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Delve into the complex interplay of factors shaping Earth's climate over millions of years, from plankton to tectonics. Understand how carbon influences climate at various time scales, including geologic cycles and Milankovitch orbital dynamics. Explore climate oscillations like El Niño and La Niña, and learn about the role of carbon sinks and sources in regulating atmospheric CO2 levels. Discover the connections between plants, animals, oceans, and atmospheric composition in the context of long-term climate change.
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Plankton, and Plants, and Tectonics! Oh My! The role of the long-term carbon cycle in Earth’s climate. Ian M. Miller Curator of Paleontology DMNS WIPS March Meeting, 2008
Earth’s Climate The average of weather and the combination of… Solar Energy (distance from the Sun, intensity) Atmosphere (composition & currents) Oceans (composition, currents, & geology) Ice (extent on land and sea) Continents (location, elevation, & geology) Plants & Animals (on land & in the seas)
ClimateChange At four (or five) time scales… Modern time: Anthropocene (last ~200 yrs—industrialization) Holocene (last ~10,000 yrs—human civilization) Deep Time: Pleistocene (last ~1.8 million yrs—icehouse) Previous 4.5 by (almost always a greenhouse) Phanerozoic (542 Ma to ~10 Ka)
ClimateChange At three scales of climatic cycles… Geologic: Long-term carbon cycle (millions of yrs) Milankovitch: Earth’s orbital dynamics (400,000, 100,000, 40,000, and 20,000 Ka) Sub-Milankovitch: (amplify longer cycles) Short-term carbon cycle (~100’s to 1,000’s yrs) Solar/Sunspot cycles (~10’s to ~1000’s yrs) Climatic oscillations (2-7 yrs: El Nino La Nina)
Climate Oscillations: During “Normal Years” or La Nina Warm water in the western Pacific causes low pressure and high rainfall; pressure system drives tradewinds from east to west; tradewinds drive warm water to the west; causing cold water to rise off South America and flow west. South America
Climate Oscillations: During “El Nino” Warm water shift to the eastern Pacific causes drought in western Pacific; low pressure over the warm eastern Pacific causes heavy rains and inhibits upwelling along the coast of South America. South America
Orbital Eccentricity (~100,000 yr cycle)
The Ice Record: Milankovitch Brook, 2008 Nature
The Ice Record: Milankovitch Brook, 2008 Nature
Respiration: CH2O + O2 → CO2 + H2O + energy Photosynthesis: CO2 + H2O + light energy → CH2O + O2
Green River Fm: Greenhouse World Courtesy K. Johnson
Courtesy K. Johnson Fossil Lotus
Living Lotus Courtesy K. Johnson
The Arctic Sea 50 million years ago Courtesy K. Johnson
Geologic cycles: Climate through the Phanero-zoic—carbon is the culprit Royer et al., 2003
Long-term Carbon Cycle: rocks Two generalized reactions… Photosynthesis/Respiration CO2 + H20 ↔ CH2O + O2 Weathering/Precipitation CO2 + CaSiO3↔ CaCO3 + SiO2
Long-term carbon cycle: rocks Berner, 2001
A Carbon Thermostat • Fluxes in and out of the major reservoirs are relatively constant leading to an equilibrium in atmospheric CO2—there are negligible changes in fluxes during the Pleistocene.
A Carbon Thermostat • Fluxes in and out of the major reservoirs are relatively constant leading to an equilibrium in atmospheric CO2—there are negligible changes in fluxes during the Pleistocene. • In geologic time, negative feedbacks serve to regulate the equilibrium. • High CO2, more warming, more plant growth, less CO2, less warming…
Venus No sinks: Runaway Greenhouse Effect • 97% carbon dioxide • 3% nitrogen • Water & sulfuric acid clouds • Temperature:>800°F – more than twice as hot as Mercury
No sources:Snowball Earth ~650 Ma
Long-term carbon cycle: sinks Berner, 2001
Photosynthesis (sink): CO2 + H2O + light energy → CH2O + O2
Photosynthesis (sink): CO2 + H2O + light energy → CH2O + O2
Weathering (sink): CO2 + CaSiO3 → CaCO3 + SiO2
Precipitation (sink): CO2 + CaSiO3 → CaCO3 + SiO2
Precipitation (sink): CO2 + CaSiO3 → CaCO3 + SiO2
Long-term carbon cycle: sources Berner, 2001
Georespiration (oxidation, source): CH2O + O2 → CO2 + H2O
Georespiration (thermal decomposition): CH2O + O2 → CO2 + H2O
Georespiration (thermal decomposition): CH2O + O2 → CO2 + H2O
Georespiration (mantle source): CH2O + O2 → CO2 + H2O
Long-term carbon cycle: sources and sinks Berner, 2001