'Final forecast' presentation slideshows

553 views • 42 slides

Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)

Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP). CCFP Overview. Convective weather is the single most disruptive force affecting the National Airspace System (NAS). These disruptions are the largest cause of delays in the system

450 views • 32 slides

Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)

Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP). CCFP Overview. Convective weather is the single most disruptive force affecting the National Airspace System (NAS). These disruptions are the largest cause of delays in the system

334 views • 32 slides

Seasonality and a Trend

Seasonality and a Trend. Dr. Ron Lembke. Washoe Gaming Win, 1993-96. What did they mean when they said it was down three quarters in a row?. Look at year-over-year. 1993 1994 1995 1996. Seasonality. Seasonality is regular up or down movements in the data

457 views • 26 slides

NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION K. Lagouvardos-V. Kotroni Institute of Environmental Research

NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION K. Lagouvardos-V. Kotroni Institute of Environmental Research National Observatory of Athens. WHAT IS THE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION?. A method to forecast weather conditions based on:

395 views • 26 slides

Forecasting Forecast Error

Forecasting Forecast Error. Andy Moore & Kevin Smith UC Santa Cruz Hernan Arango Rutgers University. How can we predict forecast error ?. Ensemble methods. 0. t. Issues with ensemble methods: - how to choose the perturbations? - how large should the ensemble be?

371 views • 21 slides

Bootstrapping judgemental adjustments to improve forecasting accuracy - judgemental bootstraps vs error bootstraps

Bootstrapping judgemental adjustments to improve forecasting accuracy - judgemental bootstraps vs error bootstraps. Robert Fildes Centre for Forecasting , Lancaster University, UK Paul Goodwin Bath University, UK. Research Grants GR/60181/01 and GR/60198/01. Error = Y-F. X 1 X 2 X 3 .. ..

172 views • 13 slides

Robert Fildes Centre for Forecasting , Lancaster University, UK Paul Goodwin Bath University, UK

Bootstrapping judgemental adjustments to improve forecasting accuracy - judgemental bootstraps vs error bootstraps. Robert Fildes Centre for Forecasting , Lancaster University, UK Paul Goodwin Bath University, UK. Research Grants GR/60181/01 and GR/60198/01. Error = Y-F. X 1 X 2 X 3 .. ..

300 views • 13 slides

Volcanic ash modelling for aviation

Volcanic ash modelling for aviation . Sources of uncertainty in NAME. Why is volcanic ash a problem for aviation ?. Input parameters - Are the inputs used to drive the model accurate?

206 views • 1 slides