THE GOVERNANCE OF WATER RESOURCES AFFECTED BY CLIMATE CHANGE: A MEDITERRANEAN PERSPECTIVE

1. THE GOVERNANCE OFWATER RESOURCESAFFECTED BYCLIMATE CHANGE:A MEDITERRANEAN PERSPECTIVE Jaroslav Mysiak Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change, Venice, Italy Senem Bayar Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering, Kocaeli, Turkey Güleda Engin Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering, Kocaeli, Turkey

2. Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering The aim of this contribution how science can help to designmanagement tools able to wield uncertainty and produce useful advices where the existing data is insufficient, how national water management strategies, built on best available science, can help to meet the challenge of water scarcity and pollution.

3. Environ-mental migration Glaciers melting Costal erosion Heat waves Droughts Droughts Flash flood Sea level rise Source: http://www.shadedrelief.com/natural/images/italy.jpg

4. Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Venice Research Consortium National Institute for Geophysics and Volcanology Associated centres - Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche - - Dipartimento Terra Ambiente - Università della Tuscia - Istituto Agronomico Mediterraneo di Bari - Centro di Ricerca in Matematica Pura e Applicata - Università degli Studi di Sassari - Consorzio SPACI - Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale - Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics University of Sannio University of Salento Italian Aerospace Research Center

5. Building up critical mass for climate research and policy advise Fundraising and networking • Since 2007, 55 EU research proposals, in 23 of which as a coordinating partner, • 30 ongoing projects with a total budget of ca. Euro 13 mil, • research co-ordination and management for international projects led by the Italian ministries, • handles the Italian Focal Point for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) • Principal public policy partners • International: European Commission, UNFCCC, UNCCD, UNEP, Environmental Defense, … • National: Italian Ministry for the Environment, Land and Sea; Italian Agency for energy, the environment and new technologies; Regional and provincial governments; Italian Environmental Protection Agency, Civil protection agency, WWF

6. Selected projects related to water governance under climate change CIRCE Climate Change and Impact Research: the Mediterranean Environment. ClimChAlp Climate Change, Impacts and adaptation strategies in the Alpine Space. CLARIS A Europe-South America Network For Climate Change Assessment and Impact Studies in La Plata Basin. MY OCEAN Development and Pre-operational validation of GMES Marine Core Services. BRIDGE Sustainable urban planning decision support accounting for urban metabolism. CANTICO Climate and local anthropogenic drivers and impacts for the Tunisian coastal area. COMBINE Comprehensive Modelling of the Earth System for Better Climate Prediction and Projection. GOWAMed Water Governance to Douse Climate Change Impact in the Mediterranean Area. AUWA Towards more environmentally Aware Use of Water in Agriculture. CLIMAFRICA Climate change predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptations, BIOCHANGE Biodiversity and ecosystem functioning in changing river basins: ecological tools supporting adaptive management of water resources in a climate change scenario. WASSERMED Water Availability and Security in Southern EuRope and the Mediterranean. FREEMAN Flood Resilience Enhancement and Management: a pilot study in Flanders, Germany and Italy.

7. Global and regional climate models Temperature Precipitation Sea level rise … Policy advise Hazard preparedness and management, coping capacity and resilience Impact on Tourism, Fishery, Agriculture, Energy Infrastructure, Navigation, Ecosystem and Social Vulnerability Policy advise Ex-post assessment of past events alpine tourism landslides, flood lagoon protection sea flood, storm surges costal protection river basin management bush fire droughts real time weather forecast floods flash floods cyclone activity

8. Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering Water Resources Management in Turkey Planning and management of water resources in watersheds by controlling the balance between protection and usage by protecting fresh water potential which exists in limited amounts on Earth a multidimensional approach common work of various disciplines and technologies

9. Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering Turkey’s population: 100 million by 2030 The annual available amount of water per capita: 1000 m3 by 2030 water consumption patterns alter annual allocatedavailable amount of water per person decrease future water consumption projections the next 25 years available resourcesrationally clean and sufficient water resources for the next generation

10. Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering Turkey is already facing an observed warming trend in temperatures and a decreasing trend in precipitation A major negative effect on water availability for food production and rural development The main objective of developing national capacities to manage climate change risks • national water management strategies • local actions

11. Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering Last words More than half of humanity will be living with water shortages, depleted fisheries and polluted coastlines within 50 years To prevent this: developingnational water management strategy acting soon A high potential of implementing these strategies National will and coordination

12. Thank you... Gebze Institute of Technology Dept. Environmental Engineering