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Future scenario’s for higher education

Future scenario’s for higher education. Dirk VAN DAMME Head of CERI/OECD. Scenario’s. Coming out of the OECD/CERI project on ‘University Futures’ Not predictions, but consistent descriptions of alternative hypothetical futures

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Future scenario’s for higher education

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  1. Future scenario’s for higher education Dirk VAN DAMME Head of CERI/OECD

  2. Scenario’s • Coming out of the OECD/CERI project on ‘University Futures’ • Not predictions, but consistent descriptions of alternative hypothetical futures • To help decision-makers and stakeholders to make strategic choices • Tools for futures thinking and strategic management • Drawing up imagination and creative thinking OECD/CERI/France conference

  3. Sc 1. Open Networking • International collaboration and networking among institutions, scholars, students and with other actors such as industry • Harmonization of HE systems • High mobility of students designing their own courses and trajectories, modularization, technologically supported teaching and learning arrangements • English as lingua franca • Free and open knowledge exchange, international collaborative research and, although there still is hierarchy in institutions, open access to research OECD/CERI/France conference

  4. Sc 1. Open Networking • Related developments: • Bologna Process in Europe and other examples of regional convergence, mobility • International academic partnerships and consortia • Cheap and fast communication by the Internet • Open access to knowledge OECD/CERI/France conference

  5. Sc 2. Serving local communities • Institutions focused on national, regional and local missions • Educational an research activities tuned to the needs of local communities, although small number of internationally active institutions • Funding secures by local governments and business • Close relations to local industry for design of initial training and lifelong learning • Research activities less prominent (eventually concentrated elsewhere), but teaching and learning seen as important (esp. in humanities and social sciences) OECD/CERI/France conference

  6. Sc 2. Serving local communities • Related developments: • Scepticism regarding globalisation, even anti-globalisation movements • Emergence of geo-strategic concerns and even protectionisms • New interest in regional functions of higher education • Interest in role of higher education in preserving national culture and fostering social cohesion OECD/CERI/France conference

  7. Sc 3. New Public Responsibility • Higher education publicly funded and regulated, but with greater use of ‘new public management’ tools: institutional autonomy, market forces, deregulation, financial incentives, etc. • Increasing private resources, from tuition fees, patenting and industry relations • Strong public accountability systems, but also more private reward systems (reputation, feedback from families and students) • Diversification of institutions • String competition for public research funding OECD/CERI/France conference

  8. Sc 3. New Public Responsibility • Related developments: • Accountability, transparency, efficiency and effectiveness, responsiveness and forward vision as cornerstones of public management • Increasing institutional autonomy and growing private resources • Cost-sharing and raising tuition fees in many OECD-countries under debate to escape financial constraints of state budgets • Competitive research funding schemes OECD/CERI/France conference

  9. Sc 4. Higher Education Inc. • Higher education institutions competing globally to provide education services and research services on a commercial basis • Research and teaching disconnected and institutions specialise their mission according to demand • High competition for students; trade in commercial knowledge, research and education (incl vocational) • International competition and specialization; outsourcing of research and education, also with emerging economies; concentration of top-research • English as language of research and postgraduate studies OECD/CERI/France conference

  10. Sc 4. Higher Education Inc. • Related developments: • Trade liberalization in education; opening up educational services to global market; GATS • International market of research • Rise of private higher education and private funding in public systems • Increasing international mobility of students and cross-border higher education OECD/CERI/France conference

  11. global/international Higher Education Inc. Open Networking New Public Responsibility state market Serving Local Communities local/national

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