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Study Project MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region

NREA. Study Project MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region Project for the Research & Development Programme of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU). Bringing Renewable Energies to Work

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Study Project MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region

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  1. NREA Study Project MED-CSP Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region Project for the Research & Development Programme of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU)

  2. Bringing Renewable Energies to Work • Renewable Energy Resource Assessment • Power Demand Assessment • Sustainable National Energy Scenarios • National Guidelines to Initiate and Follow that Path  Data Base for Decision Making

  3. Southern Europe Western Asia Arabian Peninsula North Africa Countries analysed within the MED-CSP Study and total EU-MENA Region

  4. Sustainability  Dynamic Stability “development that meets the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” /Brundtland 1987/ What we need: What we have: Environmental Sustainability Environmental Damages Economical Sustainability Increasing Subsidies Social Sustainability Increasing Conflicts Institutional Sustainability Insufficient Policies

  5. Environmental Sustainability Challenge: Climate Change

  6. Institutional Sustainability Challenge: Greenhouse gas emissions until 2002 and projections until 2010 indicate Insufficient Policies even in the EU 15

  7. Second Slowdown: Demand Stabilisation First Slowdown: Efficiency Gains & Liberalisation Social Sustainability Challenge: Growing Electricity Demand in MENA

  8. Driving Force Population Growth Source: United Nations Intermediate Growth Scenario /FAO 2004/

  9. Driving Forces: Growth of Economy. Closing the Gap of per Capita GDP with USA by 2050 by 50%

  10. 2040 2020 Electricity/Capita [kWh/cap] 2000 1980 1960 GDP/Capita [1000 US$ 1996 PPP] Driving Force Economic Growth: Correlation and Extrapolation of Total Final Electricity Consumption per capita and GDP per capita for a Sample of 25 (150) Countries

  11. Per Capita Power Consumption in EU-MENA in the MED-CSP Scenario

  12. Social Sustainability Challenge: Growing Freshwater Demand in the MENA countries

  13. Social Sustainability Challenge: Agriculture vs. Industrial Development in MENA growths with GDP grows with population

  14. Social & Environmental Sustainability Challenge: Growing Freshwater Deficits Source: Saghiri 2003

  15. Economic Sustainability Challenge: Cost of Electricity from Nuclear Energy, Coal & Gas desirable additionalexternalsocietal cost cent/kWh cost of CO2-sequestration

  16. Dollars per cubic meter Dollars per cubic meter Economic Sustainability Challenge:Water pricing in the MENA Region /Saghir 2003/ a) Irrigation Sector b) Municipal Sector desirable long term cost level

  17. Economic Sustainability Challenge:

  18. 06.2001 06.2002 06.2003 06.2004 Economic Sustainability Challenge: Coal Price Index in $/ton Source: globalCOAL

  19. Economic Sustainability Challenge: Uranium Price Index in $/lb Source: cameco

  20. Guidelines for Sustainability in the Energy Sector. satisfied • Equality of access no • Conservation of resources no • Compatibility with environment, climate and health no • Social compatibility ltd. • Low risk and high error tolerance ltd. • Comprehensive economic efficiency no • Meet the need of supply at any time ltd. • International co-operation ltd. • Source: BMU

  21. Main Results of the MED-CSP Demand Assessment • The present energy system is not sustainable and will lead to a critical situation in terms of economical, social and environmental stability. • The demand for energy will grow by three times until 2050, water demand will almost double in the EU-MENA region. • Fossil and nuclear energy sources have triggered economic development in the North Western Hemisphere, but do not have the capacity to do the same for the rest of the world.

  22. MED-CSP Team German Aerospace Center (DLR) Dr. Franz Trieb, Dr. Christoph Schillings, Stefan Kronshage, Dr. Uwe Klann, Dr. Peter Viebahn, Nadine May, Regina Wilde, Christian Paul, Stuttgart, Germany National Energy Research Center (NERC) Eng. Malek Kabariti, Amman, Jordan Centre National pour la Recherche Scientifique et Technique (CNRST) Prof. Dr. Abdelaziz Bennouna, Rabat, Morocco Nokraschy Engineering GmbH (NE) Dr. Ing. Hani El Nokraschy, Holm, Germany New and Renewable Energy Authority (NREA) Ms. Laila Georgy Yussef, Cairo, Egypt New Energy Algeria (NEAL) Tewfik Hasni, Alger, Algeria Internationales Forschungszentrum für Erneuerbare Energien e.V. (IFEED) Dr. Nasir El Bassam, Braunschweig, Germany Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA) Honorat Satoguina, Hamburg, Germany

  23. Concentrating Solar Power for the Mediterranean Region WP0: Introduction WP1: Sustainability Goals WP2: Renewable Energy Technologies WP3: Renewable Energy Resources WP4: Demand Side Analysis WP5: Scenario for Energy and Water Security WP6: Socio-Economical Impacts WP7: Environmental Impacts WP8: Policy Instruments WP9: Bibliography WP10: Annex with Country Data Downloads at: http://www.dlr.de/tt/med-csp

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