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International Forestry & Global Issues. Carbon Accounting and markets. Thomas DUFOUR ONF International 18 April 2012, Nancy. Outline. A brief overview of climate policies The various carbon markets The EU-ETS The Voluntary market The place of forestry in carbon markets. Outline.
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International Forestry& Global Issues Carbon Accounting and markets Thomas DUFOUR ONF International 18 April 2012, Nancy.
Outline • A brief overview of climate policies • The various carbon markets • The EU-ETS • The Voluntary market • The place of forestry in carbon markets
Outline • A briefoverview of climatepolicies • The variouscarbonmarkets • The EU-ETS • The Voluntarymarket • The place of forestry in carbonmarkets
Climate negotiations • 1896: First mention of climate change by Sven Arrhenius • 1970s: New interest in the issue in climate sciences circles • 1988: US President G. Bush puts climate change on G8 agenda creation of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) • 1990: IPCC First Assessment Report (alarmist) • 1992: Rio convention, signature of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC)
The UNFCCC • Recognizes the risk of climate change • “The ultimate objective of this Convention […] is to achieve, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Convention, stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” • Introduces the concept of “common but differentiated responsibility” • Imposes reporting obligations on countries
From UNFCCC to Kyoto • 1995: Berlin Mandate: decision to negotiate on emissions targets • 1996: IPCC Second Assessment Report, less alarmist than First, but increasing confidence that humans at origin of observed warming • 1997: Signature of the Kyoto Protocol after two years of negotiation
Kyoto & its flexibility mechanisms 3 flexibilitymechanisms EA Emission Allowance Market JI Joint Implementation C D M C D M C D M Annex I Non Annex I
After Kyoto • 1998-2001: Difficult negotiations of the ‘application decrees’ of the Kyoto Protocol • 2000: US (and Australia) decision not to ratify Kyoto, near-collapse of negotiations in The Hague • 2001: Signature of the Marrakech Accords • 2001+: First experiments of transactions under the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms • 2003: Signature of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) directive • 2005: Entry into force of the Kyoto Protocol and of the EU ETS
Plan de la présentation • A briefoverview of climatepolicies • The variouscarbonmarkets • The EU-ETS • The Voluntarymarket • The place of forestry in carbonmarkets
The carbon market trend • A large preponderance of Allowances (especially EU-ETS) • A boom of secondary market (brokers, traders, banks, etc.)
Outline • A briefoverview of climatepolicies • The variouscarbonmarkets • The EU-ETS • The Voluntarymarket • The place of forestry in carbonmarkets
The European EU-ETS Limitations of CO2 emissions in developed countries (Annex I) 4 options for companies 1/ Pay expensivefines. 2/ Carry out carbon reduction through processes improvement. 3/ Buy emissions credits on the CO2 market (ETS). 4/ Carry out carbon reduction through technology transfers in CDM or JI project.
Plan de la présentation • A briefoverview of climatepolicies • The variouscarbonmarkets • The EU-ETS • The Voluntarymarket • The place of forestry in carbonmarkets
Company perimeter Renewable energy project Avoided emissions Emissions before project Emissions Reference year Reduced emissions Emissions after project Emissions to compensate Avoided emissions Emissions stocked by the project Reforestation project Emissions stocked by the project Carbon stock before project Carbon stock before project The voluntary market : the carbon neutrality Source: Climate Mission of the Caisse des Dépôts et Consignation
The voluntary market : slightly lower volume but exponential
The voluntary market: focus on forestry activities under various standards
Outline • A brief overview of climate policies • The various carbon markets • The EU-ETS • The Voluntary market • The place of forestry in carbon markets
The forest: sink, stock and source of carbon Respiration 60 GtC/yr Photosynthesis 120 GtC/yr Decomposition 50 GtC/yr Perturbations 9 GtC/yr Photosynthesis light n[CO2 () + H20] n[CH2O] + nO2 () Forests, Soils 2300 GtC Source : IPCC, 2007
The place of forestry in carbon markets Voluntary CDM
Forestry projects in the framework of the CDM • Late definition of modalities and procedures (2003) & only Afforestation/Reforestation activities • Delay in the elaboration of methodologies for project design (2005) • Exclusion of temporary credits (tCERs) by EU ETS (1st and 2nd period) • Issue related to “permanence” consideration – temporary credit • A progressive breaking down of barriers • 20 methodologies approved (baseline and monitoring methodologies) • About 40 projects awaiting validation • 37 projects approved (19 in 2011)
Forestry and voluntary market • Very communicative « carbon » projects : • « meaning » in the fight against climate change • Projects strongly linked to local communities • Numerous environmental benefits: biodiversity, water, erosion • Projects in the less advanced countries as Africa • Sector linked to company activities: wood products, agro-industry, cosmetic, bio-energy, etc. • Sector with a “positive image” Source : Survey Ecosystem Marketplace, 2009
Conclusion : three types of markets • « voluntary » initiative : carbon compensation and environmental patronage • « lauch of mechanisms »: public sector of the development aid, public/private pilot initiatives, public, private • « rentability » : (pre)-compliance or investment
« Voluntary » initiative • Carbon compensation and neutrality: standardization and professionalization of the market • Environmental patronage : innovative and risky projects, with high media repercussions • Case of foundations : Prince Charles Rainforest foundation, Packard Foundation, Gore, Clinton initiatives, etc.
« Launch of mechanisms » • On the model of prototypes funds of the World Bank, these initiatives aim to launch projects and mechanisms : • World Bank : BioCarbon Fund (BioCF) • World Bank : FCPF • UNEP : UN-REDD, CASCADe • Public/private initiatives (FFEM…), current considerations on the design of a fund dedicated to biocarbon in Africa
Stern review « rentability » • Rentability improvement of industrial projects related to agro-forestry • (pre) Compliance at lower cost: « low hanging fruits » • Investment and seeking of rentability on projects with high potential
1800 ha of plantations from 1999 onward, but only 1000 ha eligible under carbon standard Carbon monitoring in 2010 : 144.000 carbon credits (VCU), 8 VCU/ha/an Carbon credits issued and sale in 2011 Example of pilot project: « carbonsink » of the Fazenda Sao-Nicolau
Project proponent (ONF-Peugeot) PIN : Project Idea Note PD : Project Description DOE : Designated Operational Entity VCU : Verified Carbon Unit Project Identification Project Construction Documentation (PIN & PDD) Project operation Endorsement local authorities Finding buyer PD Validation by DOE Generation of Carbon credits Registration VCS Contract with buyer Verification/ Certification by DOE Buyer pays Project proponent Registry Issues VCUs VCU BUYER OF VCU Project cycle
Main forestry carbon credits CarbonSinkFazenda
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