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Science and Skepticism

Science and Skepticism. Marianna Wood. the nature of science. observable facts tentative explanations no proof DATA, DATA, DATA. the nature of science. incremental If I have seen farther than others it is because I have stood on the shoulders of giants. Isaac Newton self-correcting.

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Science and Skepticism

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  1. Science and Skepticism Marianna Wood

  2. the nature of science • observable facts • tentative explanations • no proof • DATA, DATA, DATA

  3. the nature of science • incremental • If I have seen farther than others it is because I have stood on the shoulders of giants.Isaac Newton • self-correcting

  4. scientific uncertainty • scientists comfortable with uncertainty • policy makers and the general public less comfortable with uncertainty • how can scientists communicate uncertainty?

  5. scientific uncertainty Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

  6. a scientist’s view • hacked e-mails from the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia • IPCC mistake on Himalayan glacier melt

  7. human cause? 50% 18% http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1386/cap-and-trade-global-warming-opinion

  8. liberals and conservatives “Liberals did appear to be more open, tolerant, creative, curious, expressive, enthusiastic, and drawn to novelty and diversity, in comparison with conservatives, who appeared to be more conventional, orderly, organized, neat, clean, withdrawn, reserved, and rigid.” Carney, Jost, Gosling, and Potter. 2008. Political Psychology 29:807-840

  9. liberals and conservatives • conservatives • distrust “elites” • respect and protect the status quo • acknowledging climate change  status quo must change Begley. 21 Dec 2009. Newsweek p32.

  10. human cause? 50% 33% 18% http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1386/cap-and-trade-global-warming-opinion

  11. a scientist’s view • saying something repeatedly/loudly/ disparagingly does not make it true • rich primary literature on climate change with many, many participants

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