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Applications of Ensemble Prediction - a Historical Perspective

Applications of Ensemble Prediction - a Historical Perspective. Steve Tracton Office of Naval Research Arlington, VA. (Formally of NWS/NCEP). KEY POINTS. THERE ARE INEVITABLE UNCERTAINTIES IN NWP DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN INITIAL CONDITIONS AND MODEL FORMULATION. SCREAMING MESSAGE:.

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Applications of Ensemble Prediction - a Historical Perspective