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Theory of change: ‘ Description of a sequence of events expected to lead to a particular desired outcome ’ , Rick Davies. For whom? Defined by whom? Significant for whom?. LONG-TERM, LASTING CHANGES. Impact. SHORT-TERM CHANGES
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Theory of change: ‘Description of a sequence of events expected to lead to a particular desired outcome’, Rick Davies For whom? Defined by whom? Significant for whom? LONG-TERM, LASTING CHANGES Impact SHORT-TERM CHANGES Sphere of direct influence – partners, collaborators, stakeholders immediate programme target groups CONTEXTUAL DRIVERS Socio-economic, political, Technological factors Existing policies, practices, beliefs Actors, networks in research, policy and practice Capacity of target groups to respond Receptiveness of context Organizations, resources, systems, skills Scaling up/out of changes in knowledge, attitude, skills , practices, policies through actor networks etc. MEDIUM TERM CHANGES Sphere of indirect influence – policy shapers, knowledge networks, planners, practitioners, stakeholder groups Changes in e.g. practices , policies, allocations Changes in e.g. knowledge, attitudes , skills, relationships Sphere of control Programme strategy: Activities, stakeholder engagement; outputs What needs to be happening to support this change? Used by main actor / stakeholder groups Outputs = products + comms + incentives + networks Isabel Vogel, 25.06.12
CGIAR, Water and Food Challenge Fund, http://monitoring.cpwf.info/background/theory-of-change/bdc-level-toc
Roads and development in Eastern DRC Theory of Change, DFID DRC