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Flood Risk Management: A View to the Future

Flood Risk Management: A View to the Future. Framing the Questions – Addressing the Needs: Moving to Incorporate Social Science into Meteorological Operations Joan Pope Andrew J. Bruzewicz U.S . Army Corps of Engineers 3-4 May 2010. US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ®.

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Flood Risk Management: A View to the Future

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  1. Flood Risk Management:A View to the Future Framing the Questions – Addressing the Needs: Moving to Incorporate Social Science into Meteorological Operations Joan Pope Andrew J. Bruzewicz U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 3-4 May 2010 US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG®
  2. Spectrum of USACE Operations WARFIGHTING DISASTERS WATER RESOURCES ENVIRONMENT INFRASTRUCTURE Creating synergy between water resource development and environment Restoring, managing and and enhancing ecosystems, local and regional Building and sustaining the critical facilities for military installations and the public Responding to local, national and global disasters Providing full spectrum engineering and contingency support USACE Engineering and Operational Spectrum “From Peace to War”
  3. 9 Divisions 45 Districts What is the US Army Corps of Engineers? HQ Civil Works Program ~$9 Billion Military Program ~$28 Billion - 10,000 personnel - Military Construction - Contingency Ops Installation Support International/ Interagency Support - 22,000 personnel - Navigation - Hydropower Flood Risk Management Shore Protection Water Supply Regulatory Recreation - Homeland Security - Environmental - Real Estate Agency & Industry Partners Engineer Commands Engineer Research and Development Center Seven diverse research laboratories - $1 Billion
  4. USACE -- The Army’s Engineer Executes Programs for . . . Secretary of the Army Chief of Staff Commander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Personnel Uniformed = 557 Military Programs Civil Works 8 Divisions 41 Districts 2 Centers 7 World Class Labs 1 Engineer Battalion 10K 25K Mississippi Valley Great Lakes & Ohio River Northwestern North Atlantic South Pacific South Atlantic Pacific Ocean Southwestern
  5. Military Program Missions Military Construction Overseas Contingencies Real Estate Formerly Used Defense Sites (FUDS) Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) Interagency and International Services Installation Support Stability Operations Slide 16 at TAB B
  6. Navigation Hydropower Flood Risk Management Ecosystem Restoration Water Supply Regulatory (Wetlands / US Waters ) Recreation Disaster Preparedness & Response Civil Works Program Missions Lock and Dam 15 ( Mississippi River ) Dredge ESSAYONS ( Coos Bay, OR ) Flood Wall ( Williamson, KY ) Lake Seminole ( Mobile District ) Everglades Bonneville II Powerhouse ( Washington )
  7. Recreation areas 376 M Visitors/yr Generate $15 B in economic activity, 500,000 jobs Environmental Restoration Civil Works Value to the Nation 299 Deep Draft Harbors ¼ of Nation’s Hydropower: $500 M + in power sales 11,000 miles of Commercial Inland Waterways: ½ the cost of rail 1/10 the cost of trucks 400 miles of Shore protection Destination for 75% of U.S. Vacations 627 Shallow Draft Harbors 8500 Miles of Levees Emergency Operations Stewardship of 11.7 Million Acres Public Lands Regulatory Responsibilities US Ports & Waterways convey > 2B Tons Commerce Foreign Trade alone creates > $160 B Tax Revenues
  8. Water Resources Challenges Population pressure Increased foreign trade Climate change Aging infrastructure Changing allocation needs Multiple Demands Energy demand - hydro Flood plain & coastal development Vulnerability to attack Threatened ecosystems
  9. Katrina’s Lessons(Summary of Interagency Performance Review Team Report) Change Need methods to consider changes in hazards, the system and consequences. Project authorizations and resource streams must anticipate change. Life Cycle Plan for life cycle performance of systems. Resilience and redundancy are critical, as are adaptive designs to accommodate change, expected and unexpected. Systems We need risk-based, system-wide planning and design methods. Foster collaboration among stakeholders at all levels. Policy and Practice Evolve guidance and methods to integrate rapidly emerging technologies and knowledge.
  10. Comprehensive systems approach Risk-informed decision making Communication of risk to the public Professional and technical expertise USACE’s Response:Actions for Change
  11. Look at river basins, waterheds and coastal zones as a whole Shift focus from individual projects to interdependent system Shift from immediate to long-term solutions Recognize that any single action triggers one or more responses and reactions in other parts of the system Systems Approach
  12. Consequence analysis, especially risks to populations Forestall possible failure mechanisms Quantify & communicate residual risk Ask which projects will fail to perform as designed, the likelihood of failure, and the consequences Recognize limits in disaster prediction Recognize limits in protection provided by structural means Risk-Informed Decision Making& Communication
  13. Shared Flood Risk Management:Buying Down Risk Residual Risk
  14. Vision: To lead collaborative, comprehensive and sustainable national flood risk management to improve public safety and reduce flood damages to our country.

    Flood Risk Management Program

    Mission:To integrate and synchronize the ongoing, diverse flood risk management projects, programs and authorities of the US Army Corps of Engineers with counterpart projects, programs and authorities of FEMA, other Federal agencies, state organizations and regional and local agencies.
  15. Core Members: USACE, FEMA, ASFPM, NAFSMA leadership Meet quarterly to discuss integration of programs and policies Current Focus Areas: Interagency Cooperation/Collaboration Risk Communication Levee Inventory and Assessments Mapping, Certification, and Accreditation Legislative Impacts Intergovernmental Flood Risk Management Committee
  16. http://www.iwr.usace.army.mil/ILTF/ Interagency Levee Task Force:Regional Flood Risk Management Identification of regional partners Facilitated comprehensive regional approach to flood risk management and recovery Establishment of interagency partnerships (Federal / State) Explore non-structural solutions and other flood risk management opportunities
  17. We cannot eliminate risk. Our intent is to educate the public as to the actual flood risk they face every day so they can take responsibility for their own safety. We are working with local governments so risk can be included in urban planning decisions. Summary
  18. Is the concern focused on warnings or hazards (meteorology or climatology) and short term versus long term response (evacuation or land use planning) Time between accurate warnings and the ability to respond (New Orleans, Florida Keys) Awareness vs. full understanding of: risk, uncertainty, and the range of consequences Uncertainty and Chicken Little Risk perception, experience, and memory Appropriate response: evacuation or shelter in place? What gets modeled and how are priorities determined? Inundation, dam and levee failure Educating the public and K-12 programs Considerations
  19. Questions ? US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG®
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