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CENTRAL COMMISSION FOR THE NAVIGATION OF THE RHINE. COMMISSION CENTRALE POUR LA NAVIGATION DU RHIN. ZENTRALKOMMISSION FÜR DIE RHEINSCHIFFFAHRT. CENTRALE COMMISSIE VOOR DE RIJNVAART. CENTRAL COMMISSION FOR THE NAVIGATION OF THE RHINE. Norbert Kriedel Economist. Luxembourg, 9 Juin 2010.
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CENTRAL COMMISSION FOR THE NAVIGATION OF THE RHINE COMMISSION CENTRALE POUR LA NAVIGATION DU RHIN ZENTRALKOMMISSION FÜR DIE RHEINSCHIFFFAHRT CENTRALE COMMISSIE VOOR DE RIJNVAART CENTRAL COMMISSION FOR THE NAVIGATION OF THE RHINE Norbert Kriedel Economist Luxembourg, 9 Juin 2010
Norbert Kriedel, Economist, CCNR Market Observation European Inland NavigationCentral Commission for Navigation on the Rhine Inland Shipping Data in Market Monitoring ETISplus Waterborne Transport Data Workshop Neth-ER (The Netherlands House for Education and Research Aarlenstraat (Rue d’Arlon) 22, Brussels 12.05.2011
Transport Demand • 2) Transport Supply • MicroeconomicIssues • (Costs, Freight Rates, Turnover) • 4) Inland Navigation Labour market • 5) Modal Split Overview Main Areas of Market Observation
Data fortransportdemand… • National Statistical Offices • National ShippingAuthorities(also regional data) • Austria: Via Donau • France: VoiesNavigables de France • Germany: Wasserschifffahrtsdirektionen • International organizations • Eurostat • ITF/OECD OverviewSourcesof Market Observation1) Transport Demand
Goods Transport in Inland Navigation – Danube Countries Sources: National Statistical Offices
Noactualtransportstatisticsforcertain countries (e.g. Belgium, Netherlands) • 2) Transit Traffic sometimes not included in official data. • Alternative: Estimationsbased on … • Inland Port Statistics • Sea Port Statistics(overalltraffic / hinterlandshare / modal • split shareof IWT) Data for Transport Demand – Problems and Limitations
3)Eurostat Change from NST/R goodsclassificationto NST 2007 Data for Transport Demand – Problems and Limitations (II) Loss ofinformation New goodscategoriesareoften not well specifiedformarketobservation Example: Old Classification: (NST/R) Code 11: Iron Ore, Metal Wastes …. Steel segment Code 15: Sand & Gravel …. Construction segment New Classification: (NST 2007) GT 03: Ores, Sand & Gravel, other mining materials …. Both segments
EurostatChange from NST/R goodsclassificationto NST 2007 Data for Transport Demand – Problems and Limitations (II) Possiblesolutionofthe Problem: Harmonisation of NST 2007 on 3 digits at a European level all countries shallbeobliged to producestatisticsatthisdegree of detail
Steel Production = Reference Series Transport Ores and MetalWastes(Rhine) Sources: German Statistical Office; Eurofer. German Steel Production
Data forfleetstatistics… • National Statistical Offices • International Ship Registers (IVR) • Ministriesof Transport • Problems/Limitations: • Sometimestwo different sourcesforonecountry • Problems ofactualityin some countries • Active / Inactivefleet: Somesourcescontaininactiveships OverviewSourcesof Market Observation2) Transport Supply
2003 until 2010 Tanker Shipping in Western Europe – ComparisonofSupply and Demand over time Fleet Capacity + 35 % Transport Volume + 4 % Source: Calculation CCNR based on datafortankerfleets in Belgium France, Germany, Netherlands, Luxemburg (source: IVR)
CostStructure and Evolution ofCosts • sources: shippingindustryassociations • Freight Rates • sources: surveysofshippers • Turnover • calculations CCNR for dry cargomarket / tankershippingbased • on freightrates and transportvolumesofthewholeindustry OverviewSourcesof Market Observation3) MicroeconomicIndicators
Freight Rates in Tanker Shipping on the Rhine (Gasoilfreightrates) Source: PJK International
Freight Rates in Tanker Shipping and Waterlevel Source: PJK International; Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde
Freight Rates, Transport Demand and Turnover(Tanker shipping) Source: CCNR
Data sourcesforemploymentstudies in inlandshipping … • National Statistical Offices (foroverallemployment and • employment in sub-markets, wages, etc. ) • National Social Security Organizations • (foremploymentaccordingtoagegroups, numberofforeign • personnel, numberoffemale and male employees, etc.) • Social Security Organizationsforself-employed • (fornumberofself-employedinlandshippers) OverviewSourcesof Market Observation4) Labour Market Issues
Employment in Dutch Inland Navigation (fte = full time equivalents) Source: CBS
Age Structure in Belgian Inland Shipping Source: ONSS / INASTI
Employment in German Inland Shipping Source: German Statistical Office
Thankyouverymuchforyourattention. Merci beaucoup pour votre attention. Vielen Dank für Ihre Aufmerksamkeit. Dank u voor uw aandacht. Norbert Kriedel, CCR Market observation –Central Commission for Navigation ofthe Rhine (CCNR)