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Mountain Pine Beetle In British Columbia

Mountain Pine Beetle In British Columbia. Climate Change and Fire Management Research Strategy Forum February 18, 2009. “ Mountain Pine Beetle – A Case Study of the Social, Economic and Environmental Impacts of Climate Change”. Fire Management & The Pine Portfolio. Area Of Attack.

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Mountain Pine Beetle In British Columbia

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  1. Mountain Pine Beetle In British Columbia Climate Change and Fire Management Research Strategy Forum February 18, 2009

  2. “Mountain Pine Beetle – A Case Study of the Social, Economic and Environmental Impacts of Climate Change”

  3. Fire Management & The Pine Portfolio Area Of Attack • Last “Killing Winter” Was 1997/98 • Old + Mature Pine @ Contact: Est. 0.4 Billion m3 • Old + Mature Pine @ 1997:Est. 1.2 Billion m3 • 24% of 1.2 Billion m3:Est. 0.3 Billion m3 Millions of Hectares 164,567

  4. Forest Management Paradigm To Optimise LRSY • 1) Fire suppression conserved the mature timber legacy • 2) Second growth practices allowed us to benefit from legacy at a higher rate of LRSY: • Tree improvement and Class A seed • Better site preparation • Minimal regeneration delay • Better density control • Forest fertilisation • One Problem With Paradigm: Climate Change

  5. Economic Issues

  6. Timber Supply Drives Economic Impact Timber SupplyLoss Approximation ……………………………………………………………………………………………..

  7. Timber Supply Forecast Accelerated Pine Salvage While Suitable For Sawmills Economic Opportunity In Dead Pine +- 10 million m3/Year Supply Improves Supply Level Pre-Epidemic Supply Level Post-Epidemic

  8. Forest Sector & The Economy • Exports bring money into BC to pay for imports and consumption by population • Called the ‘Economic Base’ • Interior industry is 19% of provincial base • 40,000 direct jobs, high average salary • $22,000 tax revenue/employee vs. $4000 average for other employees (2005)

  9. Crown Revenues Year 1 Year 2-3 Year ‘X’ • Amount and value of wood product declines with time – 17.5% in FII L&M Lumber study • So does stumpage

  10. Sub-Regional Economic Growth

  11. Sub-Regional Economic Diversity Rural Economic Transition

  12. Risk to Economy of Boreal Forest • Canada, BC & Alberta Collaborating • ‘Suppression’ Zone Trans-border • Conditions Harsh For Beetle?

  13. Environmental Issues

  14. Forest Composition & Carbon Storage

  15. Hydrology of Watersheds

  16. Net Effects on Some Rivers • Possibilities: • More water yield • Higher peak flows • Quicker snow melt • Earlier snow melt • Increased ‘flashiness’ • Stream morphology Actual Outcomes Depend On Intricate Relationships Between Snow Accumulations, Weather Events and Spring Melt Rates

  17. Environmental Issues Wildlife Habitat-’Interior’ Birds-Cold Water Fish-Warm Water Fish-Ungulates Visuals Grasslands and Range

  18. Costs To Restore Resources, Data Reforestation Resource Inventory Ecosystems

  19. Social Issues

  20. Community Resilience & Sustainability • Ability To Sustain: • Industrial Tax Base • Core Infrastructure • Amenities and Services • First Nations Culture • Retired and Elderly Population • Economic Growth

  21. Public Safety Industrial Traffic Recreation Sites Air Quality

  22. Worker Safety • New Preliminary Advice To Fire Crews: • More crowning, even when calm • Radiant heat ignites red foliage at > distance • More ‘fire brands’, > spot fires • “Black” zones not safe unless both surface and crown burned

  23. Urban Interface Hazard and Risk • “Fuel Management” • Local Governments • First Nations Govt’s • 460,000 hectares at issue

  24. Provincial Response Strategy ……………………………………………………………………………………………..

  25. A ‘Triple Bottom Line’ Strategy BC MOUNTAIN PINE BEETLE ACTION PLAN ECONOMY ENVIRONMENT SOCIETY • Economic sustainability for communities • Recover the value of dead timber • Restore Ecosystems • Restore Forest Resources Of Other Kinds • Conserve Society’s Values In Land Use Plans • Public Safety, Health, Infrastructure Co-ordinated, effective planning and implementation

  26. END www.gov.bc.ca/pinebeetle

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