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Foreign Policy Transparency: is it driven by media coverage?. A study on Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Switzerland, The United Kingdom, and the United States Jackie Morgan Brune . Study Question: What are some determinants of foreign policy and foreign aid in particular?
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Foreign Policy Transparency: is it driven by media coverage? A study on Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Switzerland, The United Kingdom, and the United States Jackie Morgan Brune
Study Question: What are some determinants of foreign policy and foreign aid in particular? • Dep. Variable: Media Coverage • Ind. Variable: ODA allocations • There is an endogenous relationship between both variables.
Background & Analysis Case Study: FRANCE Significant aid determinants: - GNP Per Capita - Media Coverage (Le Monde) - Francophonie - ‘bureaucracy factor’ In Van Belle and Rioux’s study they found that each article in Le Monde is worth $77, 000 USD in aid.
Method- 1st regression • Control Variables: (1985-1998) • Aid commitments Population • Net Coverage Democracy • GNP Per Capita Trade • Language Variable Unrest • Colonial Variable Negative • Need
Results- 1st Regression • For each country its aid commitments and net media coverage (radio, tv, press) are positively and significantly correlated. • Net Coverage in other countries needs to be controlled for as if it is correlated there could be a spurious relationship.
Method- 2nd Regression Added control Variables: (controls for media coverage in other cities) • SWINET • GERNET • FRANNET • USNET • CANNET • JAPNET
Results 2nd Regression • Swiss coverage is the only one positively correlated with British aid commitments. • This could be due to a lack of data. • The hypothesis cannot be verified as Swiss coverage is correlated, for all the other countries studied the hypothesis is verified. • Each country’s aid commitments studied in this project was correlated with another country’s coverage.
Take-Aways • - Media is an important foreign policy influence and does contribute to its transparency. • - Other factors that influence aid commitments: Trade, GNP Per Capita, Current Events, and Political Interest. • While no general conclusion was reached it is clear that aid allocations and media coverage are significantly correlated.