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Some ideas about analyzing research topics Heli Jantunen Microelectronics and Materials Physics Laboratories Department of Electrical and Information Engineering Faculty of Technology University of Oulu Finland. ?. Is it already well-researched? Who is interested about results?
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Some ideas about analyzing research topicsHeli JantunenMicroelectronics and Materials Physics LaboratoriesDepartment of Electrical and Information EngineeringFaculty of TechnologyUniversity of OuluFinland
? • Is it already well-researched? • Who is interested about results? • What kind of new applications would be interesting? • Are new innovations needed? • When it is a correct time to patent? • Where to find financing? • Who are the key players? • Where to publish? ANY TOOLS TO EVALUATE THE RESEARCH AREA?
NORMALLY DIVIDED IN FIVE PERIODS Growth Maturity Decline Introduction Saturation S-CURVES AS A TOOL TO ANALYSE MARKET SITUATION OF A PRODUCT Sales SALES OR PROFIT (AU) Profit TIME S. Majaro: International Marketing; A Strategic Approach to World Markets
BASIC RESEARCH - PRODUCT Sales SALES OR PROFIT (AU) Profit TIME BASIC RESEARCH COOPERATION RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT S. Majaro: International Marketing; A Strategic Approach to World Markets M. S. Slocum:Using S-Curves and Trends of Evolution in R&D Strategy Planning
S-CURVES AS A TOOL TO ANALYSESITUATION OF A SPECIFIC RESEARCH AREA? PERFORMANCE • HOW THESE CORRELATE WITH • SOME ELECTRONICS MATERIALS? • TREND OF PUBLICATIONS? • CORRELATION WITH AVAILABLE • MARKET FORECASTS? • USABILITY WITH COMMON ”HUNTING” • METHODS? • HOW IT WORKS IN PRACTICE? TIME INVENTIONS Number Level TIME M. S. Slocum:Using S-Curves and Trends of Evolution in R&D Strategy Planning
BRIEF TESTING OF S-CURVES ON SOME ELECTRONICS MATERIALS • SELECTED MAIN TOPICS • LTCC (LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC) • METHODS • www.uspto.gov WITH SELECTED YEARS (free access) • http://scholar.google.fi/ WITH SELECTED YEAR (free access) • ISI Web of Science (through your library; scientific jounral publications) • Scopus (through your library; also conference proceedings) • Science Direct • Market perdictions • etc.
LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC • KNOWN BEFOREHAND • VERY ACTIVE AREA ALREADY SEVERAL YEARS • APPLICATION AREAS IN AUTOMOTIVE, TELECOMMUNICATION • AND SENSOR TECHNOLOGIES Space application Module (VCO) IMST LTCC module, VTT LTCC waveguide, Oulu University
LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC STILL GROWING? NEW INNOVATIONS OR APPLICATION AREAS NEEDED? DEEPER ”HUNTING” NEEDED! • S 878 kpl (1990-2006) • GROWTH ~ 2003
DEEPER “HUNTING” (LTCC, material, publications) Piezoelectric Ferroelectric Magnetic Dielectric AMOUNT Piezoelectric ~ 450 Ferrelectric ~ 330 Magentic > 1100 Dielectric > 2800 YEAR
POLYMER PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS • KNOWN BEFOREHAND • LOT OF ACTIVITIES ONGOING • WIDE APPLICATION AREAS LIKE OLEDS, DISPLAYS, PACKAGES,… Printed OLED demonstrator, VTT R2R printed circuits, VTT Inkjet printed CNT ink, Oulu University
POLYMER PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS Inorganic (50 B$) Other organics (40 B$) Logic, memory (120 B$) FORECAST FOR ORGANIC AND INORGANIC PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS 300 BILLION $ GLOBALLY IN 2025 Lighting, displays, packaging, Signage, poster, billboard (90 B$) http://www.idtechex.com/products/en/articles/00000261.asp • S 418 kpl (1990-2006) • GROWTH TO BE COME (should be updated)
CONCLUSIONS AND NOTES • FAST METHOD • AVAILABLE TO ALL RESEARCHERS • GIVES INDICATIONS • overall view • novelty of research area • competitive position • background work needed • new innovations needed • financing type • FURTHER LIMITATION WHEN “HUNTING” • find new applications • combinations possibilities AMOUNT OF PUBLICATIONS TIME S-CURVES MIGHT BE ONE TOOL TO ANALYSE RESEACH AREA
HOWEVER................. • METHOD CAN EFFECT A LOT! • IT IS VERY SENSIVE AND IF NOT DONE CORRECTLY • - RESULTS are MISLEADING! • ADDITIONALLY YOU CAN FIND • Who is Who – in this research topic • Most cited publications • Main journals – impact factor or the best audience • How your supervisor is doing !!!!