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Arizona’s Educational Pipeline. The Perfect Storm: The Converging Trends in Arizona’s Population, Workforce and Education Presented by Fred Lockhart Executive Director, Arizona Private School Association. What We Know. Arizona has one of the highest K-12 dropout rates in the nation
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Arizona’s Educational Pipeline The Perfect Storm: The Converging Trends in Arizona’s Population, Workforce and Education Presented by Fred Lockhart Executive Director, Arizona Private School Association
What We Know • Arizona has one of the highest K-12 dropout rates in the nation • Ranked 38th for children living in high risk families • Ranked 45th for children living in poverty • Ranked 37th for children living in families where no parent has full-time, year round employment • Ranked 49th for teens not attending school and not working
What We Know • Since the 1994-1995 school year 206,800 Arizona high school students dropped out • In a nutshell, Arizona’s K-12 system does not produce students who demonstrate high academic achievement. • According to the National Assessment of Educational Progress, Arizona’s students languish in the bottom third on standardized tests of math and English
What We Know • In Arizona, for every 100 ninth grade students…. • 59 students graduate four years later… • 30 students enter college… • 18 students are still enrolled in their second year… • 14 students graduate with either an associate’s degree within three years or a bachelor’s degree within six years.
What Does It Mean? • Arizona spends about $8,500 per child per year in K-12 • 15% of youth who dropout produce almost 80% of Arizona’s prisoners • Arizona spends nearly $28,000 per year to house each prisoner • One prisoner with a 30 year sentence will consume the money for 120 young people to go to college and earn a bachelor’s degree at no cost
Postsecondary Education • The three State Universities combined student population is about 115,000 • Maricopa Community College District serves about 295,000 students • The Private Postsecondary schools in Arizona serve 360,000 students
Arizona State Universities • Graduation rates are low. On average it takes 5.5 years to get a 4 year degree • Major increases in tuition continues to erode access to higher education • High school graduates are ill prepared for the postsecondary experience • High costs to the taxpayer • Need to improve transfer and articulation of college credits
Community Colleges • Most students are part time • Only about 38% ever graduate • Strong credit transfer and articulation with State Universities and Private Postsecondary Colleges • Strong partner in workforce development
Private Postsecondary Colleges And Technical Schools • Significantly higher graduation rates than comparable public postsecondary schools • Trains 30% of Arizona’s workforce • Higher tuition costs to students • Minimal cost to the State • Almost one-half of the students attending private postsecondary schools are minority • Strong partner in workforce development
What Does It Mean? • Arizona is the fastest growing state in the nation • Arizona is a highly transient state • Arizona is facing a deficit of skilled workers • Pressures from increased global competition and retiring baby boomers signal a growing shortage of skilled workers
What Can We Do? • Drop the K-12 agrarian society educational model and teach year around • Pay K-12 teachers better, train them better and hold them accountable for student success • Identify K-12 education models that work and implement them…NOW! • Greatly improve the on-going rate to postsecondary education • Get high school seniors “college ready” before they go to college
What Can We Do? • Increase State Aid, especially need-based aid and do it NOW! • Arizona ranks between 49th and 50th in state student aid • Arizona ranked 44th nationally for students who received Pell Grants financial assistance • Arizona is 44th in state tax funds for higher education; down from 30th six years ago
The Eye Of The Perfect Storm • 70% of the top fastest growing occupations nationally in the next decade will require college degrees • By 2020, there will be 12 million more jobs available requiring college degrees than people qualified to fill them • Arizona has the 5th lowest percentage of all 50 states of population (age 25 and older) with a bachelor’s degree
What Can I Do? • Become a student mentor (all of these kids are our kids) • Volunteer to speak at your local high school • Get parents and guardians involved • Vote! We The People, need to be heard