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Nuevas Oportunidades para el GNC en Estados Unidos. Gustavo Collantes, Ph.D. Consultor, Energía y Transporte Sustentables Congreso Internacional de GNC y Otros Combustibles Gaseosos Buenos Aires, noviembre 2011. Market Variables.
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Nuevas Oportunidades para el GNC en Estados Unidos Gustavo Collantes, Ph.D. Consultor, Energía y Transporte Sustentables Congreso Internacional de GNC y Otros Combustibles Gaseosos Buenos Aires, noviembre 2011
Market Variables • US CNG market growth has remained stagnant, few exceptions aside • Comparative fuel economics good for commercial applications but not enough to spur significant consumer adoption • Relatively short vehicle range, big factor • Limited consumer education about virtues of CNG • Political dynamics with fuel competitors at the local/state levels • US EPA fuel economy regulations, California Zero-Emission Vehicle Program, Federal fleet requirements, and other regulatory measures have had limited impact on CNG markets • CNG has never been too sexy! • Honda Civic approximate retail prices $15,805 $24,050 $26,155
Capital Costs • Chicken-and-egg problem exacerbated by high upfront costs of conversions and conventional infrastructure • Low relative price of CNG and federal/state programs do not yield sufficiently low IRR for many applications • Factors affecting conversion costs may include labor, US EPA/CARB permitting, low demand, others • Factors affecting infrastructure deployment costs may include low demand, limited competition, permitting, others
Opportunities on CNG Storage • Sistemas ANG • Tests mostraron limitaciones con performance of altos V/V • Nuevos desarrollos en materiales y nano estructuras • Fuel system vs. cartridge system • Oportunidades en diseños innovativos e integración de sistemas
Opportunities on CNG Distribution • Virtual pipeline concepts • Home refueling and vehicle-distribution integration • HCNG—synergies between CNG and hydrogen
Thank You! Gustavo Collantes gustavo.collantes@gmail.com Cambridge, Massachusetts