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Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis

Systems Analysis and Decision Support . Prof. Raimo P. Hämäläinen Group: Dr. Kai Virtanen M.Sc. Juho Kokkala, Jukka Luoma, Ville Mattila, Jirka Poropudas, Jouni Pousi, Mika Marttunen, Finnish Environment Institute.

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Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis

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  1. Systems Analysis and Decision Support Prof. Raimo P. Hämäläinen Group: Dr. Kai Virtanen M.Sc. Juho Kokkala, Jukka Luoma, Ville Mattila, Jirka Poropudas, Jouni Pousi, Mika Marttunen, Finnish Environment Institute Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis 1

  2. Research topicsSystems analysis and decision support • Dynamic systems • Strategy of flight • Maintenance of aircraft • Multicriteria decision modeling and games • Web software • Environment • New tools for facilitation • Systems thinking Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis 2

  3. ImpactSystems analysis and decision support • Theory of preference programming • Decision under uncertainty • Group decision • Decisionarium web site • Repository for worldwide use of decision support software • Best-practices for environmental decision analysis • Nuclear risk management model implemented in European Union and India Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis 3

  4. Where tomorrow?Systems analysis and decision support • Institute for Systems and Decision Research (national IIASA with PhD education) • Systems thinking and systems intelligence • Neuroeconomics and behavioural studies • Multicriteria optimization and metamodeling in simulation • Dynamic influence diagrams Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis 4

  5. Optimization and Game Theory Models and Algorithms Prof. Harri Ehtamo Tech.Lic. Kimmo Berg M.Sc. Simo Heliövaara, Juha-Matti Kuusinen, Mirko Ruokokoski, Janne Sorsa

  6. Research topicsOptimization and game theory models and algorithms Optimization algorithms for pricing of goods Focus on monopoly pricing problems How to compute optimal bundles underlimited information? Stochastic Vehicle Routing Optimization Game theory models and algorithms to describe large crowd dynamics in simulation environment

  7. ImpactOptimization and game theory models and algorithms • Modelling and forecasting of people flow inhigh rise buildings • Modelling of safe evacuation of people from large burning buildings

  8. Where tomorrow?Optimization and game theory models and algorithms Development of novel MILP algorithms for vehicle routing problems Special emphasis on elevator group control Development of new mathematical concepts based on problem symmetry Collaboration with leading research groups in the field, e.g., HEC Montreal Development of learning algorithms based on evolutionary game theory to describe large crowd dynamics Collaboration with VTT, NIST/USA, Dresden University,to develop a simulation model for fire safety analysis of large buildings

  9. Decision Models and Foresight Methodologies Prof. Ahti Salo Group: Dr.Tech. Juuso Liesiö Tech.Lic. Antti Punkka, Pekka Mild M.Sc. Ville Brummer, Jussi Kangaspunta, Antti Silvast, Antti Toppila, Eeva Vilkkumaa

  10. Research topicsDecision models and foresight methodologies • Portfolio decision analysis for allocating resources to non-traded investment opportunities • Uncertainties  Scenarios & robustness • Multiple criteria  Preference modelling • Stakeholders  Decision processes • Constraints & dynamics  Optimization models • Several resources  Efficiency analysis Theory Method-ologies Decision models Decisions

  11. ImpactDecision models and foresight methodologies • International research awards (INFORMS) • Major foresight projects • FinnSight 2015, Strategic Research Agendas • Resource allocation decisions • National funding plans for road maintenance • Standardization investments at Nokia • Efficiency analyses • Identification of cost-effective weapons systems • Funding channels and the productivity of research

  12. Where tomorrow?Decision models and foresight methodologies • A world-leader in Portfolio Decision Analysis (PDA) • Book to be published by Springer • Design of information acquisition strategies in project portfolio selection • Relevant to various funding agencies • Collaboration with London Business School • Portfolio optimization of risk management plans • Collaboration with the University of Southern California

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