobs elsewhere? • Everything the government spends is taken from somebody else • The taxes to support above market-rate UAW wages and benefits could have been used to support the next Google or Apple • Government is notoriously inefficient
Measuring National Output • GDP: gross domestic product
Measuring National Output • GDP: gross domestic product • GNP: gross national product
Gross National Product • The sum total of all the goods and services produced by the country’s people in any given year, wherever they may be located
Gross Domestic Product • The sum total of all goods and services produced within a nation’s borders including that by foreign nationals
Gross Domestic Product • The sum total of all goods and services produced within a nation’s borders including that by foreign nationals • GDP is the preferred measurement of contemporary economists, used by the U.S. since 1992
The two main components of GDP • Private consumption and public sector spending
The two main components of GDP • Private consumption and public sector spending • In 2010, U.S. GDP was $14.7 trillion
The two main components of GDP • Private consumption and public sector spending • In 2010, U.S. GDP was $14.7 trillion • Private consumption was $10.4 trillion
The two main components of GDP • Private consumption and public sector spending • In 2010, U.S. GDP was $14.7 trillion • Private consumption was $10.4 trillion • Private investment was $1.8 trillion
The two main components of GDP • Private consumption and public sector spending • In 2010, U.S. GDP was $14.7 trillion • Private consumption was $10.4 trillion • Private investment was $1.8 trillion • Government spending was $3 trillion, about 20%
Hey, wait a minute! • Problem 1: The totals are $15.2 trillion, not $14.7 trillion
Hey, wait a minute! • Problem 1: The totals are $15.2 trillion, not $14.7 trillion • Problem 2: Federal budget alone in 2010 was $3.69 trillion
Common GDP Formula GDP = C + I + G + (X − M) C is consumption I is gross investment G is government spending X is exports M is imports
Top 5 GDP Nations • U.S.................$14.6 trillion • PRC (China)......$5.7 trillion • Japan...............$5.3 trillion • Germany..........$3.3 trillion • France.............$2.6 trillion
Top 5 GDP Nations, Per Capita • Luxembourg • Norway • Qatar • Switzerland • Denmark
Top 5 GDP Nations, Per Capita • Luxembourg • Norway • Qatar • Switzerland • Denmark • #10: United States
Top 5 GDP Nations, Per Capita • Luxembourg • Norway • Qatar • Switzerland • Denmark • #10: United States • #95: China
“Figures often beguile me, particularly when I have the arranging of them myself; in which case the remark attributed to Disraeli would often apply with justice and force: ‘There are three kinds of lies: lies, d**n lies and statistics.’" Mark Twain's Own Autobiography: The Chapters from the North American Review
Unintended Consequences “Chili’s Feels Heat to Pare Costs” Wall Street Journal, 1/28/11