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Forecasting Methods

Forecasting Methods. utilized by RCEC Member Coops. Coops requested to provide information. In Alphabetical Order Farmers Electric Cooperative Grayson Collin Electric Cooperative Trinity Valley. FEC Electric Cooperative. Historical Trending POI Developed from Actual Usage History

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Forecasting Methods

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  1. Forecasting Methods utilized byRCEC Member Coops

  2. Coops requested to provide information In Alphabetical Order • Farmers Electric Cooperative • Grayson Collin Electric Cooperative • Trinity Valley

  3. FEC Electric Cooperative • Historical Trending POI • Developed from Actual Usage History • Length of Projection determines Amount of History utilized • New Loads Added to Projections when Applicable • Effects of Transfer Loads on the Nodes

  4. GCEC Electric Cooperative • Historical Trending POI • Developed from Actual Usage History • Length of Projection determines Amount of History utilized • New Loads Added to Projections when Applicable • Effects of Transfer Loads on the Nodes

  5. Trinity Valley Electric Cooperative • Historical Trending by POI • Developed from Actual Usage History • Length of Projection determines Amount of History utilized • New Loads Added to Projections when Applicable • Effects of Transfer Loads on the Nodes

  6. Percentage Variance Projections vs Actuals • 2007 ~21% • 2008 ~15% • 2009 ~ 5%

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