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Calgary: Taking Modeling in a Different Direction

Calgary: Taking Modeling in a Different Direction. 21 st International Emme Users’ Conference 2007 October 10-12. Transportation Modeling In Calgary. 1964. 1971. 1991. 1964 First RTM Built in 1964 Conventional 4 Step Model Sub area models for detailed work 1971 – 1991 Regular Updates.

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Calgary: Taking Modeling in a Different Direction

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  1. Calgary:Taking Modeling in a Different Direction 21st International Emme Users’ Conference 2007 October 10-12

  2. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1964 1971 1991 • 1964 • First RTM Built in 1964 • Conventional 4 Step Model • Sub area models for detailed work • 1971 – 1991 • Regular Updates

  3. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1971 1991 • 1991 • Key Management Decision • Strategic Plan was upcoming • Key Partnerships formed • University of Calgary • City of Edmonton

  4. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1971 1991 1995 • 1995 • Go Plan is completed • Long Range Transportation Plan

  5. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1971 1991 1995 • 1998 • Stakeholder sessions 1998

  6. Transportation Modeling In Calgary

  7. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1971 1991 1995 • 1998 • Stakeholder sessions • 3 year Budget Planning • Model describe as an asset 1998

  8. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1971 1991 1995 1999 • 1999 • Provincial Decision on Fuel Tax • 5 cents per litre returned to Calgary and Edmonton • Funds could used for planning as it relates to infrastructure • Provided stable funding for model • Data collection • Consulting 1998

  9. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1971 1991 1995 1999 • Framework for RTM: • Personal Travel Model • Commercial Vehicle Model • Emissions Post Processor • Added Detail • Increase the scope of projects 1998

  10. Transportation Modeling In Calgary 1971 1991 1995 1999 2001 2003 • 2000-2001: Data Collection for 2001 RTM • 2001-2002: Data Analysis & Network Development • 2002-2003: Calibration & Validation of the 2001 RTM 1998 2000 2002

  11. Transportation Modeling In Calgary MISSION We plan, design, build, operate and maintain travel behaviour models and interpret the results to support planning for the land use, transport, air quality and economic needs and well being of Calgary and the surrounding region.

  12. Chris Blaschuk Ali Farhan Sarah Alexander Kevin Stefan Jon Kostyniuk Zoran Carkic Kristina Hill Micheka Mekdici Angela Leuw Xiaolin Qin Lawrence Wong Don King Ahsan Tariq City of Calgary Forecasting Division Dianne Atkins Manager Model Maintenance & Enhancement Peter Grubor Projects/Requests Ken Lindmark Model Devt .& Process Improvement Paul McMillan

  13. Transportation Modeling In Calgary • We answer approximately 200 - 300 requests for forecasts per year • Cost recovery for Staff time on development related requests

  14. Transportation Modeling In Calgary Standard Forecast Series • 8 Forecast Horizons 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2035 Long Range Scenario • consistent project results • Assumptions well documented and available to clients via web

  15. Transportation Modeling In Calgary Primary RTM Applications Primary Customers • Strategic • [City/Region-wide] • Policy Plans • [Sector level] • 10 Yr Capital Plan • [build what? when?] • Road Design • [functional] • TIA • [site level] • Trans Dept • [ LU Plng] • Province • Consultants Region [emerging]

  16. Transportation Modeling In Calgary • External Partnerships • U of C, City of Edmonton, Province, U of A • Internal Partnerships • Corp. Economics, Geodemographics (Planning) • Intellectual Property Policy

  17. Transportation Modeling In Calgary Current Efforts • 2006 Revalidation of RTM • Tour Based Personal Travel Model

  18. Proposed Initiatives - Model Development and Maintenance Plan

  19. Expert Panel Review • ‘a best practice model’ …‘one of the best in North America’ • ‘never seen a model asked to do so much for so many so fast’ • ‘excellent and committed staff’ • ‘benefit from having built strong ties with other City Departments, Edmonton, expert at U of C’ • ‘visionary leadership … and consistent financial support’

  20. tentative 30 yr 30 yr 30 yr Transportation Modeling In Calgary 2011 2016 2007 2021 Federal Census Civic Census Place of Work Survey Household Activity / CV Survey 3 yr Budget Economic Forecasts Major Studies Tr. Plan ??? ??? External and Internal Cycles

  21. Past Practice 2007 2011 2016 2021 Household Activity Survey Household Activity Survey Proposed 2007 2011 2016 2021 Household Activity Survey Transportation Modeling In Calgary Continuous Data Collection effort duration effort duration

  22. Transportation Modeling In Calgary Lessons Learned • Have a Plan • Talk about it every chance you get • If your budget proposal fails, try again

  23. Thank you We are proud to be part of the Transportation Planning team and Calgary’s future.

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