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INCORPORATING LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES (Part 2). A PRIMER OF KNOWLEDGE THAT CAN MULTIPY AND SPILL OVER FOR THE BENEFIT OF MILLIONS. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA.
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INCORPORATING LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES(Part 2) A PRIMER OF KNOWLEDGE THAT CAN MULTIPY AND SPILL OVER FOR THE BENEFIT OF MILLIONS Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA
GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION FLOODS IMPROVE ON PAST PERFORMANCE SEVERE WIND STORMS EARTHQUAKES INCREASED TECHNICAL AND POLITICL CAPACITY OF COMMUNITY TO COPE DROUGHTS INCREASED OWNERSHIP AND USE OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE LANDSLIDES WILDFIRES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS TSUNAMIS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS
WE ARE ALWAYS WRITING THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE “GLOBAL BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE” BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED BOOK OF EXPERIENCE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED
EXAMPLE: FROM REAL TIME INFORMATION ON SEVERE WINDSTORMS IN 2008 TO A GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGE THIS YEAR(Part 2) A SIMPLE CONCEPT WITH A HIGH BENEFIT TO COST RATIO
NOTABLE DISASTER TYPES IN 2008 CYCLONE NARGIS NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE FLOODING IN MIDWESTERN USA CATALYSTS FOR CHANGE TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
2008 TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE/TYPHOON SEASONPART 2 JUNE 1 – NOVEMBER 30, 2008
TYPICAL PHYSICAL EFFECTS AND IMPACTS HIGH VELOCITY WINDS HEAVY RAINFALL FLOODING LANDSLIDES POWER OUTAGES AGRICULTURAL LOSSES
HURRICANE IKESEPTEMBER 3 – 13, 2008 Ninth Named Storm of 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season
HURRICANE IKE: A CAT 4 STORM; SEPTEMBER 3-13, 2008 HAITI, BAHAMAS (GRAND TURK ISLAND), CUBA, AND USA (TEXAS) IN IKE’S PATH GULF OIL PRODUCTION SHUT DOWN FOR GUSTAV ALSO IN IKE’S PATH
HURRICANE IKE: WHICH WAY WILL IT GO—EAST COAST OR GULF COAST; SEPT 9
GALVESTON STORM SURGE BEGINS WITH EYE 200 MILES OUT, SEPT 12
ALTHOUGH OVERTOPPED, GALVESTON SEAWALL HOLDS AGAINST 5 M STORM SURGE
TEXAS GOV. RICK PERRY ASKS FOR AND RECEIVES PRESIDENTAL DISASTER DECLARATION FOR TEXAS ON SEPT 13
HURRICANE IKE: 1 MILLION EVACUATE GALVESTON, HOUSTON, AND COASTAL AREAS; SEPT 11-12
HURRICANE IKE: 1 MILLION EVACUATE GALVESTON, HOUSTON, AND COASTAL AREAS; SEPT 11-12
HURRICANE IKE: A CAT 3 AT LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON, TX; SEPT 12-13 STORM SIMILAR TO THE SEPTEMBER 1, 1900 HURRICANE DISASTER A FLOODING and A WIND EVENT STORM SURGE OF 6-7 m EXTENDING INLAND 25-35 km AND ALONG THE COAST FOR 200 km
AFTER LANDFALL Thousands of homes and businesses in Texas and SW Louisiana were damaged or flooded
AFTER LANDFALL 20 MILES SSE OF GALVESTON The seawall in Galveston held, ... But, downtown Galveston and Houston became flooded ghost towns (because of the evacuation) with downed trees, debris, shattered glass, and damaged infrastructure.
AFTER LANDFALL Texas’ and Louisiana’s oil production—20 percent of USA’s production– and Texas’ petrochemical industries survived with only minor problems.
IKE'S LEGACY AS A DISASTER The number of deaths was low because of excellent forecasts and realistic preparedness. Millions were safely evacuated. Initial estimates of economic losses from damaged homes and infrastructure reached 8 billion dollars.
TROPICAL STORM KYLE BECOMES HURRICANE KYLE (See Part 3)
FOUR UNIVRSAL BARRIERS TO USE OF LAST YEAR’S INFORMATION • IGNORANCE • APATHY • DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES • LACK OF POLITICAL WILL
EDUCATIONAL SURGES CREATE TURNING POINTS ALL SECTORS OF SOCIETY INFORMED IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT EDUCATIONAL SURGES WILL CHANGE THE COMMUNITY APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT BOUNDARIES TO NETWORKS STATUS QUO TO GOOD POLITICAL DECISIONS
EDUCATIONAL SURGE RELEVANT PUBLIC AWARENESS BASIC OBJECTIVES FOR LAUNCHING AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE INCREASE UNDERSTANDING POLITICAL ENABLEMENT BUILD EQUITY
BENEFITS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES EXPAND CAPABILITY IMPROVE DELIVERY MECHANISMS EDUCATIONAL SURGES OVERCOME UNIVERSAL BARRIERS CREATE TURNING POINTS OF CHANGE INCREASE COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE
Hazard Characterization Policy Makers Update Knowledge Bases After Each Disaster Vulnerability Assessments Practitioners Disaster Scenarios Up Close, Virtual, and Distance Learning Risk and Loss Assessments Emergency Managers Intelligent Emergency Management Disaster-Risk Reduction Training Tailored to Community Needs Cause & Effect Relationships Information Technology Real & Near Real Time Information Flow Interface with Multiple Networks Increased Understanding TOPICS AND TARGETS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES A PROCESS THAT PENETRATES SOCIETY THE KNOWLEDGE BASE CAPACITY BUILDING CONTINUING EDUCATION
BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Increasing the "World's Mutual Fund for Education,"(i.e., the in-country resources for education in the budget of every nation) • Using conferencesand other meetings on different scales will eventually overcome the universal barriers ofignorance, apathy, disciplinary boundaries, and lack of political will
BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Increased community disaster-risk reduction for all (includingMega-cities, whichare a special challenge) • Transferring ownership of knowledge and technologyfor increasing disaster-risk reduction for people, habitats, livelihoods, cultural heritage, and infrastructure
BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Facilitates equipping, linking, and engaginglegions of new and emerging professionals with mature professionals • Intensifies effortsin high-risk locations. • Increases risk reduction for essential (schools) and critical (hospitals, dams, and power plants) facilities.
MEASURING CHANGE NEW RESOURCES NEW DELIVERY MECHANISMS EDUCATIONAL SURGES SHOULD RESULT IN … NEW PROFESSIONAL LINKAGES NEW LEGISLATIVE MANDATES NEW DIALOGUE ON BUILDING A CULTURE OF DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION
PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) REDUCTION IN MAGNITUDE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC LOSSES FROM NATURAL HAZARDS MEASURING CHANGE
PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) REDUCTION IN NUMBER AND MAGNITUDE OF ANNUAL NATURAL DISASTERS MEASURING CHANGE
PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past) INCREASED EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCAT-IONAL SURGES TO BUILD PROFESSIONL CAPACITY FOR DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION MEASURING CHANGE