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Forecasting Methods

Learn about the forecasting methods utilized by RCEC member coops for accurate projections, historical trending, and handling transfer loads, with examples from cooperative entities. The percentage variance projections vs actuals from 2007 to 2009 are also examined.

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Forecasting Methods

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  1. Forecasting Methods utilized byRCEC Member Coops

  2. Coops requested to provide information In Alphabetical Order • Farmers Electric Cooperative • Grayson Collin Electric Cooperative • Trinity Valley

  3. FEC Electric Cooperative • Historical Trending POI • Developed from Actual Usage History • Length of Projection determines Amount of History utilized • New Loads Added to Projections when Applicable • Effects of Transfer Loads on the Nodes

  4. GCEC Electric Cooperative • Historical Trending POI • Developed from Actual Usage History • Length of Projection determines Amount of History utilized • New Loads Added to Projections when Applicable • Effects of Transfer Loads on the Nodes

  5. Trinity Valley Electric Cooperative • Historical Trending by POI • Developed from Actual Usage History • Length of Projection determines Amount of History utilized • New Loads Added to Projections when Applicable • Effects of Transfer Loads on the Nodes

  6. Percentage Variance Projections vs Actuals • 2007 ~21% • 2008 ~15% • 2009 ~ 5%

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