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Witches of IR

Witches of IR. Realism vs. Liberalism. Basic Human Nature. Selfish. Variable. Role of States. Still very important. Significant but declining. Cause of State Behavior. National interest. Human motivations. Nature of International System. Anarchy. Community.

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Witches of IR

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  1. Witches of IR

  2. Realism vs. Liberalism Basic Human Nature Selfish Variable Role of States Still very important Significant but declining Cause of State Behavior Nationalinterest Humanmotivations Nature of International System Anarchy Community

  3. “Normal” Interstate Behavior Conflict Cooperation The World “Game” Zero-sum Non zero-sum Role of Morality Irrelevant Important Basic Outlook Pessimistic Optimistic

  4. “Flavors” of Realism (according to Doyle) WHYWAR?

  5. Balance of Power System a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  6. a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  7. a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  8. a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  9. a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  10. a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  11. a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  12. a c B b A C D E F e d f g

  13. Elements of Power Power = ability of a state to influence the behavior of other states (and resist their attempts to influence it) What factors enhance a state’s ability to do this?

  14. COW “Power” Index (COW = Correlates of War research project) CINC = Composite Index of National (material) Capabilities1816-2000(?) • Basic Indicators • Military Personnel • Military Expenditure • Iron & Steel Production • Energy Consumption • Urban Population • Total Population

  15. MilitaryPersonnel MilitaryCapability MilitaryExpenditure CINC Iron & SteelProduction IndustrialCapability EnergyConsumption UrbanPopulation DemographicCapability TotalPopulation

  16. Mil. Personnel – Top 5 1925 1825 1850 1950 1975 1875 1992 1900 CHN (28.1) RUS (40.0) RUS (30.0) RUS (24.7) CHN (18.9) CHN (23.8) CHN (12.1) RUS (19.7) RUS (9.3) AUH (12.7) CHN (23.0) FRN (15.1) RUS (15.1) RUS (19.9) CHN (17.2) RUS (10.9) FRN (7.8) FRN (11.0) USA (8.0) AUH (15.0) USA (9.0) FRN (11.5) USA (7.7) GMY (10.8) UKG (5.6) UKG (4.0) IND (4.0) IND (5.1) TUR (8.8) UKG (6.9) GMY (10.2) FRN (10.7) JPN (5.0) TUR (3.9) VTM (2.9) PRK (4.5) UKG (6.1) TUR (5.0) AUH (7.2) UKG (8.4)

  17. Mil. Expenditure – Top 5 1925 1825 1850 1950 1975 1875 1900 1992 RUS (31.8) FRN (25.5) RUS (34.8) RUS (23.4) RUS (17.6) RUS (33.3) UKG (31.6) USA (37.7) UKG (25.4) USA (12.9) USA (32.6) FRN (21.2) USA (23.7) FRN (16.6) RUS (11.4) RUS (6.2) UKG (12.7) RUS (17.9) UKG (14.6) CHN (5.7) CHN (7.4) UKG (13.7) UKG (5.6) USA (11.0) FRN (7.1) AUH (12.2) AUH (14.1) UKG (5.3) GFR (4.0) GMY (11.9) JPN (5.1) FRN (10.7) JPN (4.0) FRN (3.3) FRN (3.4) FRN (4.6) GMY (7.4) USA (5.4) USA (7.6) GMY (10.5)

  18. Iron & Steel – Top 5 1925 1825 1850 1950 1975 1875 1900 1992 USA (52.1) UKG (42.4) USA (52.1) UKG (53.1) UKG (46.5) RUS (22.2) USA (37.1) JPN (15.5) FRN (14.4) GMY (13.8) RUS (16.2) USA (13.3) USA (16.6) USA (14.8) GMY (23.1) USA (13.3) UKG (8.5) RUS (12.2) FRN (9.3) UKG (9.8) JPN (16.0) GMY (12.7) CHN (13.3) UKG (17.8) FRN (8.4) USA (8.6) RUS (5.6) FRN (5.1) GFR (6.3) FRN (10.4) RUS (7.9) RUS (10.6) AUH (6.5) AUH (5.1) BEL (3.9) FRN (5.6) BEL (2.9) BEL (2.2) CHN (3.7) GMY (5.8)

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