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Florida Trade and Logistics Study. presented to The Capital Region Transportation Planning Agency presented by Carrie Blanchard, Ph.D. Florida Chamber Foundation May 16, 2011. Florida Trade and Logistics Study. Document existing domestic and international trade flows
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Florida Trade and Logistics Study presented to The Capital Region Transportation Planning Agency presented byCarrie Blanchard, Ph.D. Florida Chamber Foundation May 16, 2011
Florida Trade and Logistics Study • Document existing domestic and international trade flows • Estimate future domestic and international trade flows • Identify opportunities for Florida to compete globally • Recommend strategies to pursue most attractive opportunities
Florida’s Current Employment Picture 25 jobless for every new job created in 2010 1 in 3 unemployed for over 1 year 1 in 2construction jobs gone since 2007 Sources: AWI, Mortgage Bankers Association, FDCF, FDOE, FOEDR
Why Focus on Trade?U.S. Foreign Trade Value Expected to Quadruple by 2035 $25 $20 Real Gross Domestic Product Real Value of Imports and Exports $15 $10 $5 Trillion U. S. 2000 Dollars 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Source: Global Insight, Inc. April 2009.
Why Focus on Trade? Changing Global Trading Patterns Favor Florida Source: European Communities, 2008
Why Focus on Trade?Florida Located in Fastest Growing US Consumer Market Source: America 2050
Where We Stand • 570,000 direct jobs in trade and logistics in 2008 • Typical wage 29% higher than state average Logistics Industry Percent of Total Employment Mississippi Florida North Carolina South Carolina United States Alabama Georgia Texas Louisiana 1998 2008 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2008
Florida’s Competitiveness Strengths • Large consumer market (residents and visitors) • Strategic location for N/S and E/W trade lanes • Dominant position in Latin American and Caribbean trade • Multimodal transportation infrastructure • Extensive global ties Weaknesses • Imbalance of current trade flows • Poor location for domestic distribution • Limited penetration of Asian, European trade lanes • Transportation system capacity • Limited funding
Future Trade Opportunities Capture larger share of Asian imports to Florida through Florida seaports Expand Florida origin exports Expand Florida’s role as a global trade hub serving other states and nations
Future Trade Position and Goal Florida Share of US Export Value 2015 Florida Origin Export Value Source: U.S Census Bureau 2010
How Do We Get There?Example Recommendations Source: Florida Chamber Foundation, Florida Trade and Logistics Study, December 15, 2010
How Do We Get There?Infrastructure and Growth Leadership • Expand seaport capacity; at least one first port of call • Maintain MIA’s global role; additional air cargo capacity • Market Florida’s advantages as a trade gateway and hub • Provide support for export oriented manufacturing clusters • Attract international distribution centers New York New York Ports >50’ Depth Existing Norfolk Norfolk Authorized Ports >50’ Depth Under Study Existing Charleston c c Charleston Authorized c c Savannah Savannah Under Study Jacksonville Jacksonville Everglades Everglades Miami Miami
Florida Trade and Logistics Study Potential Impacts • Global Leadership • Jobs • Transportation and logistics impacts: up to 32,000 jobs • Advanced manufacturing and supply chain impacts: up to 111,000 jobs • $21.5 billion in business sales • $7.9 billion in personal income • $723 million in state and local tax revenues Source: Florida Trade and Logistics Study, 2010
Florida’s Future • The US economy has moved from recovery to expansion • Florida lags, though forecasts call for sustained economic growth • US GDP growth projections between 2.5% and 3.0% • FL GSP growth projections 2.6% and 4.0% in 2011 and 2012 • In Florida, strong ties to the global economy is important to recovery • Small and medium businesses are key to exports • 38,210 companies export from Florida locations • 96% of these firms have less than 500 employees
The 2030 Project: Framework & Process Caucuses & Action Councils The Florida Community Development Partnership Talent Innovation Governance Quality of Life Infrastructure Business Climate Caucuses & Action Councils The Florida Scorecard Future of Florida Forum Cornerstone 2030
Additional Information • Florida Trade and Logistics, Phase II • Reports online at www.flfoundation.org • Visit www.TheFloridaScorecard.com for quarterly trade data updates • Contact: Carrie Blanchard, Ph.D. cblanchard@flfoundation.org 850-521-1283