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Biobased Products Value Chain - Feedstocks, Products & Markets -. RRM-Meeting Brussels , 2 nd April 2014 Rainer Busch, T+I Consulting Dietrich Wittmeyer, ERRMA. Bio- based products ‘ value chains. Biobased Industries Consortium: Five Value Chains.
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Biobased Products Value Chain-Feedstocks, Products & Markets - RRM-Meeting Brussels, 2nd April 2014 Rainer Busch, T+I Consulting Dietrich Wittmeyer, ERRMA
Biobased Industries Consortium: Five Value Chains • Value Chain1: From lignocellulosic feedstock to advanced biofuels, bio-based chemicals and biomaterials: realising the feedstock and technology base for the next generation of fuels, chemicals and materials • Value Chain2: The next generation forest-based value chains: utilisation of the full potential of forestry biomass by improved mobilisation and realisation of new added value products and markets • Value Chain3: The next generation agro-based value chains: realising the highest sustainability and added value by improved agricultural production, and new added value products and markets • Value Chain4: Emergence of new value chains from (organic) waste: from waste problems to economic opportunities by realising sustainable technologies to convert waste into valuable products • Value Chain5: The integrated energy, pulp and chemicals biorefineries: realising sustainable bio-energy production, by backwards integration with biorefinery operations isolating higher added value components
BiobasedSolvents - Update • 2013 bio-basedsolventsmarket • Total European solventsmarketisestimatedwith 5 milliontonnesyearly. • Different sources (Dechema, Fraunhofer Institute, ESIG) estimatetoday’s bio-basedsolventsvolumewith 50 to 100 KT (1 to 2%) • JRC Report 2013 (EUR 25743 EN) gives a market of 630 KT bio-basedsolvents. • Differenceisidentifiedtoberelatedtotheethanolsupplychain. • An European market of 630 KT bio-basedsolventscanbeconfirmedconsidering bio-ethanol useddirectlyas a solvent oras a feedstock for othersolvents.
BiobasedSolvents - Update • Solventsandthe Ethanol case (source NNFCC andindustry): • Ethanol global production 2008: 61 milliontonnes (> 90% bio-based) • Most applicationsin fuelsandfood & beverages • Ca. 6 milliontonnes for theindustry • Part of ethanolisuseddirectlyas a solvent, partblendedwithothersolvents (e.g. ETOH/ETAC blend for inks), partused for downstreamproducts (solventslike ETAC or non-solventslikeethylene, aceticacid…) • Applicationsmayswitch back andforwardconsideringmarketconditions • The solventsapplication of ETOH, being bio-basedor not, isverylowcomparedwithbiofuel but aswellindustrialapplicationsconsidering for examplethechainethanol ethylenepolyethylene • Bio-ethanol frombiomassis a maturemarketbeinghighlyimpactedbypoliciesandincentives.
BiobasedSolvents - Update • Prediction (whatcanwereasonablysaytoday) • Main solventsapplicationareethanolanddownstreamproductsorblends • Development of ethanol will remainhighlyaffectedby regional andlocalpolicies • Other bio-basedsolvents (alcohols, acetates) aremainlyoxygenatedsolventsandhaveverylowvolumesrepresentingnomorethan 1% of themarket • Theirdevelopment will depend on competitiveproductionconditions • Today, itis not possible for thesolventsindustrytogiveseriousfactbasedprediction of bio-basedsolventsmarket.
BiobasedSolvents - Update • Some additional considerations in the bio-basedsolventscontext • Feedstockavailabilityatcompetitiveconditions • Competitiveproductionprocess • Pull fromdownstreamusers • Long termpredictability of legal andincentivesconditions • Standardization will givetheframe for companiesanddownstreamuserstodeveloptheirown bio-basedstrategies
Agricultural Products & Markets- Update Source: Prospects for AgriculturalMarketsand Income in the EU 2013-2023, European Commission
Agricultural Products & Markets- Update Table 6.10 EU ricemarketbalance, 2010-23 (milliontonnesmilledequivalent) Table 6.11 EU oilseed* (grainsandbeans) marketbalance, 2010-23 (milliontonnes) Table 6.13 EU oilseedoil* marketbalance, 2010-23 (milliontonnes) Table 6.14 EU vegetableoil* marketbalance, 2010-23 (milliontonnes Table 6.15 EU sugarmarketbalance, 2010-23 (milliontonneswhitesugarequivalent) Table 6.17 EU biofuelsmarketbalance, 2010-23 (milliontonnesoilequivalent)
Starch: European Starch Production & Trade EU-27 Source: nova-institute
Table 1 SugarTable 2 StarchTable 3 Cellulosic MaterialsTable 4, 5, 6 Plant OilsTable 7 Animal FatsTable 8 Biobased Platform Chemicals and selected biobased products
Feedstock Raw Materials Inter- mediates (Platform) Chemicals Materials, Products Markets • Oilseeds • Animals • Oils • Fats • Fattyacids • Fattyalcohols • Glycerine • Surfactants • Paints & Inks • Lubricants • Detergents
Oilseeds: European Production & Trade EU-27 Source: Fediol
Plant Oils: European Production & Trade EU-27 Source: Fediol
Plant Oils: European Consumption per Sector EU-27 Source: Fediol
Plant Oils: Consumption in other industrial application EU-27
Also available: • Global production of Palm & Palm Kernel oil • Global production of Soybeanoil • Global production of Rapeseedoil • Global production of sunfloweroil Source: FAO
Plant Oil Derivatives: European Production EU-27 Source: EUROSTAT
Plant Oil Derivatives: European Trade EU-27 Source: EUROSTAT
Sugar: European Sugar Crops Production EU-27 Source: FAOSTAT
Sugar: European Sugar Production EU-27 Source: CEFS, FAOSTAT, EU Commssion (DG Agri)
Starch: European Starch Plants Production & Trade EU-27 Source: AAF Source: EUROSTAT
Starch: European Starch Production & Trade EU-27 Source: nova-institute
Starch: European Lignocellulose Feedstock Consumption EU-27 Source: CEPI
Starch: European Starch Plants Production & Trade EU-27 Source: CEPI
Starch: European Starch Plants Production & Trade EU-27 Source: CEPI
Lubricants Source: FUCHS AG
Platform Chemicals Data provided by BASF SA
Solvents • ConsolidateddatafromESIG and IAR will beprovided • byESIG in December 2013