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Financial performance and ownership structure of European Airports. Mikhail Zolotko. Outline. Motivation Description of analysis techniques Data description Empirical results Conclusions. Why study financial performance of the airports?.
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Financial performance and ownership structure of European Airports Mikhail Zolotko
Outline • Motivation • Description of analysis techniques • Data description • Empirical results • Conclusions
Why study financial performance of the airports? • Components of overall airports performance (according to e.g. Graham, 2005): • Service quality performance • Operational performance • Financial performance • Financial performance is of interest to investors
Structure of the analysis • Compare financial performance indicators of the airports • that didn’t experience the change in ownership structure • that did experience it • Apply Data Envelopment Analysis to the financial data and explain efficiency scores through a number of variables including ownership structure
Data description • Unbalanced panel of selected entries of balance sheets, income statements and cash flow statements. • Time span: 1990-2006 • Over 50 airports with constant ownership structure • 17 airports that experienced the change in the ownership structure.
Mean ratiosPrivate, partially privatised and public airports To test significance of differences between ratios across airports t-test and non-parametric Mann-Witney test were used
…after accounting for other factors Signs of coefficients corresponding to ownership dummies (as compared to public airports) in an ANOVA model Stars denote the level of significance
Mean ratiosAirports before vs after privatisation To test significance of differences between ratios across airports t-test and non-parametric Mann-Witney test were used
…again, taking into account other factors Signs of coefficients corresponding to ownership dummies (as compared to (partially) privatised airports) in an ANOVA model Stars denote the level of significance
DEA scores. First specification • Inputs: log assets, operating expenditure except depreciation • Outputs: aviation revenue, non-aviation revenue (in contrast to Vogel’s one-input, one-output analysis)
DEA scores. Second specification • Inputs: log assets, total personnel expenditure • Outputs: aviation revenue, non-aviation revenue The number of specifications is limited due to data limitations Though specifications are almost identical, the results are totally different.
DEA scores explanation • According to Simar and Wilson (2007), only application of truncated regression leads to consistent estimates. (compared to Tobit regression and OLS that were used in literature previously) • Regressors used: • Ownership and country dummies • Leverage (debt/assets) • Airport size proxy (logarithm of assets to reduce the variation – a technical condition to ensure convergence)
DEA scores explained (under constant returns to scale). 1st specification Negative signs denote increasing effiency given increase in variable Stars denote significance level: *** 0.001, ** 0.01, *0.05, ^0.1
DEA scores explained (under variable returns to scale). 1st specification Negative signs denote increasing effiency given increase in variable
DEA scores explained (under constant returns to scale). 2nd specification Negative signs denote increasing effiency given increase in variable
DEA scores explained (under variable returns to scale). 2nd specification Negative signs denote increasing effiency given increase in variable
Conslusions • Private airports beat both partially privatised and publicly owned airports in terms of profitability but are worse at interest coverage and asset turnover • After privatisation airports tend to increase profitability, non-aviation revenue share and to worsen interest coverage and asset turnover. (where decrease in interest coverageratio may be an evidence of higher interest rates for private companies compared to )
Conslusions • On the „overall” financial performance level private and partially privatised airports outperformpublic airports which is however evidenced only by one of two specifications. • „Overall” financial performance can also be explained by country differences, airports size and leverage. However, these effects often have different signs under different specifications.