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The role of VoIP in Telecommunications. 15 January, 2007. Kim, Geunhyung BcN Unit KT. I. II. IV. V. III. Value Changes in ICT. Current Comm. status in Korea. Re-consideration of Voice. Challenges for New Growth. Concluding Remarks. Value Changes in ICT. Value Flow Changes.
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The role of VoIP in Telecommunications 15 January, 2007 Kim, Geunhyung BcN Unit KT
I II IV V III Value Changes in ICT Current Comm. status in Korea Re-consideration of Voice Challenges for New Growth Concluding Remarks
Value Changes in ICT Value Flow Changes Window /Service Providing Producing Packaging Delivery High Google (16.2) > 5.0 Ebay (9.5) Packaging or Window /Service Providing Yahoo (7.9) Microsoft (5.2) 5.0 4.0 Value in-flow 3.0 Market Value Sales Delivery (Traditional Comm. domain) Disney (2.0) 2.0 1.5 KT(1.4) KTF (1.4) Value dragging 1.0 0.5 Value out-flow Low 0.0 High Low Operating Profit Growth * Source: Mercer Value Migration Database
Value Changes in ICT Close Look at Value Flow of Delivery Communications global value migration 100% Wireless 80% Share of overall value(in %) 60% WirelineTraditional Carriers 40% WirelineNon-Traditional Carriers ISPs 20% Cable / Satellite 0% * Source: Mercer Value Migration Database 1990 1995 2000 2005 • Exponential value in-flow in Wireless, Cable/Satellite and ISP industry • More 50% value out-flow in Wireline-traditional Carriers during recent 5 years
23,000 21,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Current Comm. Status in Korea PSTN Voice Market Status Market saturated & threatened by Mobile & VoIP Subscribers & CAGR Market Share Ratio Subscribers(unit: 1,000) 23,099 21,930 Hanaro Telecom(6.6%) LG Dacom(0.2%) 3.62 3.37 0.74 0.22 KT(93.2%) -0.03 -2.61 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006.11 Num of Subscriber CAGR (Percentage) Source : MIC (Ministry of Information and Communication) 2006.11 • not a significant change regarding CAGR • despite great progress in FMS, not a noticeable migration witnessed in full swing
Current Comm. Status in Korea Regulatory of VoIP in Korea VoIP operators need a permission or a registration to operate QoS requirement to grant using 070 number • R >= 70, end-to-end delay <= 150 ms, call success ratio >= 95% unbundling of the local loop • New entrants do not have to provide their own access network • However, they pay for the use of other operator’s access network MSO was authorized in last November to operate • It may accelerate the bundling
Re-consideration of Voice Titanic clash in voice market Titanic clash btn. the Internet & the Telecom. industry • migration of voice ovier PSTN onto VoIP • (migration from PSTN to IP network) • Integration of voice onto Internet • (IM, Skype, Jajah, etc.) DVD Cover - Clash of the Titans Amazon DVD
Re-consideration of Voice Threaten or Opportunity ? The Voice Long Tail • Substitutive Opportunity • Advanced VoIP (Value added VoIP) • Video telephony, High quality voice telephony, • FMC etc…….. • Threaten free basic voice service • New Opportunity • Web applications with voice • voice enabled E-commerce • vertical applications like Real Estate, etc… Frequency of Contact • Threaten free basic voice services PSTN Online Communications Potential Connections
Re-consideration of Voice Consideration of Voice Voice is still the “Killer Application” Value of Voice • The needs for live communication are far deeper than other forms • Voice is still money-making commodity Q) Why is Voice ARPU dropping ? Customer’s behavior • If people can get the same service cheaper than elsewhere, they will. • Price fell, voice usage skyrocketed Increased competition • Fundamental shift in how “value” is realized If you can’t cheaper, you must be better.
Re-consideration of Voice Evolution of Voice As VoIP offers enhanced features and becomes more widespread, • Customers’ usage pattern of VoIP will vary significantly • customers will be segmented The past : operator-centric The future : user-centric • voice in telephone • same services & phone for everyone • price-driven • separation of • communication, information, entertainment • voice in everything • customized services & GUIs • application-driven • convergence of • communication, information, entertainment
Re-consideration of Voice The incumbent’s challenges retaining of subscribers • maintaining profitability and retaining customer loyalty Segmentation, Branding, & service bundles making rich services for ARPU increase • Voice applications • VoIP enabled IT applications • Integrated service of voice and the internet (web) Personalized Context-aware services • An enhanced interaction is established (user-to-user, user-to-machine, user-to-content) Context : any information that can be used to characterize the situation of an entity (person, place, object, …) [byDey, A.K., 2001]
Challenges for New Growth QoS Broad BW Personalization BcN WiBro FTTH Security HomeNetwork RGW KT’s challenges for new growth Differentiated new services with managed function Personalized & Differentiated Services Convergence services with multi-Windows Managed Function /Platform Manged Network
Challenges for New Growth Unified Communication Rich Communication VPN Needs more managed function U-Comm : unified communication Personalized Application & FMC Services Voice PBX, Audio Conferencing & Data IM, E-Mail, Web Conferencing Voice Video Personalization FMC Context PSTN Number E-mail Community, Blog Information, Entertainment Films, Music, Drama Education, Medical care, Security IM Web Entertainment • Personalized services : communication, application services, personal portal, etc.. • - linking PSTN customer with internet community, expansion from home to person • QoS : exclusive possession of service quality control and servicecontext
Challenges for New Growth Needs more managed function WiBro : basis of mobile convergence A vision for personal broadband : m-TPS Old Digital Paradigm New Digital Paradigm Wired Internet Limit of Mobility & Real-time • Real-time Mobile Service • BB Multimedia Service • Affordable Price KT WiBro Wireless Internet High Cost , Low Speed Mobile-TPS Personal Broadband Wireless All-IP Media Communication Data • Broad BW : Higher data rate than 2.5G network • Personalized services : LBS & personalized information service (push & pull), etc • QoS : Packet scheduling for resource reservation
Considerations of future voice services Concluding Remarks re-creation of the value of voice • something other than just voice : enhanced voice quality etc.. • network-based service which only the network operator can provide • user-centric convergence service – personality, simplicity, predictability Managed Broadband network • new authentication platform – basic platform for personalized service • Premium network (BcN and QoS manager) – premium & convergence service • new services strategy using BcN like U-Comm