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Transportens CO2-udslip 25% ned i 2030 Hvad skal der til?

Transportens CO2-udslip 25% ned i 2030 Hvad skal der til?. Mål for bæredygtig udvikling. Målsætninger for bæredygtig udvikling Bæredygtig mobilitet Planlægning, tidskonsistens og konsensus Transport CO2-udslip i 2030 25% ift 1988 45% ift i dag Næsten halvering! Hvad skal der til?.

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Transportens CO2-udslip 25% ned i 2030 Hvad skal der til?

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  1. Transportens CO2-udslip25% ned i 2030Hvad skal der til? Anders Chr. Hansen

  2. Mål for bæredygtig udvikling • Målsætninger for bæredygtig udvikling • Bæredygtig mobilitet • Planlægning, tidskonsistens og konsensus • Transport CO2-udslip i 2030 • 25% ift 1988 • 45% ift i dag • Næsten halvering! Hvad skal der til? Anders Chr. Hansen

  3. CO2 per kWh according to IEA Anders Chr. Hansen

  4. Valg af transportform: Relativ pris og relativt forbrug af transportydelser Anders Chr. Hansen

  5. Producenternes valg af teknologiudvikling • Hvem dræbte el-bilen? • Lineær forsknings- og udviklingsmodel • Fremtidig efterspørgsel • Der er ikke så meget olie • Især ikke i Europa: El! • Oliepriseprognosernes roll Anders Chr. Hansen

  6. Oil price projections Anders Chr. Hansen

  7. Valg af infrastuktur – el eller olie? • IC4 på diesel • Fordi el er fra kul • Samme problematik for avanceret dieselteknologi i biler • Risikerer vi at en større Anders Chr. Hansen

  8. Fuel taxes 2004 (€/GJ) Diesel Petrol Anders Chr. Hansen

  9. Competitiveness threshold for fuel cost per km Anders Chr. Hansen

  10. Diesel Tax 2005 (€/GJ) Source: Hansen (2007) based on Eurostat and OECD Anders Chr. Hansen

  11. Petrol Tax 2005 (€/GJ) Source: Hansen (2007) based on Eurostat and OECD Anders Chr. Hansen

  12. Diesel Vehicle Taxes 2004 (€/year) Source: Hansen (2007) based on Kunert and Kuhfeld (2006) Anders Chr. Hansen

  13. Petrol Vehicle Taxes 2004 (€/GJ) Source: Hansen (2007) based on Kunert and Kuhfeld (2006) Anders Chr. Hansen

  14. Passenger Car Density 2004 (Cars/sq.km) Source: Hansen (2007) based on Eurostat Anders Chr. Hansen

  15. PM 2.5 deaths (loss of statistical life expectancy) 2000 2020 after EU Air Strategy and Maximum Climate Action Source: EEA (2006) Anders Chr. Hansen

  16. O3 concentration (ppb days) 2000 2020 after EU Air Strategy and Maximum Climate Action Source: EEA (2006) Anders Chr. Hansen

  17. Thank you for your attention • Associate Professor Anders Chr. Hansen • anders@ruc.dk • Roskilde University, Denmark • Department of Environmental, Social, and Spatial Change (ENSPAC) • Energy, Environment, and Climate Research Group (EECG) Anders Chr. Hansen

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