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Linking London: 20 th May

Linking London: 20 th May. Nick Davy, AoC National HE Policy Manager. The Labour Market Context: Opportunity?. Managers, directors and senior officials +586k Professional occupations +1175k Associate professional and technical +583k Administrative and secretarial -486k

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Linking London: 20 th May

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  1. Linking London: 20th May Nick Davy, AoC National HE Policy Manager

  2. The Labour Market Context: Opportunity? Managers, directors and senior officials +586k Professional occupations +1175k Associate professional and technical +583k Administrative and secretarial -486k Skilled trades occupations -306k Caring, leisure and other service + 649k Sales and customer service -64k Process, plant and machine operatives -214k Elementary occupations -67k

  3. Data – College HE problematic: UEL and HESA Total HESA FT and PT figures for 20011/12:119,040 2012/13:123,610 2103/14:124,890 HESA Increase 11/12 to 13/14: 4.6% HESA PT Decrease: 12/13 to 13/14: 9% UEL Decrease 08/09 to 12/13: 8.4% UEL PT Decrease 08/09 to 12/13: 32%

  4. History of HE in Colleges Development of advanced FE in 1950s/1970s Several occupational areas – work-based routes with off-the-job training Professional certificates/diplomas; BEC/TEC; HNC/D Full-Time and Sandwich Higher Education1971/72: circa 90K students/90 FE Institutions (200k students in universities);180K on AFE Expansion in academic HE from late 80s – mid 90s; HEI expand; FEC HE flat-lined NPHE in slow decline from early 2000s Foundation degrees from 2001- 100K target met but HN replacement; honours progression; employer input?

  5. Where is college HE? Recent Trends in College Higher Education • Full time • Part time • Non-prescribed • Shape • Impact of lifting the Numbers Cap - see Australia http://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/features/the-australian-test-uncapped-student-numbers/2010630.fullarticle

  6. Lifting the cap: What happened in Australia? [introduced in 2012/known from 2009] Significant increase in enrolments More enrolled from middle-ranking eligibility grades Some improvement in enrolments from lower socio-economic groups Lower/Middle–ranking HEIs grew fastest – often on teaching/nursing courses; Group of 8 less interested Perceptions of ‘dilution of standards’ – not proven Students less prepared for HE study? – evidence of improvements in HEI transition and support services. TAFE colleges – protection; some expansion from a low base

  7. HEI Recruitment – AAA/AAB Some RG – Exeter, Brum, Bristol – expanded Those who have expanded continuing to expand; those contracted continuing to contract – across all tariff groups Evidence of lowering grade offers Improved transition/academic support offer? UCAS Acceptances; 54% of providers decreased in size -11-14

  8. Key Issues for College HE Higher Apprenticeships – an Eton mess? • Confused funding streams • Trailblazer standards – almost 50% at level 4 +; qualifications? • Permeability - relationship to academic HE? • Concept of degree apprenticeships? • Widening participation? • Colleges take 12/15% more WP students • Threat to HEFCE Student Opportunity Grant? • More than progress to RG HEIs: added value for communities?

  9. Where do we go from here?: Tough spot • Adult skills budget cuts/encouraging HE expansion/entry • Fees Loans for adult FE – impact on adult supply? • Privates expanding (70% in London/SE); loans: £30m (‘10) to £600M (‘13) • At present pressure on middle-tariff; but could change? • Lifting of cap – support for FT academic degrees • Overall most colleges experiencing limited expansion – or small decline - apart from those new to market or niche • Limited policy prescriptions for PTHE • NPHE – ‘bottomed out’?

  10. Where do we go from here?: Macro Have too many colleges become ‘big schools’ – L1/2 provision? Have we lost our reputation for technical and professional education? (levels 3/4/5?) Are there too many small colleges? ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- How can England create a technical education strand in public colleges? • Greater autonomy • National Accreditation Council • Awarding Powers • Improved LMI/Stronger employer links • Decrease intermediaries such as LEPs; regulate providers/buyers

  11. Where do we go from here?: Micro Larger colleges – FDAP Smaller provision – work with HEI on clear mission – access; employer engagement; internal progression Best colleges – 60% on HE courses – internal progression Add value to employers – not just training/education Niche local provision/employer-led Guarantees/compacts for students who achieve set targets Transition programmes Working with communities Year Zero/Accelerated provision Customised – international

  12. Any Questions? Nick Davy AoC HE Policy Manager nick_davy@aoc.co.uk

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