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HAZARD VULNERABILTY ANALYSIS: ISSUES WITH THE CURRENT MODEL

HAZARD VULNERABILTY ANALYSIS: ISSUES WITH THE CURRENT MODEL. Scot Phelps, JD, MPH, Paramedic, CEM/CBCP/MEP Associate Professor of Emergency Management. Three Aspects. Three Aspects. Three Aspects. Three Aspects. Three Aspects. Three Aspects. Three Aspects. (. ) /18).

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HAZARD VULNERABILTY ANALYSIS: ISSUES WITH THE CURRENT MODEL

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  1. HAZARD VULNERABILTY ANALYSIS: ISSUES WITH THE CURRENT MODEL Scot Phelps, JD, MPH, Paramedic, CEM/CBCP/MEP Associate Professor of Emergency Management

  2. Three Aspects

  3. Three Aspects

  4. Three Aspects

  5. Three Aspects

  6. Three Aspects

  7. Three Aspects

  8. Three Aspects

  9. ( ) /18) PROBABILITY XHUMAN IMPACT XPROPERTY IMPACT XBUSINESS IMPACT XPREPAREDNESS XINTERNAL RESPONSE XEXTERNAL RESPONSE Three Aspects

  10. PROBABILITY=1HUMAN IMPACT=1PROPERTY IMPACT=2BUSINESS IMPACT=2PREPAREDNESS=2INTERNAL RESPONSE=1EXTERNAL RESPONSE=2RELATIVE THREAT=.165 Example: Fire

  11. THE KAISER HVA ASKS “HOW DOES THIS HAZARD AFFECT THE HOSPITAL?”THE CORRECT QUESTIONS IS “HOW ARE THE HOSPITAL’S BUSINESS PROCESSES EFFECTED BY A HAZARD?” Issue #1: Hospitals are a BUSINESS- Need a Business Impact Analysis.

  12. Our Mission is to Care for the Sick and Injured Issue #1: Hospitals are a BUSINESS- Need a Business Impact Analysis.

  13. Our Mission is to Manage the Business of Caring for the Sick and Injured Issue #1: Hospitals are a BUSINESS- Need a Business Impact Analysis.

  14. HOW DOES THIS BUSINESS UNIT SERVE THE HOSPITAL? Business Impact Analysis.

  15. HOW IS IT EFFECTED BY CRISIS “X”? CAN IT STOP AND FOR HOW LONG? WHAT HAPPENS IF IT “BREAKS”? Business Impact Analysis.

  16. WHAT OTHER UNITS OF THE HOSPITAL DEPEND ON IT TO FUNCTION? Business Impact Analysis.

  17. HOW MANY OF YOU KNOW:HOW LONG YOUR BILLING OFFICE CAN HAVE NO INTERNET ACCESS UNTIL YOUR HOSPITAL IS BANKRUPT?HAVE AUTHORIZED THE PAYROLL COORDINATOR AS “ESSENTIAL PERSONNEL”? Business Impact Analysis.

  18. HUMAN IMPACT IS UNDERVALUED Issue #2: People are Important

  19. Issue #2: People are MORE Important….

  20. MAGNITUDE OF IMPACTS CAN BE “OUTWEIGHED” BY MITIGATION, EVEN IF MITIGATION DOES NOT ADDRESS THAT PARTICULAR FACTOR Issue #3: Mitigation Can Hide Magnitude

  21. PROBABILITY CAN “BURY” IMPACT AND DISTORT RELATIVE RISK Issue #4: Probability Can Hide Impact

  22. Risk IS About Frequency….

  23. Risk IS About Frequency…

  24. WHICH COMMUNITY HAS MORE “RISK” WHEN IT SNOWS? Risk IS About Frequency….

  25. New York’s Relative Risk=.44 WHICH COMMUNITY HAS MORE “RISK” WHEN IT SNOWS? Risk IS About Frequency….

  26. London’s Relative Risk=.43 WHICH COMMUNITY HAS MORE “RISK” WHEN IT SNOWS? Risk IS About Frequency….

  27. “BLIZZARD OF ANGER FOLLOWS LONDON SNOWSTORM”-ASSOCIATED PRESS"ONE OF THE WORLD'S BIGGEST ECONOMIES SHOULD NOT BE GRINDING TO A HALT…”$4.3 BILLION COST IN LOST PRODUCTIVITY Risk IS About Frequency….

  28. What We Should Worry About….

  29. Inside the Low Frequency/High Impact Box….

  30. Inside the Low Frequency/High Impact Box…. Fast Decision Required

  31. “Red Flag” Sentinel Risks Red Flag Risk

  32. “Red Flag” Sentinel Risks Yellow Flag Risk

  33. WHAT WE DO: CRITICAL FUNCTIONS Revised Model

  34. ADMINISTRATION ENGINEERING SUPPLY CHAIN DATA CENTER/IT EMS EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT SURGERY CLINIC/OUTPATIENT OPERATIONS INPATIENT OPERATIONS SECURITY FOOD SERVICE HOUSEKEEPING LABORATORY PHARMACY Critical Functions

  35. WHAT WE NEED TO DO IT: CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE Revised Model

  36. SITE ARCHITECTURAL STRUCTURAL SYSTEMS BUILDING ENVELOPE UTILITY SYSTEMS MECHANICAL SYSTEMS PLUMBING & GAS SYSTEMS ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS FIRE ALARM SYSTEMS COMMUNICATION & IT SYSTEMS EQUIPMENT OPERATIONS & MAINTENANCE SECURITY SYSTEMS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Critical Infrastructure

  37. Revised Model

  38. Revised Model

  39. Revised Model

  40. Revised Model

  41. Asset Value-How Critical Is It to the Mission?

  42. Threat (cumulative)-What Can Happen?

  43. Vulnerability-How Protected is the Asset?

  44. Human Impact Factor

  45. “Red Flag” Sentinel Risks Red Flag Risk

  46. “Red Flag” Sentinel Risks Yellow Flag Risk

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