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LNG in Australia and the emerging roll of CSM

LNG in Australia and the emerging roll of CSM. Legend. Oil. Gas. Condensate. The Australian petroleum industry is dominated by gas. Location and relative size of Australian petroleum reserves. CSM Potential. CSM current 2P reserves. What is LNG?.

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LNG in Australia and the emerging roll of CSM

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  1. LNG in Australiaand the emerging roll of CSM

  2. Legend Oil Gas Condensate The Australian petroleum industry is dominated by gas Location and relative size of Australian petroleum reserves CSM Potential CSM current 2P reserves

  3. What is LNG? Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is not in itself a product but rather a transport system for natural gas. By cooling natural gas to minus 163 degrees Celsius it is turned into a liquid that takes only 1/600th the volume that can be transported in specially designed ships. At the destination the LNG is heated and turned back into natural gas and used for electricity generation or domestic gas supply.

  4. LNG MARKET - Demand • Source: Gas Strategies The GFC in 2008 lead to the first year on year reduction in LNG demand in history. The large number of proposed projects suggest that LNG market may be entering a period of potential over supply. • LNG supply is a long term relationship and buyer and sellers need to see through current market conditions to secure long term supplies. • LNG demand growth is forecast to resume it long term growth trajectory with the re-emergence of global economic growth.

  5. LNG MARKET - Supply • Projects face stiff competition from other LNG projects in the region & globally • There is only a finite amount of capital available & the majors will not want to flood the market to create an imbalance.

  6. LNG MARKET – Potential LNG projects in Australian

  7. LNG MARKET – Potential LNG projects in Australian

  8. Proposed Qld LNG Projects

  9. Specifics of the LNG cycle from Coal Seam Gas fields UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM

  10. Gladstone LNG projects Development potential and local impact • It is unlikely all the proposed project will proceed. • However, it is realistic to anticipate the development of a ~28 mtpa LNG industry in Gladstone over the next 10 years. This assumes the sanction of a 3.5mtpa train each year from 2010 with first production commencing in 2014. • The construction of a 28 mtpa LNG industry in Gladstone will have significant economic benefits to Queensland and the Gladstone region in particular. • An economic study for the Queensland government Studies suggest that a mid size 28 mtpa LNG industries located at Gladstone would: • Increase the Gross State Product by $3.056 billion (or 1 per cent) and create over 18,000 jobs for Queensland. • Generate a royalty return of $850 million per annum to Queensland • Create 18,100 jobs, 10,300 jobs during its 10-year construction phase at Gladstone and 7400 in regional Queensland associated with wells and pipelines.

  11. Appendices

  12. Appendix: Gladstone LNG ProjectsNational Economic Impact The Queensland Premier Anna Bligh has said: “This is a once in a lifetime opportunity. The LNG industry can do for Queensland what coal did to the Bowen Basin and the rest of the state in the 1970s and 1980s, and beyond.” “They could be part of a new industry with a potential worth of more than $40 billion to the Queensland economy.”

  13. Appendix: LNG Market - LNG prices are recovering after the recession Source: Gas Strategies

  14. Appendix: Price relationships trending to oil parity since 2005 Recent price deals in long-term contracts with buyers in Asia have been within a relatively narrow range, from 10% below crude oil parity to 5% above crude oil parity at an oil price of $60/Bbl. Price review clauses have also been introduced into many recent contracts. They typically call for a review after a fixed number of years but do not provide clear guidance on what factors should be taken into account in the renegotiations.

  15. This document is issued by Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (‘ANZ’). The information and opinions contained in this document (on which ANZ may have acted or may act for its own purposes) are published for the assistance of recipients but are not to be relied upon as authoritative or taken in substitution for the exercise of judgment by any recipient. While such information and opinions have been compiled or arrived at by ANZ in good faith and from sources believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness, any opinions contained in this document may be changed by ANZ without notice. ANZ, its officers, employees, representatives and agents accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage, whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise howsoever arising (whether in negligence or otherwise) out of or in connection with or from any use of the contents of and/or any omissions from this document. Information contained in this presentation is strictly confidential. It is the property of ANZ. As such, no part of it may be circulated, copied, quoted or otherwise referred to another party without prior written consent of ANZ. The terms noted in this presentation is subject to receipt by ANZ of formal credit approval and appropriate legal, accounting, tax and technical advice. This is not an offer to finance. The points made in this presentation are subject to further discussion with you and we would be pleased to address any comments and queries that you may have in relation to the proposed funding options so as to ensure that your particular requirements are satisfied. DISCLAIMER AND CONFIDENTIALITY

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