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Conference on Quality in Space and Defense Industries CQSDI 2008. PANEL DISCUSSION: Probabilistic Technology Challenges & Applications for Defense and Aerospace Success. Paul E. Chiodo Deployment Director, Lean Six Sigma Certified Lean Six Sigma Master Black Belt
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Conference on Quality in Space and Defense Industries CQSDI 2008 PANEL DISCUSSION: Probabilistic Technology Challenges & Applications for Defense and Aerospace Success Paul E. Chiodo Deployment Director, Lean Six Sigma Certified Lean Six Sigma Master Black Belt US Army Armament Research, Development & Engineering Center 4 March 2008
“PT Challenges & Applications for Defense & Aerospace Success” • PURPOSE:Bring together Defense and Aerospace Leaders in the field of Nondeterministic Analysis & Probabilistic Technology (Techniques and Methods) to discuss the emerging Requirements, Strategies, Key issues and Challenges, and their Path Forward in the area of Probabilistic Technology. • OBJECTIVES: • Provide an Introduction to Probabilistic Technology • Identify Needs, Challenges, and New efforts • Discuss Collaborative efforts between NASA, Army/DOD, Industry & Academia. • Introduce the Path Forward • Discuss what is being done to develop and deploy the technology • Discuss the integrated competency approach • Introduce the Role of ASQ • Encourage involvement and Show how to get involved in this Culture change process
“PT Challenges & Applications for Defense & Aerospace Success” Panel Participants • Moderator:Mr. Paul E. Chiodo • Panel members: Representing: NASA, Army, Industry, ASQ • Dr. Shiver, Deputy Director, Safety & Mission Assurance at NASA(MSFC) • Dr. M. Khalessi; CEO/President PredictionProbe, Inc. • Mr. Brian LeHouillier, ASQ Managing Director • Ms. Pam Caruso, Assistant to the Director, NASA - Marshall Space Flight Center • Mr. Bob Kuper, Competency Dean for Reliability Engineering, & the Program Manager, Reliability for Future Force Technology Program
Challenges & Direction Needed To Develop & Deploy a Culture based on Probabilistic Design & Analysis Principles • Focus: • Drive Culture Change for Army, NASA and on National Scale • Use Probabilistic Methods to enhance National competitiveness. • Bottom-line: • Make US Government Agencies and Industry more competitive, effective, efficient using Probabilistic methods/technology • Basic Problems/Challenges: • Lacked the National talent pool for broad and timely applications of highly advanced Probabilistic Technology & Computational Probabilistic Methods. • University Curriculum void: not preparing & promoting applications for S&T, Engineers, Economists, Business/Finance for exceptional value of advanced Probabilistic Methods • Lack the leadership, program management and practitioner knowledge of these advanced methods and their potential • Lack the Processes, Tools, and Methods and a Framework for deployment/integration, accountability, measurement and continuous improvement
Integration of Probabilistic Technology with DFLSS Army Plan for PT Critical Role for Probabilistic Technology: “Enhancing Decision-making structures across the LC • Integration with DFLSS, Program Mgt & System Engineering • DFLSS build into Product Development Process (PDP) • PT Becomes a Key Component of LSS – LC Process Focus • PT- Enhanced DFLSS: Innovation and Conceptual Design – “Rapid Innovation” • PT- Enhanced DFLSS: Robust Design, Reliability-Based Design Optimization, Axiomatic Design • PT- Enhanced DMAIC/DMALC: Process and Product Improvement Integration
Challenges & Direction Needed To Develop & Deploy a Culture based on Probabilistic Design & Analysis Principles SO WHAT WE NEED MOST: • A Strong, Multi-tiered Education & Integration Framework Are we Moving in the Proper Direction? • In the Army we are using Our Business Transformation Framework(Lean Six Sigma) as our PT Integration Platform • Primary Emphasis: Education and Integration • Then Measurement and Continuous Improvement • Working Closely with National Experts • Probabilistic Technology – Tools, Methods, Best Practices • Design for Lean Six Sigma – Better Process and Tools • Axiomatic Design – Additional Tools for Design simplicity, and improved reliability • Developed the Probabilistic Technology Community (PTC) with ASQ • Developing a “Government Only” variant to enhance Integration • Developing Body’s of Knowledge(BOK), Standards & Guidelines.