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Source: CJTF HOA NIPR Web Site. Source- RAND Corporation. FOOD SCARCITY. HIV prevalence in adults, end 2001. 15 – 39%. 5 – 15%. 1 – 5%. 0.5 – 1.0%. 0.1 – 0.5%. 0.0 – 0.1% . not available. HIV/AIDS. OIL.
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HIV prevalence in adults, end 2001 15 – 39% 5 – 15% 1 – 5% 0.5 – 1.0% 0.1 – 0.5% 0.0 – 0.1% not available HIV/AIDS
US presses Africa to turn on the tap of crude oil. By Carl Mortished, International Business Editor . July 29, 2002
GAS ALGERIA LIBYA EGYPT MALI NIGER CHAD SUDAN NIGERIA ETHIOPIA ANGOLA NAMBIA
The New Gulf Oil States • Africa’s Oil Reserves are 8% of world crude reserves (UN Conference on Trade & Development) • Sub-Saharan Africa produces as much as Iran, Venezuela and Mexico combined • Output increased 36% in 10 years (2003 rpt) • Most non OPEC • Accounts 16% US imports (2003) • 25% in 10 years
URANIUM FRANC ZONE NIGER GABON NAMBIA
Phases of Integration: Customs Unions as entry point into community A Common Market A monetary Union A Political Federation
Franc Zone Principles • Free convertibility by French treasury of CFA francs • Fixed exchange rates (French Franc/Euro peg) • Liberty of transfer free in the zone • Centralization of exchange reserves. Operations account in French treasury , CFA central banks depositing 65% of their exchange reserves in exchange for convertibility • French veto over zone monetary policy if account overdrawn
So What? • Local Issues and Solutions Have Regional Impacts • Vision Is Continental • Interests Are “Vital” • Commitment Is Generational
Spreading Democracy CENTCOM Brief
National Security Goals/Africa • Protect US, Property, & Citizens • Isolate, Disrupt, Destroy Terrorist Organizations of Global Reach • Eliminate safe havens & networks • Improve CT capability & cooperation • Expand African capacity to participate in HA & PK ops • Promote African defense capability & reform • Facilitate democratic development • Stop spread of HIV/AIDS • Increase participation w/ European partners in Africa • Prevention of WMD & illegal arms proliferation African Center For Strategic Studies 2004
Challenges • Expand African Capacity to Participate in HA & PK Operations • Legal Framework – “Neo Peace Enforcement” & “Robust Peace Keeping.” • Organizational Framework • UN Resolution • Regional Authority Request