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Ask Measure Learn. by Lutz Finger. Last update: March, 2014. The philosophy of the day is . data- ism. —DAVID BROOKS (@NYTDAVIDBROOKS). We focus too much on technology. Google Search on the term “Big Data”. ASK the right Questions.
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Ask Measure Learn by Lutz Finger Last update: March, 2014
The philosophy of the day is . data-ism —DAVID BROOKS (@NYTDAVIDBROOKS)
We focus too much on technology Google Search on the term “Big Data”
ASKthe right Questions. MEASUREthe right data – even if it is not Big data. Take Actions and LEARNfrom them.
ASK Ask the right Question
ASK THE HARDESTPART
ASK Let’s do “Social Media”
ASK Source: IBM Institute for Business Value.
ASK Please find an “INFLUENCER” • Opinion leaders (Katz 1955) • Influentials (Merton 1968) • Law of the Few (Gladwell 2000) Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
ASK A few person decide what we do… Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
ASK REALLY? Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
ASK Dear Marketers, There is noinfluencer. It’s a myth.
ASK Reality 50% is Homophily Influence is often overestimated.It needs: • Reach • Readiness • Topic Dependence • 4 years • 1001 Students on Facebook • traditional Self-reported Data • How did taste Spread Source: Kevin Lewisa, Marco Gonzalezaand Jason Kaufman (2012): PNAS Vol 109, no 1
ASK Aja Dior M.? AP News?
ASK Aja Dior M.? AP News? Aja Dior M. omgg, my aunt tiffany who work for whitney houston just found whitney houston dead in the tub. such ashamed & sad :( 45 min
ASK I want to create “REACH”… in order to “SELL”
Measure the right Data
What is RIGHT? MEASURE Source: WIkipedia
MEASURE even if it is not Big Data
More Data More Insights MEASURE does not equal
We want small data…. MEASURE Data ELT and Aggregation Yes or No Bit Petabyte Terabyte Gigabyte 4 1 2 3
Calculating Reach via Network Data MEASURE 1977: Linton C. Freeman, “Centrality based on Betweenness .”
“REACH” creates awareness“SELL”needs purchase intend MEASURE
MEASURE Correlations are important
What is your behavior? MEASURE Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
The issue with the Correlation / Causation MEASURE Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
Social Behavior is ‘unstructured’ MEASURE Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
It is way easier to work with ‘structured data’ MEASURE New York Weather in April 2013 Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
MEASURE MEASURE Source: Jeffrey Breen
What is RIGHT? MEASURE Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
Actions Right and learn from them.
LEARN Information vs. Action…
LEARN Information vs. Action…
LEARN Three Types of actionable Insights Benchmark Predictions Recommendations& Filter
LEARN BENCHMARK
LEARN Competitive Benchmark Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
LEARN RECOMMEND & FILTER
LEARN LinkedIn Recommendation Products People You May Know Groups You May Like Ads You Be Interested in Companies you May Want to Follow Similar Profiles Puls
LEARN Filter Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
LEARN PREDICTIONS
LEARN Predicting the OSCAR 2013
LEARN Predicting the OSCAR
LEARN Predicting the OSCAR • Possible other Features: • CROWDSOURCED: • Box Office Results • Movie Goer Reviews • Critics • OTHER “Hard Facts” • Genre • Payment of Actors • Etc. Source: Farsite
LEARN Predicting Box Office Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
LEARN Predictions are not easy, especially if they are about the Future.
LEARN Which Model to use Source: ‘Ask Measure Learn’ by O’Reilly Media
LEARN Which Model to use Google’s Prediction API
LEARN Many more examples… Benchmark Recommendation & Filter Predict
LEARN Data Wrangling & Data Science is getting Easier